Who mentions $SNAP most on Surfaced?

@aleabitoreddit (Serenity) mentions $SNAP most — 30 mentions in the past 12 months.

When was $SNAP first mentioned on Surfaced?

The earliest tracked mention of $SNAP in the Surfaced archive was on Oct 3, 2025.

How many voices track $SNAP?

21 FinTwit voices have mentioned $SNAP 81 times in the past 12 months.

What kind of voices mention $SNAP most?

$SNAP is mentioned most by Semis voices on Surfaced.

$SNAP — FinTwit mentions on Surfaced

@stocksavvyshayJul 9, 2026 · 9:38 PM

@PolymarketMoney Truly wild $SNAP is still down over 80% off their all-time highs

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@pivotal_pivotsJul 1, 2026 · 3:27 PM

$SNAP crackle pop n off Demarks yearly low #pivotpoint (YDML). 🎯 The BIGGEST reversals happen at the yearly #pivotpoints! ⏫⏬ https://t.co/PKMnEtD9fi

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@unusual_whalesJun 26, 2026 · 10:31 PM

Snapchat, $SNAP, CEO Evan Spiegel and his wife, Miranda Kerr, have partnered with the nonprofit Undue Medical Debt to erase $550 million in medical bills for more than 261,000 Californians.

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@saxena_puruJun 24, 2026 · 4:44 PM

"Buy & Hold" for the long haul? Think again! Drawdowns of some "high quality" stocks. Stage analysis allows you to ride the uptrend and sell before disaster strikes. $LULU $PYPL $ADBE $XYZ $CRM $NKE $TTD $SNAP https://t.co/WuNLogboYt

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@photonbullJun 20, 2026 · 12:26 AM

We get it $SNAP Everyone saw the glasses Nobody is going to buy the glasses or the stock $SNAP Nice try though https://t.co/mNVfrFhzTd

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@aleabitoredditJun 19, 2026 · 12:19 PM

I think something to highlight also is not all my ideas are green, especially on short term timeframes! My core three themes are Neoclouds (Energy), Memory, and Photonics. And I'm glad I chose the literal top performers for each segment from $NBIS to $EWY leaps to $SIVE. However, I still have pretty large losses following the false analyst report on CPO delays that $NVDA refuted: That nuked 3 of my TW CPO longs from Foci, Msscorp, Xintec and others. (which are heavily red). Shunsin / Win Semi are holding up much better though. Some of the other ones in Japan that I've mentioned like Towa, Harmonic Drive, NCI, etc. are performing much better following short-term volatility. As for Korea yes I have PTSD for from Auros and now Foosung that are both both red (I didn't own 093370 though, just got PTSD watching price action). Idk if I'll touch Korea again, just way too volatile. But I still think those will end up green eventually following Sk hynix/samsung qualifications + HVM, and the future japanese supply chain shutdown. I also did change some of my previous long ideas like $XLU following the Iran War nuking all chances of rate cuts from 3-4 down to 0, and that didn't play out too well. Three software names I mentioned previously like $TTD, $META ended up red. $SNAP, I also changed my thesis after noticing the endless SBC accounting methods. $RDDT idea was finally in the green from $130 -> $170 after a long time. But I think the vast majority of my ideas like $MRVL, $NBIS, $ARM, $INTC, $MU, $LITE, SK Hynix, Samsung, for larger cap. Down to $AXTI, $LITE, $AAOI, $RPI, $IQE, and others for smaller cap positions directionally play out pretty well. With random stuff like $SIMO, $HPS.A, $TSEM, $AEHR, $LPK, $SOI, $ALRIB, and so on all ended up turning out aight too. The blended average is kinda overwhelmingly green since majority of my long ideas are triple digit YTD. But I've definitely missed a few. Also entry point is really important too... I mentioned $AAOI at $30 or $AXTI at ~$13, but not everyone has the same entry point. So if someone bought AOI at $220 and it dropped to $160, I'd feel bad. But regardless, I'd prefer to judge how ideas play out on medium term timeframes over a few months rather than a few weeks.

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@moninvestorJun 17, 2026 · 5:06 PM

$SNAP just unveiled its AR glasses, and honestly, I don't know what to think. I genuinely don't understand how anyone looks at this and comes away believing it's the next big thing, but more than anything, it shows just how massive the gap is between Snap's CEO and Meta's CEO. Zuckerberg spent years and billions of dollars pushing the metaverse, but one thing I'll give him credit for is that he knows when an idea isn't working. He effectively backed away and moved on. We barely hear about the metaverse anymore. Spiegel, on the other hand, seems completely attached to these computing glasses and refuses to let go, no matter how strange the whole concept looks. The market is sending a pretty clear message, and he's doing the exact opposite. Snap stock is down 38% year to date, yet there he is showcasing the product on TV. That's really the difference. Zuckerberg seems willing to admit when one of his ideas isn't gaining traction and pivot elsewhere. Spiegel looks like he's still trying to force a vision that the market simply isn't buying.

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@institlpgpJun 17, 2026 · 3:29 PM

imagine being that boaz-backed activist stuck in $SNAP eesh

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@invesquotesJun 17, 2026 · 5:26 AM

“ $SNAP is a special sit, there’s no reason why it should trade that cheap” The reason: https://t.co/GpgbeRUdiQ

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@amitisinvestingJun 17, 2026 · 2:40 AM

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting will be Kevin Warsh’s first as Fed Chair, and the market will be watching closely to see how he frames inflation, rates, and the path toward potential cuts. One major tailwind is that oil came down to $77 today, which helps ease inflation pressure and lowers the risk of another energy-driven CPI spike. If Warsh acknowledges that cooling oil prices are helping the inflation picture, it could give markets more confidence that the Fed has room to turn less restrictive over time. 2. The 2x SpaceX ETF had more than $3 billion in volume today versus about $1 billion yesterday. Nearly every product is already around $100 million or more in volume, while $SPCH led the pack with $1.3 billion traded, reportedly the highest Day Two volume ever recorded for an ETF, far above $IBIT’s roughly $500 million. SpaceX also officially announced plans to acquire Cursor parent company Anysphere for $60 billion. Ahead of the $SPCX IPO, Gwynne Shotwell described the relationship as a close AI collaboration, saying both companies were evaluating each other’s models and that Cursor’s training data was “excellent,” while SpaceX brings major compute capacity. 3. Wells Fargo raised its year-end 2026 $SPX S&P 500 target to 7,950, citing several supportive market factors. The firm pointed to a reset in investor sentiment following the Nasdaq 100 selloff, an improving setup for CTA buying, easing macro risk after the peace deal, continued supportive liquidity, and a higher 2026 EPS forecast of $340. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 2.0M contracts, $NVDA with 1.8M contracts, $SPCX with 1.7M contracts, $AAPL with 881K contracts, $INTC with 648K contracts, $NFLX with 573K contracts, $MU with 559K contracts, $AMZN with 511K contracts, $MSFT with 486K contracts, and $SOFI with 477K contracts. Tesla led the market with more than 2.0M options contracts traded, followed by Nvidia at 1.8M and SpaceX at 1.7M. 5. $AAPL Apple reportedly plans to launch camera-equipped AirPods in late 2027, according to Bloomberg. The cameras are not expected to be used for taking photos or videos, but instead to help Siri understand the user’s surroundings and provide more visual context. The new AirPods could debut around the same time as Apple’s second-generation foldable iPhone and its 20th-anniversary iPhone. 6. Microsoft $MSFT is reportedly moving Copilot Cowork to a usage-based pricing model and may introduce a Microsoft-hosted DeepSeek model as a lower-cost AI option for enterprise customers, according to Bloomberg. The cheaper model is expected to roll out in the coming weeks as Microsoft looks to give businesses more flexible and affordable AI tools. 7. Foreign investors sold another $801 million worth of Kospi-listed shares on Monday, adding to the $10 billion in outflows seen last week. According to Goldman Sachs, foreign investors have now sold South Korean stocks every trading session over the past month, bringing year-to-date net sales to roughly $75 billion. Meanwhile, domestic retail and institutional investors have absorbed much of the selling, buying about $69 billion over the same period. 8. The Financial Times reports that the Trump administration is considering a deal framework that could include sanctions relief and a $300 billion private-sector reconstruction fund for Iran if Tehran agrees to a final nuclear agreement and maintains peace. The fund would reportedly depend on Iran’s compliance and be financed by companies rather than governments, with potential interest from businesses in Europe, Asia, and the U.S. because of Iran’s large population and energy resources. If accurate, the proposal would effectively act like an economic rebuilding package for Iran while also opening the door for U.S. and global companies to enter the Iranian market if sanctions are lifted. 9. Robinhood $HOOD plans to cut about 10% of its workforce, or roughly 290 roles, as the company looks to operate more efficiently and flatten management layers. CEO Vlad Tenev said Robinhood’s business “has never been stronger,” but emphasized that the company cannot operate as a heavily layered organization and needs to remain a lean, hyper-focused team. 10. SoFi CEO Anthony Noto purchased 13,888 shares of $SOFI at $18.06 per share, spending roughly $250,000 on the open-market buy. Following the purchase, Noto now owns 11,960,507 shares of SoFi, worth about $211.8 million. 11. Snap $SNAP launched standalone consumer AR glasses priced at $2,195, but the stock was down 10% on the day. The glasses do not require a phone, puck, or tether and feature a 51° field of view with transparent LCoS displays, up to four hours of mixed use plus four extra charges from the case, electrochromic lenses that tint outdoors, and a built-in AI assistant that can see what the user is looking at. Snap has spent 11 years and more than $3 billion trying to make AR glasses a mainstream product. 12. Amazon $AMZN plans to invest several billion dollars to build a new data center campus in Montgomery County, Missouri, creating more than 400 full-time data center jobs, thousands of construction roles, and funding upgrades to local road and water infrastructure. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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@stocksavvyshayJun 17, 2026 · 12:32 AM

$SNAP CEO Evan Spiegel just showed off the new Specs AR glasses for the first time. This is the kind of product reveal that explains how a social media company can be down over 90% during one of the best tech bull markets in history. https://t.co/AHoBj8uEjj

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@aleabitoredditJun 7, 2026 · 10:39 AM

Sure, #1 thing is toxic financing structure/float dynamics. Best example is current Neoclouds landscape: - $IREN is basically trash, since they have $6,000,000,000 ATMs and virtually infinite dilution, likely selling into every rally (structural overhang) - While $NBIS is now YTD 153%+, from optimal structures (eg. $NVDA direct funding, mix of convertibles, etc.). - On the other hand, $CRWV has endless debt interest given they took out high interest rate loans to finance GPUs. It's extremely nuanced, but you need to take a look at the float dynamics. If they're legitimately a good company, then it might be a good idea to go long after all the existing holders get diluted to oblivion. But if you care about your equity appreciation, it's a good idea to stay far away from toxic financing structures or toxic overhang (eg. debt interest, that eats away at a company FCF long term) With smaller companies, they have this all the time, like $SLNH, where there's new $500m ATMs on a $250m MC. Or like $BKKT where there's endless dilution to fund executive pay. With these companies you're basically transferring your money over to the company while influencers talk about them. So those are red flags. With many software names like $SNAP, they mask stock-based compensation with profitability. So while the company optically looks profitable, you'll likely see the value of your equity decrease due to dilution. There's endless types of these share structures you need to look when screening ideas.

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@rubicon59Jun 7, 2026 · 1:12 AM

A year later, $APP crushed $SNAP, OFC

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@aleabitoredditMay 30, 2026 · 11:33 PM

@AsianbeBlazin Because I’m confident $SIVE management knows what to do by themselves. If they operated like $SNAP I’d be more activist.

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@amitisinvestingMay 25, 2026 · 7:03 PM

@Kafka7invest I have thought about $SNAP deeply, I feel it is probably an okay buy here, but I do not like mgmt or wearables

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@frenchie_May 10, 2026 · 4:21 PM

@ParadisLabs $SNAP for sure

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@benitozMay 9, 2026 · 12:46 AM

@BrianNorgard That was supposed to be $SNAP

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@tsoh_investingMay 7, 2026 · 10:40 AM

Snap TTM Revenues $SNAP https://t.co/eTmIf1B5xB

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@investmentguru_May 4, 2026 · 11:18 AM

Earnings watchlist for the week: 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗮𝘆 After Hours: $PLTR $FN $BWXT $AEIS $FLY $ADEA $ON 𝗧𝘂𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $SHOP $PYPL $ENLT $ETN After Hours: $AMD $ANET $LITE $ALAB $NVTS $NRGV $SU $WOLF 𝗪𝗲𝗱𝗻𝗲𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $UBER $FLEX $SOLS $NRG $HUT After Hours: $ARM $COHR $UUUU $FSLY $SEZL $AOSL $APP $IONQ $SNAP 𝗧𝗵𝘂𝗿𝘀𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $DAVE $HWM $VST $DDOG $BSKY After Hours: $NET $CRWV $RKLB $IREN $LASR $PDFS $OPEN 𝗙𝗿𝗶𝗱𝗮𝘆 Pre-Market: $WULF $UI

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@itscblastApr 27, 2026 · 4:02 PM

SMALL SIZE ON $SNAP https://t.co/1fs9dpHDy7

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@itscblastApr 27, 2026 · 3:58 PM

🚨 $SNAP 6.5c 05/01 at 0.12 2-3 DAY SWING | 1,000% Potential

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@stocksavvyshayApr 23, 2026 · 6:41 PM

$META launched a new Instagram app called Instants in Italy that lets users send disappearing photos to friends. The images last 24 hours and can only be viewed once giving the app a mix of $SNAP and BeReal-style features. https://t.co/VtXlnnVcYd

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@amitisinvestingApr 15, 2026 · 9:17 PM

TOP 20 STOCKS TRADED IN THE OPTIONS MARKET TODAY: 1. Tesla $TSLA – 5.7M contracts 2. Nvidia $NVDA – 3.6M contracts 3. Microsoft $MSFT – 1.56M contracts 4. Apple $AAPL – 1.50M contracts 5. SoFi $SOFI – 735K contracts 6. Meta $META – 713K contracts 7. Robinhood $HOOD – 651K contracts 8. Amazon $AMZN – 648K contracts 9. Palantir $PLTR – 606K contracts 10. Micron $MU – 523K contracts 11. Alphabet $GOOGL – 509K contracts 12. Oracle $ORCL – 480K contracts 13. Broadcom $AVGO – 452K contracts 14. Intel $INTC – 451K contracts 15. Snap $SNAP – 342K contracts 16. MicroStrategy $MSTR – 320K contracts 17. Netflix $NFLX – 320K contracts 18. IonQ $IONQ – 318K contracts 19. TeraWulf $WULF – 316K contracts 20. AMD $AMD – 308K contracts The number of contracts on these top 20 stocks is almost double the daily average and the overall call/put skew was favored to the calls broadly by 50%, in some cases stocks like SOFI had 5x more calls traded than puts. The bulls are trying to come back.

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@stocksavvyshayApr 15, 2026 · 8:11 PM

@stoolpresidente Barstool should try to merge with $SNAP

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@aleabitoredditApr 15, 2026 · 6:40 PM

@MaxiRude3 It’s a positive sum effect for their entire economy though and brings up the whole local population together? If companies have more funding, they can hire more locals for R&D, the capex goes upstream to all their suppliers (who also benefit from funding). Then more taxes are paid if they make more profits… So more money goes into social welfare programs or infrastructure. I genuinely don’t understand, company growth is positive sum, they’re not leeching off the population to build wealth. This isn’t $SNAP.

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@unusual_whalesApr 15, 2026 · 6:24 PM

Snapchat, $SNAP, is eliminating roughly 1,000 positions, 16% of its workforce.

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@stocksavvyshayApr 15, 2026 · 3:14 PM

Remarkable that it took Evan over a decade to produce one profitable quarter at $SNAP. Even more remarkable for a company that hasn't grown revenue more than 20% since 2021. https://t.co/ARZHgQjKOP

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@stocksavvyshayApr 15, 2026 · 11:37 AM

$SNAP spent a historic bull market proving that user growth without real monetization leverage doesn’t matter. Being down over 90% in an environment like this is pretty hard to do. https://t.co/u7h9HhMXEH

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@stocksavvyshayApr 15, 2026 · 10:22 AM

$SNAP is laying off ~16% of its workforce while guiding for ~$1.53B in Q1 revenue, ~$233M EBITDA and up to $130M in restructuring charges. Tough scene for morale when layoffs hit right after the CEO Evan Spiegel is having the time of his life at Coachella. https://t.co/ADHTRbLLCr

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@aleabitoredditApr 12, 2026 · 2:00 PM

@pocimont It's nuanced, I do think companies like $INTU are going to get slightly disrupted by Claude and others doing taxes + filing for you. And it's not a great contrarian buy-the-dip opportunity. On the flip side certain software names like $RDDT / $SNAP are likely going to end up more profitable with AI due to opex cuts (only if Evan's wife stopped using Snapchat like a piggy back). Disruption is real, but there's a few winners.

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@aleabitoredditApr 4, 2026 · 5:40 PM

@trademetry Not sure if you realize yet, but stocks are positive sum gain unlike Melania Coin. Everyone benefits long term if someone is right directionally. It's not exit liquidity when people buy $LITE, $AEHR, or $AAOI and the prices go up over time because of value creation + revenue growth. Companies create economic value and return that to retail shareholders through things like dividends. There's exceptions with things like $SNAP or $IREN if there's excessive SBC/dilution if management tries to drain value.

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@frenchie_Apr 3, 2026 · 3:35 PM

Je crois que $SNAP (Snapchat) est la pire gestion de société de l’histoire C’est le cas d’école d’une boîte qui avait la culture produit, l’audience et la marque, mais pas la discipline opérationnelle ni la machine publicitaire pour transformer ça en empire Il n’y a vraiment qu’en France que c’est autant utilisé et le cours du prix le démontre

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@moninvestorMar 30, 2026 · 2:36 PM

When the market is weak, the stocks that have already been heavily sold off tend to hold up better, and sometimes even go green. $SNAP +3.44% $PATH +2.85% $PYPL +2.25% $ZETA +1.24% $DUOL +0.25% $HIMS -0.52% These stocks have already gone through their correction. Expectations are low and a lot of weak hands are already out. So when the broader market sells off, there’s simply less incremental selling pressure left. Everyone who wanted to panic has already done it.

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@aleabitoredditMar 29, 2026 · 4:10 PM

@DamienWong20 There's something called SBC where $IREN executives can issue more shares to themselves. Take a look at $SNAP, the company awards employees $1B+ every year while stock prices keep dropping.

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@alphaticaioMar 29, 2026 · 3:46 PM

Meta spends 12 cents on SGA for every dollar of revenue. Snap spends 34 cents. Same business. Both sell ads on social media. One figured out how to run lean. The other didn't. In 2022, Meta's SGA-to-revenue ratio was 23%. Bloated, overstaffed, and the stock was in freefall. Zuckerberg declared the "Year of Efficiency," cut 21,000 jobs, and slashed overhead. The result? SGA dropped from 23% to 12% in three years. Revenue surged from $117B to $201B. The denominator grew while the numerator shrank. That's the efficiency flywheel. Snap went from 45% to 34% over the same period. Improving, but still burning 3x more per dollar earned than Meta. The stock market priced it in immediately. Since Jan 2023 (when the efficiency pivot started paying off): META: +322% SNAP: −56% That's a 377-point spread. Since 2018: META: +190% SNAP: −74% $10,000 in Meta turned into $29,000. $10,000 in Snap turned into $2,600. Efficiency isn't boring. Efficiency is alpha. $META $SNAP

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@aleabitoredditMar 29, 2026 · 7:58 AM

$IREN filed to dilute $6,000,000,000 at a $11.7B MC. That is not noise. This is Iren's way to monetize their 4.5GW capacity by selling all those new shares onto the open market. If you want some history on how this turns out: Look at $BKKT that crashed 99% with Mike and $IREN board of directors history with excessive ATMs. Or his recent company $ASST. It’s accretive to the company and executives: Because it wipes out all retail shareholders and they can always issue SBC. So they don’t actually care what stock price it needs to be at to sell. After they’re finished, they have $6B in new cash to use for scaling without paying interest. But the reason why convertible notes with interest, and $NVDA funding balance sheets is much better for retail capital: Is because it doesn’t wipe out retail equity to achieve this. Because at this point $IREN looks like the $AMC of datacenters with a dwindling moat, and looming $6B in shares sold into the open market. Reason I post about $IREN is because - people dismiss a $6B ATM as “Noise” - it’s one of the most popular retail “buy the dip” companies that they’re buying into a $6B dilution machine - people still don’t understand the risk at all. - the amount they have now is not enough to finance GPUs/GW capacity monetization. - they likely will have to use the ATM, it’s not “optionality” Again: I have zero positions in the company. I’m just warning retail investors that this ATM structurally wipes out your equity appreciation by how structural mechanics of $6B+ ATMs work. Because $IREN likely needs to sell new shares at any price to monetize their GW, otherwise there would be zero need to file it. Executives actually don't need to care because they can make up for stock price dropping by issuing SBC like $SNAP. If you have to wonder if your equity gets wiped out from an excessive ATM: There are better longs out there than $IREN.

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@aleabitoredditMar 27, 2026 · 12:29 PM

@miraclemaster07 $SIVE is executing fine right now with all the midstream hyperscaler suppliers. People just don't know about the name yet. Happy to join $IQE, $SNAP, $PYPL boards because those really need help but it's painfully obvious what they need to do.

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@aleabitoredditMar 27, 2026 · 12:07 AM

Are we not using social media anymore? $SNAP down -50.6% YTD $RDDT down -44.6% YTD $PINS down -32.2% YTD $META down -26.35% 6M Companies like Snapchat with excessive SBC makes sense… Yeah there’s bear cases around Meta capex but it’s growing forward revs 30-33% Y/Y round ~17 fwd p/e so that spend is definitely delivering ROI. But at this point the selloff looks way overblown especially with Reddit with fwd ev/fcf: ~24x; 91% gross margins, 52% growth? Everyone’s hyper focusing around “AI” disruption but if anything, it makes these social media companies more lean/profitable. I’m a buyer here. But a confused one.

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@benitozMar 26, 2026 · 4:28 PM

@Midnight_Captl Can you believe $snap All Time Low

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@aleabitoredditMar 17, 2026 · 2:06 AM

@Bry_m0n I post when my thesis might have changed such as $SNAP SBC. Or with possibly $VPG with mass production, when there was news on Tesla contracting hundreds of Chinese suppliers. However, I don’t want people to copy trade or sell at the same time I do. I’d rather post my thoughts, and risk disclosures. Then let people come to their own conclusions. But if people ask directly in random posts, I often say if I de-risked or exited my position. It’s just that X doesn’t show all my posts to followers, so I’m sure people missed a ton of updates.

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@stocksavvyshayMar 16, 2026 · 6:43 PM

$SNAP says working with $NVDA + $GOOGL Cloud lets it run AI experiments across petabytes of data for 1B+ users. The setup reduced experimentation costs by ~76%. https://t.co/S7jqpWPr9L

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@moninvestorMar 14, 2026 · 10:58 PM

Negative YTD performance is rarely talked about on X. In reality, many investors are likely in the red, with dozens of popular retail stocks down this year. YTD: $EOSE −55% $PGY −50% $FUBO −52% $DUOL & $SNAP −43% $LMND −37% $HOOD −35% $ASST −35% $SOFI −32% $HIMS −25%

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@aleabitoredditMar 14, 2026 · 5:10 AM

@snipeder Appreciate you calling me out on that. If you ever read my posts, my thesis can change. Markets are constantly updating every earnings with new catalysts such as macro. For things like $SNAP I flipped bearish when SBC didn’t go down materially and exited my positions. But gcloud opex + monetization can materially flip it if Evan cuts SBC. $VPG i published news on Optimus BOM switching to Chinese suppliers for production. I’m actually bullish on war stocks again, drone companies, and $LPTH again due to recent conflicts. That was following the Venezuela conflicts. $OSS is up like 80%? $VLN I still think it’s undervalued but it’s around the same price I posted. People are still screenshotting me saying I’m bullish on $IREN from last year but if they launch a $6 billion ATM, I can turn bearish. Think people mistake being bullish in one point in time to married to a stock, when things materially change based on catalysts. That being said I still like things like $LPTH and $OSS, nothings changed about germanium bottlenecks or edge computing. And like $NBIS sometimes they need time to play out.

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@aleabitoredditMar 13, 2026 · 5:53 AM

PayPay ( $PAYP ) is the newest IPO. If you're wondering if you should fomo in the $PYPL / WeChat of Japan at an $11.8B MC? Let's find out. If you've ever been to Japan: PayPay is everywhere. It's the Japanese SuperApp for payments, investing, and banking. Here's a breakdown: FY 2025 metrics: Revenue: ¥299.1 billion (~$1.9 billion) Growth Rate: ~26.3% Net Income (GAAP): ¥39.2 billion (~$248 million) P/E: ~44x Stock Base Compensation: Virtually 0, unlike $SNAP and $DUOL in the US. If we look at balance sheet: Consolidated accounting makes things a nightmare when you see $PAYP ¥4.85 Trillion (~$32.3 Billion) in liabilities or customer deposits mixed into assets. But pre-IPO net debt is approximately -$480M, and post-IPO proceeds of ~$496M. So balance sheet looks roughly net cash slightly positive but neutral. Also PSA: Softbank is the majority owner, lockup expires September 2026. At $11B, it's roughly ~5.8x P/S and very profitable for a Japanese superapp growing at 26% with expanding margins and zero SBC. By US standards, this is normally valued, not exactly a screaming buy. TLDR: In general, $PAYP is not a terrible long at $11.8B. Might get some IPO hype + mixed with low float dynamics, but would not chase if it ends up a lot higher. Maybe there's some TAM expansion like $HOOD that prices it up over time. But Softbank ATM-like overhang in a few months. But there's a lot better mispriced choices out there like $RDDT right now.

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@aleabitoredditMar 13, 2026 · 1:51 AM

Top 10 common fallacies I keep seeing again and again on X. And some of the most important things I look out for too when doing research: 1. Being in "crowded" names like $LITE or $COHR does not mean these names won't go higher. (Just look at Nvidia throughout 2022 -> 2026). 2. Don't conflate bottlenecks and critical companies in supply chains like SpaceX or Nvidia with stock market returns. What matters is how it translates to material operating income. The reason I mention $AXTI, is likely price hikes from being that bottleneck. 3. Insider Sales are the extreme noise. You will never see me quote that anywhere to derive projections and what the MC should be at. 4. Repeat after me. TA is only an indicator, not a bible. Please stop posting TAs underneath my Soitec posts to say "overextended!!!" without any reference to fundamentals, catalysts, or macro. TA's especially, mean nothing when there's extreme fundamental changes (eg. $6B in share dilution or upcoming IPO float lockup like $BULL, $CRCL). 5. DILUTION IS DIFFERENT. ATMs are different than convertible notes that are different than loans. It's extremely nuanced. Some lead to more equity returns than others that are more harmful (eg. $IREN $6B ATM). Float dynamics, ATM sizes relative to marketcap, and all others need to be accounted for. 6. Markets are forward looking. It's just a matter of how far in the future they look. Stop only posting previous revenue guidance only to justify valuations pricing in forward growth eg. $TSEM forward growth for photonics ramp. 7. Revenue/Gross Margins/Profit are extremely, extremely nuanced. Profit can be hid in tax writeoffs, and margins can be hid in other parts of the income statement like opex, or in depreciation. So posting "gross margins/profit" (eg. $IREN) and using that to justify it vs. other neoclouds means nothing if the accounting is not normalized 8. Net Income is not the same as GAAP Net Income. True profitability from companies like $SNAP are hid by things like stock-based compensation. When a company reports non-GAAP net income of $500 million to the media, their official SEC-filed GAAP net income could be a $150 million loss because of SBC. 9. Float Dynamics + Dilution are important. You can say "oh this company is $150M MC, 30m profit" but if you're forgetting there's a massive dilution overhead at X strike, then all your research gets thrown out the drain. 10. Make sure to factor in REVENUE GROWTH/TAM. You can grow a company 200% one year, but if TAM maxes out like in Fintech then revenue growth eventually falls off the cliff. Hence why $RKLB gets premiums for infinite Space TAM growth while other companies in fintech growing at 40% Y/Y don't.

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@aleabitoredditMar 12, 2026 · 9:19 PM

@MarkosAAIG Would not compare one of the most popular platforms in the world $RDDT to the likes of endless SBC $SNAP or $DUOL. GAAP net income for Reddit last year was $530 million (including SBC), while Snapchat is heavily dilutive.

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@aleabitoredditMar 10, 2026 · 12:07 AM

@RWarren52274 Absolutely, I see the $HIMS parallel to $META acquiring all the social media companies a decade ago. This wouldn't work today since FTC would block companies like $RDDT acquiring all their competitors like $SNAP. But $HIMS pulled off a global M&A spree, building a monopoly moat over retail healthcare distribution from Zava in Europe, Livewell in Canada, and Eucalyptus for Australia/Japan. So, now that $HIMS somehow managed to build capture the global retail base for healthcare... With regulatory issues cleared up, there's a lot of latent revenue monetization potential.

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@aleabitoredditFeb 27, 2026 · 2:40 PM

The "AI is Disrupting Software but Not Really" Bucket. Here's my personal list of favorites: $RDDT ($149, -37.47% YTD): 10/10 $NFLX ($84.61, -30.85% 6M): 9/10 $NET ($169.5, -13.55% YTD): 10/10 $SPOT ($488, -15.2% YTD): 9/10 $SNAP ($5.13, -38.1% YTD): 10/10 $DUOL ($85.3, -60.92% YTD): 6/10 $PINS ($17.5, -34% YTD): 8/10 $U ($18.83, -59.3% YTD): 8/10 $FIG ($28.93, -23.65% YTD): 7/10 Reddit - 10/10: You can vibe code Reddit in a day with Opus. But the main thing is "Network Effect" that you can't replicate. You can ask ChatGPT or Gemini a question, but main thing is the type league of legends post-match discussions or human discourse that people use reddit for. Netflix - 9/10: You go to Netflix for squid games and others. I'm sure AI will help with generation of new viral movies or TV shows, but you will still use Netflix or Youtube to watch it. People are still going to watch licensed Anime like Solo Leveling or the newest Alice in Borderlands show over AI generated contnet. Cloudflare 10/10: I don't see how AI would disrupt Cloudflare. Spotify - 9/10: Biggest disruption is Apple Music just not charging for services (which likely won't happen). There's AI generating music but like Youtube, you use Spotify to listen to it. You can try and vibe code Spotify sure, but a large part of it is licenses. AI generated music will not go out and replace Martin Garrix EDM soundtracks (where a large part of it is knowing the song -> going to music festivals in person) or Taylor Swift Love Story type songs (where you also go in person to see concerts). Snapchat - 10/10: Same with network effect only reason it works is because everyone agrees to use it. Their issue is with monetization and excessive stock based compensation, not AI disruption. Duolingo - 6/10: I made fun of Duolingo for the longest time, but it's decent valuation again after the selloff to $86. Yes you can learn languages through Gemini, which I do myself. But most people are still going use Duolingo as more of a motivational tool. There's name recognition too + convenience, which is the biggest factor. People can vibe code their own Duolingo but that doesn't mean people will use it on the app store or go out and code it themselves. Pinterest - 8/10 - It's human related taste. People are fearing agentic commerce and generative AI (Midjourney, DALL-E) will disrupt this type of search, which people don't really use Pinterest for. Unity - 8/10: Everyone uses Unity for 4D AI and World Models. People fear stuff regarding generative gaming, but it's still widely used. Their main issue is monetization from AI usage, not disruption. Figma - 7/10: AI is right now is mainly for porting your figma files over to html/css/js. Not exactly for disrupting the need for the software. Maybe it's just me but there's a certain human element to design and creativity that AI can't emulate yet for wireframing (it's good at copying and doing something relatively new). I highly doubt AI can one-shot Tempo or $XYZ websites. For others like $V and Mastercard, I do genuinely believe interchange and % based fees maybe end as AI handles direct payment routing through $CRCL stablecoins. And for others like $CHGG, they have legitimately been disrupted out of existence already. For the rest like $RDDT and $NFLX, everyone will still go there for discussions or to watch Squid Games, and AI has no material disruptive effect. Going to be hard to time the bottom as fear has overtaken the market with software, but many, such as Reddit present a great opportunity.

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@ragingventuresFeb 27, 2026 · 2:54 AM

@BoxLongs Eliminate the super voting rights and $SNAP immediately doubles.

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@benitozFeb 19, 2026 · 4:13 PM

@akramsrazor He couldn’t get TickTock so this is next best thing. They could just buy $snap on the cheap then

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@yasutaketinFeb 19, 2026 · 6:08 AM

$SNAP は黒字化して業績良くなってきてるんだけど、今度は世界各国での若者へのSNS規制が重石になってるみたい。

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@yasutaketinFeb 19, 2026 · 6:02 AM

$SNAP 株価とんでもないことになってるな。予想PER9.9倍だってさ。 https://t.co/O6s4xIbSrU

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@investmentguru_Feb 19, 2026 · 3:29 AM

Volatility Is Noise. Positioning Is Power My favourite 20 $PLTR $SOFI $RKLB $ASTS $ENPH $PATH $ZETA $SNAP $ABCL $KRKNF $UAMY $ONDS $EOSE $HYFT $JOBY $ACHR $TE $IREN $CIFR $UBER So many great stocks. So little capital. The key isn’t chasing what’s up. It’s building exposure to secular trends and adding on pullbacks. not a financial advise

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@stocksavvyshayFeb 18, 2026 · 8:51 PM

@PolymarketMoney I put Evan in the same bucket as Sam Altman in that regardless of what the $SNAP thesis is, I don’t fully trust the CEO execution layer.

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@moninvestorFeb 18, 2026 · 6:00 PM

So many great stocks, so little capital. 🧐 If I were building my own ETF: $IREN $ONDS $CIFR $NBIS $WULF $IBRX $PL $ASTS $RKLB $NUAI $POET $ALMU $KRKNF $UAMY $COPX $OUST $TE $ENPH $OSS $SNAP $HIMS (depends on earnings) $PATH $ZETA $EOSE $JOBY $ACHR $LAES $ABCL $PRME $HYFT Top 30 > not in order.

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@unusual_whalesFeb 17, 2026 · 2:57 PM

Snap, $SNAP, is introducing a subscription feature that will allow creators to earn recurring income directly from their most engaged fans, per CNBC

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@moninvestorFeb 10, 2026 · 11:38 AM

List of stocks to add to your watchlist: Space: $ASTS, $RKLB, $PL, $RDW Data Center: $IREN, $CIFR, $NBIS, $WULF Solar: $ENPH, $TE, $ASTI, $SEDG, $CSIQ Rare Earth: $UAMY, $UUUU, $NAK, $USAR AI: $PATH, $ZETA, $OSS Robotics: $OUST, $RR, $SERV, $KRKNF Energy: $EOSE, $FLNC, $QS Others: $POET, $SNAP, $HIMS, $ONDS, $PRME, $JOBY, $ACHR, $NUAI, $ALMU, $PPIH, $LAES & $LTRX. Note: This is not my full list. 👀

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@stocksavvyshayFeb 9, 2026 · 8:27 PM

$META Instagram is internally testing a standalone $SNAP style app called “Instants” focused on disappearing photos and messages. https://t.co/t9v49wrIwY

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@ftr_investorsFeb 6, 2026 · 12:55 PM

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@tsoh_investingFeb 5, 2026 · 7:20 PM

Snap TTM Revenues and SBC Expense % $SNAP https://t.co/BiNzY02lai

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@moninvestorFeb 5, 2026 · 3:41 PM

Brutal day today. $TE -1% $POET -4% $ALMU -4% $LAES -5% $ZETA -5% $UAMY -7% $IREN -7% $ENPH -7% $NBIS -8% $EOSE -8% $ONDS -8% $SNAP -9% $ASTS -10% $ASST -14% $SLNH -20% $FLNC -24%

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@aleabitoredditFeb 4, 2026 · 10:02 PM

I modeled $SNAP GCP opex cuts and memory monetization into FCF and it looked undervalued moving forward with the Perplexity deal. But issuing billions in SBC to "Talent" and executives -> going into further debt (especially the $500M buyback) -> paying additional debt interest blows that model apart. This is all in the hands of Evan to make that change if he lowers SBC notably. But the $500M buyback is a red flag to me instead of a positive thing to me.

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@aleabitoredditFeb 4, 2026 · 9:48 PM

$SNAP Just reported earnings and issued a $500M share buyback. The buyback is a red flag. Q4 Report: - Revenue: $1.716 Billion (+10%) - FCF: $206M (+13%) - Net Income: $45M - Gross Margins: 59% $SNAP recognized $257.2 million in STOCK BASED COMPENSATION, ending the year with $1.017 billion in SBC. If $SNAP paid employees/executives in cash instead of stock, If their "Free Cash Flow" for the quarter would actually be -$51M. You see a $3B balance sheet, but they are net cash -$490 Million, because they are going into $3.5B+ in long term debt to do buybacks. These are not $META or $NVDA buybacks because of excess capital from their balance sheet. It's to offset any stock grants going to their executives and "Talent". They are paying market rates of (6.875%) for their debt. That debt interest is now over $30M+ a quarter, so $120m+ a year just for "buybacks". Earnings look great, but the stock compensation optical illusion makes the reality look horrendous. I would personally not invest in a Victoria Secret model's private piggy bank.

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@moninvestorFeb 3, 2026 · 5:30 PM

This year has been a disaster for a number of companies. Just today: $PYPL -19% $FUBO -21% $NVO -14% Another retail favorite backed by popular FinX influencers just hit a new low today. $DUOL -8% Now down almost 80% from its all-time high. Other notable decliners today: $TTD -9% $SNAP -7% Popular stocks that are already down significantly for the year: $BMNR -28% $MSTR -15% $ASST -21% $HIMS -24% If you zoom out to the broader market, the two sectors performing best are the rare earths and data centers. My top stocks in these two sectors (YTD): $IREN +26% $UAMY +50% (currently up 13%) My January portfolio update is coming later today here and on Substack. 👀

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@aleabitoredditFeb 2, 2026 · 9:08 PM

@SVBriskmanager $SNAP is fundamentally an extremely promising company. But the billions in stock based compensation -> taking out debt to buy that back -> going into debt -> paying interest on that debt despite having otherwise having profitable FCF Is just ridiculous.

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@aleabitoredditFeb 2, 2026 · 8:48 PM

$SNAP is close to all time lows at $6.7, despite growing revenues/profit. Here's why: The financial engineering looks criminal. Snapchat is a $11.5B company that has ~1B MAU with Q3 adjusted EBITDA ~$132M. However: - $SNAP stock comp for the last 12M? $2.5 Billion. Yes $2.5 Billion TTM. The current yearly is closer to $1.06 Billion. - Snap is going into debt to do buy-backs from executive pay. - The CEO issued ~$1B+ in annual stock based compensation annually. This is a non-cash expense that "hides" FCF. - They are paying 6.875% interest on that debt just to make sure the executive pay doesn't tank the stock price. When you couple that with projections even est. $820M – $950M FCF for 2026. Perplexity AI Deal: +$300M - $400M Memory Monetization: +$240M (3% DAU conversion to $1.99 plan) Memory OpEx Cuts: +30M Interest: ($150M - $180M) Baseline: ~$400M This just looks insane. All they need to do is have executives not pay themselves billions and the fundamentals look like a $20B+ company (~21x multiple). This is a growing social media company that has tremendous potential for monetization. I was doing more DD into long positions, but currently, this structure just looks like a transfer of wealth from retail to $SNAP executives with continuous claims of "keeping talent" for $1B+ a year. My eyes are on stock compensation structures for this week's earnings call.

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@jasonl_capitalFeb 2, 2026 · 11:32 AM

ALL OF THESE STOCKS REPORT EARNINGS THIS WEEK! Monday, February 2: The Walt Disney Company $DIS Palantir Technologies $PLTR NXP Semiconductors $NXPI Simon Property Group $SPG Tyson Foods $TSN Teradyne $TER Tuesday, February 3: Advanced Micro Devices $AMD Super Micro Computer $SMCI Pfizer $PFE Merck $MRK Chipotle Mexican Grill $CMG PepsiCo $PEP PayPal $PYPL Shopify $SHOP Amgen $AMGN Ferrari $RACE Wednesday, February 4 Alphabet $GOOGL Eli Lilly $LLY Novo Nordisk $NVO Uber Technologies $UBER Arm Holdings $ARM Qualcomm $QCOM Lantronix $LTRX EnerSys $ENS Snapchat $SNAP Shopify $SHOP AbbVie $ABBV Thursday, February 5 Amazon $AMZN Reddit $RDDT Shell $SHEL Roblox $RBLX MicroStrategy $MSTR IREN $IREN Unity Software $U Friday, February 6 Johnson Outdoors $JOUT Clean Energy Fuels $CLNE

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@aleabitoredditFeb 2, 2026 · 4:49 AM

Markets are seeing liquidation cascades. Silver's crash is now extending into other markets like Crypto and US/Foreign stocks. Here's what's happening: And here's what to expect from: - $BMNR (Crypto) - $RKLB (High-Beta) - $SNDK (AI) - to Samsung (Foreign). The "Warsh" Fed Chair nomination was the initial trigger that caused the selloff as markets viewed him as a "Hawk" -> Quantitative Tightening. However, this is a mistake as the fed chair is likely aligned with Trump's policies, and his recent stance is dovish short term + rate cuts, due to AI. However, the technical reason for the selloff was CME + Exchange controls forcing margin liquidations on Silver. As silver crashed 33% intra-day, institutions are forced to liquidate other names and hedge. So, we're seeing both: 1. Fear Contagion - when a safe haven metal plummets this much, this causes a panic across other sectors. 2. Flight to Safety - investors panic-sell "risky" assets and stocks / move to U.S. Dollar and Treasury Bonds. To play defensive: - It's best to reposition speculative names into FCF/profit generating long positions aligning with these new policies. - Names like $GOOGL, $NVDA down to $MU, $TSM, $JPM, Samsung, and others stand to benefit the most. - Stocks that are already at lows (with strong expected FCF) from $PYPL to $SNAP that are being sold off even more present decent recovery upside. Especially since the Fed chair is expected to be bullish for many sectors from AI to Banking, with rate-cuts fueled by AI growth + productivity. For a warning: - More speculative small cap names (that don't generate massive FCF) from $ONDS to $RKLB may be more at risk due to correlation to high-beta sector selloffs. - Leveraged funds like $BMNR with iliquid assets (eg. $200M in Mr. Beast's company) to speculative names like $QBTS or $RGTI may finally see a reset/wipeout. - Foreign market names like $JD to $BABA or emerging market names like $MELI may be impacted from a liquidity drain. But of course, day-traders may have a field day timing rebounds on high-beta names (eg. if $ETH flash crashes 12% to $2.1K -> recovery to $2.3K). That being said this is not saying "Sell High-Beta". This is just a warning to people with margin on high-beta sectors now that given Ethereum's flush from $3k+ down to $2.18k: There's considerable risk if there's an extended selloff on high-beta stocks. (I've been personally looking at Ethereum as a proxy). This is just personal market opinion, but generally as midterms come up + more expected rate cuts + earnings coming out higher than ever (eg. $SNDK's blowout), it's good to remain extremely bullish on the market. And it's just a matter of time before markets see a green V recovery before midterms. Fundamentals haven't changed but optics have and short-term liquidity have.

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@aleabitoredditJan 24, 2026 · 4:16 PM

Jan 25th Ratings. Post EU Tariffs and $INTC ER. Strong Buy: $SNAP $META Samsung Electronics SK Hynix $MU Unimicron $TSM $CRCL $AXTI $LPTH $COPX $LIT $AEHR $FORM $AMKR $AVGO $MRVL Buy: $COIN $SMCI $GOOGL $FIG $AMZN $IBIT $RDDT $TTD $HIMS $HOOD $COHR $AMBA $IREN $POET $AAOI $LASR $VPG $OSS $INTC $UMAC $ONDS $AIRO $DPRO $AVAV $BULL $ETOR VLN NBIS GLXY CIFR HUT WULF Questionable $VELO $SKYT Avoid $UAVS $BKKT WLMT SLNH $PLTR CRWV $ORCL $BMNR $IONQ , RGTI, QBTS _ Strong Buy Snapchat - Bottomed around $7.4, imo very strong at this level. Increased FCF from memory opex reduction and memory monetization into 2027. Just a waiting game for re-rating. Meta - 26% Y/Y revenue growth is extremely strong, produced $10B+ FCF last quarter. Expect it to pick up after next quarter earnings due to optics (700%+ Q/Q EPS optics) that caused selloff last time from BBB. Samsung Electronics - Holy grail for semis, samsung provides exposure to both hbm and foundry. SK Hynix - memory supercycle Micron - memory supercycle, but with US backing. Unimicron - unholy long for hbm, ic substrates, glass core, cowos, and all other bottlenecks. TSM - money printer, literally can't go wrong with this. Circle - 2-3x projected rate cuts would likely hurt circle net income a lot, hence why it's being priced in. But amazing long at $16B as they print money and should start seeing expansion of USDC. AXTI - LPTH: Bottlenecks for InP / Germanium, etc. Will be a huge theme going into 2026. It's just a waiting game for both supply chain disruption (in AXT) or made in America w/ black diamond in Lightpath. Low downside risk imo due to capacity ramp -> revenue increase, but moonshot HBM type price increases might be questionable. COPX - LI: Rare Earths/Materials like Copper, Lithium are great longs for 2026. Similar with bottlenecks above, supply chain disruptions from China will cause money to flow into securing supply + buildout out new supply chains. AEHR - Honestly, they sit in two different hot verticals in AI and Robotics. $5.5m Sonoma order might be linked with Micron and SiC Testing. Seems like an extremely good moonshot sub $1B MC. FORM - Likely to be important in US supply chains since they do DRAM/HBM, and Foundry/Logic. & Yield is especailyl important w/ hbm4. AMKR - extreme beneficiary of made in america us supply chains and tsm -> US AVGO - Large correction recently post earnings. Strong buy IMO at these levels given hyperscaler ASICs will continue to ramp (even though there's been some delays). MRVL - Same story with Broadcom, marvell selloff after rumors of Microsoft maia delays. It's just a waiting game for ~2x revenue in 2027 and when markets start pricing that in, and after celestial acqusition, they're doing great stuff in other segments like interconnects. Buy Coinbase - Recent correction to Crypto makes Coinbase value decent again at $57B. Was never a fan of their exchange portion, but providing infra for Blackrock IBIT etfs + USDC revenue sharing with Circle, gives Coinbase pretty good long term value. SMCI - Extreme selloff from the $60's+ back to $30's presents attractive opportunity here. Markets are extremely concerned about gross margins -> SMCI expanding overseas, especially with soverign AI + buying lower end nvda gpus. and SMCI's margins should increase over there. Also likely due to deals to become sticky w/ customers. It's not like they're dying revenue growth to $36B+. GOOGL - Gemini at this point would likely take over chatgpt, so i'd remain long google. Figma - Software selloff provides good opportunity into a lot of the hammered names like Figma which extremely high gross margins + sturdy growth Amazon - Basically same price as last year, they've been growing, AWS is doing fine, they're in robotics + space LEOs, and just seems like a great long going forward Bitcoin - Always an attractive Long Reddit - High valuations, but extremely high gross margins and not going anywhere since everyone uses reddit. TTD - Selloff from 2025 presents attractive valuations again HIMS - Honestly extremely attractive for me at $29, might be put into strong buy again, but of course revenue deceleration is very worrysome. Main alpha is that markets arent pricing in Zava acqusition and just from sheer customer base, they can derive a lot of revenue from new customers. Robinhood - Selloff from $140 back to $100 presents a good opportunity for Robinhood again. They're not going anywere, plus new product revenue expansion from banking + others, should present positive tailwinds. Coherent - Long US supply chains, esp. for photonics, inp, etc. AMBA - Moonshot long for edge AI inference for robotic ramps + edge compute. POET - Basically 1/2 cash now, backdoor into marvell + hyperscalers through celestial. Attractive upside at $6.8 given underwriters bought at $7.25 AAOI - long play tethered to msft maia and aws trainium. both of them haven't really taken off yet so it's just a waiting agme LASR - energy directed weapons are super cool. i dont quite like the fundamentals like low 20% revenue growth, but the technology is just way too cool. VPG - Long play tethered to optimus ramp. we should see industrial use cases EOY 2026 and consumer EOY 2027, so maybe optimus productions starts hitting balance sheet now or q2. OSS - Long play on defense sector and edge AI + $200m contract. INTC - long on us policy, earnings didn't really change any perspective, just short term price. UMAC - Great long play at these levels on drone manufacturing in US. ONDS, Airo, DPRO - Same with AIRO, DPRO, bullish on drone sector. There's not much of a massive tailwind compared to a few weeks ago when US was invading venezuela and threatening greenland, but thematically bullish. AVAV - selloff from misinformation about converting r&D type contracts -> long term contract presents considerable upside BULL - I do like brokerages like robinhood, webull, etc. that have a ton of retail users since there's endless ways to monetize once you own the customer base. selloff back to $8 presents attractive upsdie ETOR - selloff way overblown, high net income y/y, basically 50% cash, low downside risk. just waiting for re-rating per earnings. they're doing well too, 70%+ Y/Y AUM, so not sure why they're being priced in like this. VLN - not quite the same anymore as close to 1:1 assets/nav, at one point they had $11m+ inv (off 63%) gross margins, $93M cash, so would have been closer to 110-120m : $140m MC, which made no sense. That being said still $80m fwd revenue off 63% -> 69% gross margins, seems like considerable opportunity for re-rating. Markets just don't seem to like companies eg. Etoro related to a certain country, I guess Nebius - $15B clickhouse valuation just goes to show Sum of Parts, where I wouldn't be surpirsed if their subsidaries like Avride ended up overtaking the main business. That being said, near term selling pressure due to $2B+ ATM being sold on open market. Should ramp up extremely fast as they meet their $7B ARR target EOY 2026. GLXY, CIFR, HUT, IREN, WULF - Remain long on the colo, and other neocloud sector plays. That being said most are up 30-40%+ since 2025, so they're not exactly a strong buy anymore as they've been priced in. But lot of upside remains. Questionable VELO - Lot of people asked my opinion on this since FinX loves this stock. They have really cool customers like SpaceX, but fundamentals look terrible. ~$11.8M cash + $17.5M offering vs. ~$23M. debt. They barely have any runway left and people buying now are likely to be diluted. Velo is the perfect example of amazing customer base like IQE (EU for inP supply chain), but terrible fundamentals. SKYT - It's a great made in america supply chain company for a lot of cool stuff like quantum components or edge. Benefits from CHIP act, but very slow revenue growth. It's a lot better speculative long than Velo since it has better fundamenatls. Lower gross margins like 24%, very low operating margins, is obviously priced into MC but U.S. pure-play foundry should be a good story for premium. Bottom line are not really growing too fast though. Avoid UAVS - Endless dilution machine with over 100%+ of marketcap given over to arbitrage investors that can convert 100%+ of the shares under 25% market value to sell on retail BKKT - $300m ATM dilution right now while MC is $550m. Endless dilution machine Walmart - 43 p/e, there's no way. SLNH - Lot of dilution ahead. Palantir - Concern over valuation P/E Coreweave - Concerns over large debt, $1B+ in debt interest hurts FCF a ton. Then there's allocation/buildout for OpenAI, which has extreme, extreme concerns if they can fulfill contract obligations, especially since gemini is taking over market share of openai. Oracle - There might be technical rebound, but seriously, they've spent so much capex just for openai (eg. stargate), and like coreweave, OpenAI, which has extreme concerns over if they can fufill contracts obligations BMNR - endless dilution machine to fund silly projects like $200m into mr. beast's company. Expect long eth staking etfs, short bmnr plays, and premium to go under as $200m cash into mr. beast's company for example is not very liquid. IONQ, RGTI, QBTS - Quantum valuations are very stretched. _ Overall Thoughts: I'm personally staying extremely long, this is just personal thoughts NFI. A lot of small caps and speculative companies have already been re-rated since Jan 1st and I don't expect many of the 50-100% moves to continue (we've seen a lot of profit taking Friday on some of these names). That being said, Trump is trying to cut rates even more (another 2-3x projected), esp. since Midterms is coming up. SPY Up = better chance of getting elected. So I'm staying very long until after Midterms. That being said a lot of this helps growth, speculative companies etc. But we're already seeing this largely priced in like Rocketlab, one of my favorite longs, reaching $45B+ MC off $155m quarterly revenue, so I'm questioning valuations a bit -> pivoting a lot of positions into more value (eg. software drop or memory supercycle). Thematically I'm extremely bullish on - AI, Memory, Semis - Bottlenecks - Critical Materials, etc. Very bullish on - Made in America supply chains Bullish on - Defense Sector And would look for swing trades/recovery/re-rating for stuff like software to social media companies around now given the recent selloff.

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@aleabitoredditJan 19, 2026 · 11:17 PM

@ChiefLiquidity Full port it into $SNAP so you can overlay a dancing hotdog on top of solar radiation storms

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@aleabitoredditJan 13, 2026 · 7:44 AM

@MoJosey123 $FLY is part of my longs for 2026 given medium lift payload launch with Northrop. I do like it but obviously the biggest risk is execution related where $RKLB historically had high success. I actually posted a thesis about it, I just don’t post often about it like $SNAP or others.

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@moninvestorJan 5, 2026 · 11:27 AM

@QualityInvest5 @nataninvesting Great list. Nice to see it’s not the same as everyone else’s. I also like that you added $SNAP.

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@aleabitoredditJan 2, 2026 · 12:46 PM

Welcome to 2026. Jan 1st ratings: Strong Buy: $TTD $SMCI $AIRO $INTC $HIMS $AXTI $TSM $NBIS $CIFR Samsung Electronics (KRX: 005930) $HUT $IREN $WULF $GLXY $TSSI $META $ETOR $CRCL Buy: $KRKNF $ONDS $GEMI $NVDA $MU $AMKR SK Hynix $SNAP $RDDT $AAOI $COHR $FISV $FLY $DJT $LITE $AMZN $MRVL $AVGO $OSS $BULL $ORCL $CRDO $ALAB Avoid: $RGTI $QBTS $RGTI $BMNR $ETH $PLTR $WMT _ TLDR thoughts: TTD - Complete valuation reset dropping 67% YTD, compounded by EOY tax sell-off. Great recovery play going into 2026. SMCI - Trades like distressed company just because they delayed revenue by 1 quarter for new blackwell specs. Forward revenue is increasing 50% Y/Y, P/S close to .5 now. Great recovery play from tax harvesting. AIRO - Roughly ~1/6th balance sheet was cash. Everyone seems to be into drones, especially with accelerated gov inevstments. Another IPO name that got sold off. Great recovery play going into 2026 with esp. hot segment. Roughly ~3.8x P/S compared to ONDS trading at 25-30 P/S, but obviously there's quite a lot of other businesses like their education sector which messed up margin calculations quite a bit. INTC - It's literally become the semi arm of the US government. Hyperscalers will likely be incentived (strongly pressured) to use Intel whatever chance it gets over TSM, Samsung, etc. I would not bet against the US government. HIMS - Huge selloff going into 2026. Down from $70's. Sales/Traffic is down, but Zava acquisition/growth should add a huge tailwind going into 2026. Esp. with few hundred mill buybacks, strong recovery play first two monts in. AXTI - Posted thesis on this earlier. CEO - "40% of Inp supply chain", InP will be a huge, huge bottleneck for hyperscaler AI buildout 2026-2027 until there's enough time to engineer around it in 2028. TSM - I've covered this quote a lot. Increasing margins. Maxed out demand. Just extremely good compounder next few years. Samsung Electronics - benefits from foundry/memory. just golden egg regarding all the tailwinds helping the buisness. NBIS - Extremely strong buy, $7-9B ARR, it's literally 5 different companies growing triple digits Y/Y. management quoted 20-30% EBIT margins, it's just a waiting agme. CIFR, HUT, IREN, WULF, GLXY - Whole datacenter space is extremely sold off after Oracle/OpenAI fears. OpenAI recently raised $40B, another $10B from $AMZN, and more. So a lot of fears regarding capex spend has been de-risked. It's multifaceted too, eg. Bitcoin drop, affects $CIFR balance sheet, $GLXY in crypto space. But generally huge recovery play/ramp for neoclouds sector. TSSI - Similar to SMCI. deferred revenue = nuke. Should recover after tax harvesting + lot of revenue gets recognized META - Huge algorithmic selloff post earnings due to one-time tax. They also cut capex/opex spend of their reality labs and other departments and this should be a huge tailwind for EPS going into 2026. ETOR - Literally sitting on $1.2B with a $2.8B marketcap and growing double digits Y/Y still. $150M buyback should be a nice tailwind, and tax harvesting from YTD performance should subside. CRCL - Same as stablecoin thesis should be really solid going into 2026 Buy KRKNF - Anduril partner+ scale. Probable uplisting in 2026, lot of tailwinds from defense spending. ONDS -pretty explosive revenue growth, new $10m contracts left and right. large cash balance to fund r&d. Pretty high p/s but there's valuation premiums for speculative leaders in the space like rklb. GEMI - So i typically dont like exchanges, but gemini got nuked from $30+ IPO sub $10. pretty solid recovery play. NVDA - Huge backlog lol. Everyone knows bull case for nvidia MU - Memory is hot SK Hynix - Memory is hot AMKR - benefits from "made in america" chip expansion in prod. SNAP - Opex Cut from memory, increase revenue from memory monetization, $400m from perplixity. $1.5B revenue/quarter. They could literally stop growing revenue complelty if they convert all of that to $1B+ FCF/year, it would re-rate snap completly. RDDT - This is not going anywhere for the next 10+ years tbh, it's like robinhood of social media, growing extremely fast from new ways to monetize revenue, and just extrmeely profitable. AAOI - interconnect play for amzn, msft asic scale up. COHR - benefits from photonics rollout for next gen asics. FISV - Nuked a bit too much post ER, strong recovery play esp. post tax-harves.t FLY - Space is hot from SpaceX IPO. Should do well given tax harvesting is over, and they have medium lift coming up with northrop. DJT - I never thought i'd put this here lol, but this is just because of their TAE merger. LITE - Large BOM from Google TPU rollout, attractive valuation. Slight selloff after Google TPU revised est. but it's basically in every single hyperscaler asic deployment. AMZN - one of the mag7 that's not overvalued MRVL - Selloff from analyst misinformation, strong buy going into 2026. Especially with msft maia revenue doubling Marvell's current revenue when it ramps up AVGO - Like NVDA just strong long, as AI infrastructure deployment ramps up OSS - I made a post speculating that they're one of andruils' suppliers. but regardless, edge computing will be hot 2026 and its 180m mc presents attracctive upside. BULL - similar to robinhood where they have a huge userbase, but they just need to figure out monetization Oracle - Sold off a bit too much imo. I put this on avoid months ago but after the from from $330 to $190, it's more attractive again esp. after openai raised another $40B CRDO -extremely high margin, necessary connectivity for dc rollout ALAB - extremely high margin, necessary connectivity for dc rollout Avoid: There's a lot of stuff on the "overvalued list" like $RKLB that i like but I wouldn't quite say avoid it either aside from these. RGTI , QBTS, RGTI - Quantum names are still overvalued and likely won't deliver fcf in the next few ytears. BMNR, ETH - if you saw my eth post, not exactly bullish since the amount of ETH burn is just single-low double digits every day, which is a joke. PLTR - one of the most overvalued ai names WMT - How is this 40 p/e? This is Walmart? __ (these are based on today's prices) TLDR: IPO names like Circle, Etoro, AIRO, Klarna, Figma, present attractive upsides post drop + tax harvesting going into 2026. Tons of names like SMCI, HIMS that dropped 40% or so past 3 months, are amazing swing/recovery trades post-tax harvest + Jan effect. Lot of the names that doom dropped like FiserV or The Trade Desk present good recovery trades too post-tax harvest. Many datacenter stocks like nebius, iren, cifr, wulf, galaxy, are amazing recovery trades too. Lot of other segments like memory, bottlenecks, photonics, and others are just great longs in 2026, despite each hitting ATHs. There's still quite a lot of overvalued names from Quantum, to certain Space stocks (eg. planet or rocketlab), specific AI names like Palantir to retail stocks like Walmart that I would probably avoid for the time being until there's a slight correction. This was a TLDR just if I'm short term trading-only (not long term) but feel free to ask questions.

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@aleabitoredditDec 31, 2025 · 7:09 PM

@ejdisokqaloa So I can argue the bear case for $NVDA too, that hyperscalers are building their own ASICs. But in cases like these, you look at numbers rather than narrative like, the backlog for Nvidia, it's wild. $SMCI is nowhere close, which is why it's down 40% in 3 months but it's still growing revenue 50%+ Y/Y and even raised FY guidance from $33B to FY $36B. As for $SNAP, it's materially undervalued if you're value investing. Perplexity deal adding $400m in value, then net FCF from memory monetization is +$630M. Yet it's trading 25% down from the start of the year. $HIMS has Zava acqusition and is expanding to Europe. Amazon and others already launched competitors but Hims I think is still growing 20%+ Y/Y into next year and has buybacks. They're obviously not god-tier stocks like Sk Hynix, TSM, Lite, and others just growing at insane rates but this is the point of being over-sold + revert to mean a lot faster. And upside could be higher.

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@aleabitoredditDec 31, 2025 · 6:37 PM

Happy New Year! The strangest “seasonal anomaly" is the January Effect for mean reversion rallies. Look for beaten down names like $MSTR -53.9%, $HIMS -41.9%, or $SMCI -38.63% on 3M charts or companies like $SNAP -25% YTD, $MRVL -23% YTD The primary candidates have strong forward earnings, but are down like Snapchat (perplexity, memory monetization), SMCI (50%+ forward y/y growth but dropped on q1->q2 backlog delay), or Marvell with triple digit revenue growth from Maia down the road. The EoY tax harvesting is in full effect for the markets and this causes artificial downward pressure. So, while you’re shopping for new year discounts, make sure to check there isn’t something fundamentally too broken. (Eg. MSTR is more risky because of MSCI delisting) But, historically, these tend to rise first month of the year if they had accelerated sell offs due to end of year tax losses. This trend presents one of the most rewarding opportunities for traders.

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@moninvestorDec 25, 2025 · 7:38 PM

List of stocks to add to your watchlist, heading into 2026. Space: $ASTS, $RKLB, $PL Data Center: $IREN, $CIFR, $NBIS, $SLNH Solar: $ENPH, $TE, $ASTI Rare Earth: $UAMY, $UUUU, $NAK, $USAR AI: $PATH, $ZETA, $BZAI Robotics: $OUST, $RR, $SERV, $KRKNF Energy: $EOSE, $FLNC, $QS Others: $POET, $SNAP, $HIMS, $ONDS, $PRME, $FUBO, $JOBY, $ACHR, $NUAI, $ALMU, $WULF, $PPIH

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@moninvestorDec 20, 2025 · 1:43 PM

List of stocks to add to your 2026 watchlist. 👀 Space: $ASTS, $RKLB, $PL Data Center: $IREN, $DGXX, $NUAI, $CIFR Solar: $ENPH, $TE, $ASTI Rare Earth: $UAMY, $UUUU, $NAK, $USAR AI: $PATH, $ZETA, $BZAI Robotics: $OUST, $RR, $SERV, $KRKNF, $ONDS Energy: $EOSE, $FLNC, $QS Others: $POET, $SNAP, $HIMS, $PRME, $FUBO

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@aleabitoredditDec 16, 2025 · 3:15 AM

@mkfilko thanks for tagging me, that's hilarious. $SNAP thesis in effect

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@aleabitoredditDec 14, 2025 · 10:05 PM

@wealthmatica Bruh, I’ve been bull posting $SNAP too but adoption rate of memory monetization is probably single low digit at best. Majority of people don’t have over 5 GB used. So how are majority of 80% or even 25% (from your previous post) of the 943M monthly users paying for extra storage? Also it’s been a generational wealth destroyer. That being said it’s undervalued right now, 2% adoption leads to a huge increase in revenue but the core thing people miss is opex cuts from GCP costs from 9 GB wasteful hotdog videos.

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@tsoh_investingNov 6, 2025 · 4:15 PM

Snap TTM Revenues $SNAP https://t.co/oCzXBUbdVE

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@tsoh_investingOct 3, 2025 · 3:41 PM

Snap SBC Expense, % Of Revenues $SNAP https://t.co/pVJRXCbM9y

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