$EWY — FinTwit mentions on Surfaced

$EWY — FinTwit mentions on Surfaced

Recent calls

98 calls

@aleabitoredditJul 17, 2026 · 6:10 AM

@babybluecream Yeah, my $EWY longs crashed quite a bit. I still think the operating income that SK Hynix and Samsung produces will catch up to the MC eventually, so I’m holding my memory positions. Regardless, not a fun time to watch Asian markets from Nikkei to Taiwan to Kospi drop so much.

@aleabitoredditJul 8, 2026 · 9:42 PM

@starlightrvrie Yep still holding $AXTI. And a lot of my older thesis like $EWY that are up hundreds of percent. Even if I don’t mention it as much anymore

@tradexwhispererJul 4, 2026 · 1:57 AM

$DRAM $EWY $SKHY “South Korea’s exports surpassed $100 billion in a single month for the first time in June, driven by booming semiconductor shipments. It jumped 70.9 percent from a year earlier to a record $102.25 billion.” “Semiconductors led the surge as soaring memory chip prices, fueled by strong demand tied to the global artificial intelligence infrastructure boom, lifted exports 199.5 percent from a year earlier to a record $44.82 billion. It was also the first time monthly semiconductor exports exceeded $40 billion.” Computer exports surged 308.8% to $5.41 billion. Wireless communication device exports climbed 51.9% to $1.55 billion. 18 of Korea’s 20 major export categories posted year-on-year increases. Exports to China and the U.S. both exceeded $20 billion. Trade surplus reached a record $36.15 billion in June (first time over $30 billion); first-half surplus $138.3 billion. First-half exports: record $496.7 billion, on track for annual exports to exceed $1 trillion for the first time.

@aleabitoredditJun 23, 2026 · 4:10 AM

Bank of America looks like the malicious equivalent of Bernstein/Jim Cramer to retail. - said $KOSPI / $EWY was an extreme bubble, compared it to Silver crash back in March, causing retail to sell positions. The index proceeded to close to double and hit ATHs since that call. - saying “BoA expects 3 rate hikes in 2026”, Close to 0% chance on derivative markets and causes retail panic. While Trump administration calling for rate cuts. Absolutely harmful behavior from a US bank publishing this garbage to retail investors.

@aleabitoredditJun 19, 2026 · 9:25 AM

@KristupasSimon2 Went long on Samsung through $EWY earlier on. Still think it’s cheap given operating income forecasts. https://t.co/l0VvosFlVE

@aleabitoredditJun 18, 2026 · 2:54 PM

Just a reminder: 99% of X was bearish on memory 3 months ago... Since then: $MU $380 -> $1122 (+195.26%) $SNDK $565 -> $2155 (+281.42%) $EWY $132 -> $219 (+65.91%) SK Hynix 849K -> 2.685M KRW (+215.5%) Samsung 172K -> 362K KRW (+110.7%) If you see a bunch of projections on memory names like Samsung becoming the most profitable company in the world in 2028. Might be a good idea to think independently outside of the narratives at the time like "Oil, LNG, Helium, Iran, etc." Probably same thing now with optical names and their projections into 2027, 2028. I do think photonics and memory are the 2 top themes though, with optics being very early into the supercycle.

@aleabitoredditJun 16, 2026 · 7:59 AM

@schwabdeeznuts Yeah my $EWY leaps are up a similar amount, but I did 2028 dates. Pretty insane gains on the South Korean index!

@aleabitoredditJun 9, 2026 · 12:25 AM

For people out there citing Bank of America quotes now about selling. Just remember: They said $EWY/ KOSPI (SK Hynix/Samsung) was an extreme bubble back in March. And blamed retail for the cause, then implied they should sell Korean memory equities: comparing it to the 2008 financial crisis, .com bubble, and Silver crash. Then shortly after retail sold their longs, memory rallied to all time highs. Institutions are not your friends. Usually when an unusual flood of negative news, they need liquidity.

@photonbullJun 5, 2026 · 5:04 PM

@BonyBallf2 Did you miss the part where I shorted $EWY yesterday nephew?

@aleabitoredditJun 3, 2026 · 6:30 AM

@LLTHTRS I did all my DD on memory earlier this year. I’m just letting my thesis get validated like my $EWY longs which are up 480%.

@aleabitoredditJun 1, 2026 · 3:30 PM

And a few months later... my $EWY leaps are now up 485%. From IV expansion and directional memory longs. Unfortunately I did see a lot of people sell during the Iran volatility, due to doomposting everywhere on X. But returns going long on the memory sector from Samsing SK Hynix / $MU have been absolutely disgusting to watch. If you can model Samsung / SK Hynix becoming the most profitable companies in the world in 2028... Maybe it's a good idea to just embrace the volatility and let that thesis play out.

@thevalueistJun 1, 2026 · 1:44 AM

$005930 $EWY $DRAM (Bloomberg) -- Samsung shares rise as much as 5.8% on Korea Exchange to a fresh high, after Goldman Sachs raised its price target to 480,000 won from 360,000 won, saying it’s one of the key beneficiaries of the memory shortage. •“We are more bullish on a significant upside in HBM pricing starting in 2027E, which we believe will rise close to 50% y/y (vs. consensus estimate of 34%) with the AI server-related demand continuing to outpace supply,” analysts led by Giuni Lee write in a note, maintaining buy •Raises 2026/2027/2028 EPS estimates for Samsung by 6%/21%/23%, citing incrementally bullish view on both DRAM and NAND average selling prices; switches valuation method to P/E from P/B on more sustainable earnings •“This cycle will be different than the past in terms of higher demand visibility due to higher server and AI mix, limited supply growth from slower capacity additions and higher HBM trade ratio, and more binding long-term agreements” •Also lifts SK Hynix price target to 3.5 million won from 1.8 million won, keeps buy •Read more: Samsung, SK Rally Sparks Forced Selling as Funds Hit Limits

@aleabitoredditMay 28, 2026 · 6:09 PM

Holy crap… My $EWY 2028 leaps are now up 428%+. So 5.2x ROI trade, in 3 months. Thats what happens when IV increases and underlying memory assets in SK Hynix / Samsung also appreciate. https://t.co/XdE21DOyoz

@yasutaketinMay 18, 2026 · 3:45 AM

「HBMの父」キム・ジョンホ教授がインタビューで投資家に向け極めて強気な見解を示した。 $EWY $MU ・AIの本質はメモリであり、将来の半導体需要は100倍以上に増加すると予測されている。・個別化されたカスタムソリューションへの移行やマルチモデル化、1人が100体のAIエージェントを運用する時代の到来により、メモリ需要は指数関数的に成長する見込みである。・現在は全人口の10%から11%程度しかAIを積極的に利用していないが、将来的に全人類が終日AIを利用するようになれば膨大なメモリが必要となる。・需要増加の背景には資金調達や電力供給といったリスク要因（バブルの懸念）があるものの、技術的な問題がなければ需要は増え続ける。・自律型AIエージェントの24時間稼働に伴うトークン使用量の増加がメモリ容量の拡大に直結するため、メモリ需要は想像を絶する規模になる。・一方で、AI企業がそれだけの付加価値を生み出せるか、また企業や国家、個人が毎月高額な費用を負担し続けられるかという点が課題となる。・HBM4、5、6、7へと進化する過程でGPUやCPUをHBMに統合すべきであり、メモリ中心のAIコンピューティングにおいては、メモリ側で処理を行い複雑な計算のみをGPUに引き渡す構造が理想である。・こうした統合を実現するにはGPUやCPUの設計・製造能力を持つファウンドリが必要であり、サムスン電子はその能力を備えている。・10年後にはあらゆる可能性があり、現在はHBMを手がけていないサンディスクもHBFに巨額の投資を行っており、NAND市場の拡大に伴いチップの積層による容量拡大が進んでいる。・地政学的リスクの観点から、エヌビディアやグーグルは韓国企業だけに依存するのを避け、米国企業であるマイクロンやサンディスクを育成する可能性がある。・現時点ではサムスンとハイニックスが生産量・性能ともに最高であるため依存せざるを得ないが、長期的には供給元の多角化が進むリスクがある。・米国側は今後もサムスン電子やハイニックスに対して米国内への工場建設を要求し、地理的に近い企業を選択していく意向とみられる。

@yasutaketinMay 17, 2026 · 4:59 AM

ゴールドマン・サックスによるアジアメモリー企業の分析：キオクシアのCY1Q26決算から読み解く他社への影響、力強い業績見通しはNANDの販売価格および営業利益率の上振れを示唆、サムスン電子とハイニックスはBUY $EWY $MU ・2026年5月15日、日本のNANDメーカーであるキオクシアがCY1Q26の決算を発表し、これを受けて韓国のメモリサプライヤーであるSKハイニックスとサムスン電子への影響を分析した。・キオクシアのCY2Q26の業績見通しから、SECとハイニックスにおけるNANDの平均販売価格（ASP）の成長と営業利益率（OPM）の上振れが示唆されている。・キオクシアは強気な市場見通しを維持しており、2027年まで供給不足が続くと予想している。・キオクシアがADR（米国預託証券）の株式公開を準備しているとの発表は、コンソーシアムを通じて同社の株式を実質的に保有しているハイニックスの投資家心理にプラスに働く可能性がある。・CY1Q26において、キオクシアの米ドルベースのブレンデッドASPは前四半期比で2倍以上に増加した一方、設備メンテナンスや在庫販売の影響でビット出荷量は前四半期比10%減少した。・キオクシアはCY2Q26に向けて前四半期比70%増という米ドルベースの力強い売上高成長見通しを示しており、この成長の大部分はASPの上昇が牽引するとみられる。・キオクシアのCY2Q26の営業利益率見通しは74%と非常に高く、現在約60%と予測している韓国勢2社のNANDの営業利益率見通しが保守的すぎる可能性を示している。・キオクシアは、NAND市場が2026年と2027年の両年ともに非常に逼迫するとの見方を示しており、中長期的なNANDの年平均成長率（CAGR）は従来予想通りの20%を見込んでいる。・NANDの需要はあらゆる用途で増加しているが、特にAIデータセンターおよび企業向け（エンタープライズ）からの需要拡大が主な原動力となっている。

@yasutaketinMay 13, 2026 · 7:38 AM

マーク・ニュートン・韓国株ETF（ $EWY ）において、5月末までにサムスン電子とSKハイニックスの売却を伴うリバランスが強制される見通し・このリバランスによる売り圧力が、米国市場を含む世界の半導体銘柄に悪影響を及ぼす可能性がある

@thevalueistMay 11, 2026 · 2:55 PM

$EWY all-time high again. How much is real fundamental growth versus momentum chasing is hard to say. However, I believe you will still be very well placed if you are willing to maintain a multiyear hold. https://t.co/FGSOXBGi6J

@photonbullMay 7, 2026 · 6:45 PM

So we should go long SK Hynix, short $EWY or $DRAM 🤔

@aleabitoredditMay 7, 2026 · 12:51 AM

I did say $TOWA (6315) would be very boring... But it just keeps creeping up slowly over time like Hammond. Maybe going directly with $EWY longs calls would have been more exciting? https://t.co/7L0p2oeUqQ

@yasutaketinMay 4, 2026 · 1:49 AM

😳 $EWY "ゴールドマン・サックスによるサムスン電子の営業利益予想の引き上げ・2026年の営業利益予想を315兆ウォン（2,137億ドル）から355兆ウォン（2,409億ドル）に引き上げました。・2027年の営業利益予想を307兆ウォン（2,083億ドル）から438兆ウォン（2,972億ドル）に引き上げました。・2028年の営業利益予想を318兆ウォン（2,158億ドル）から495兆ウォン（3,359億ドル）に引き上げました。"

@thevalueistMay 1, 2026 · 5:48 PM

$EWY all time high. Still more to come. https://t.co/csXBHKvkKb

@aleabitoredditMay 1, 2026 · 5:24 PM

Everyone was doomposting $EWY 2 months ago. Calling it “Silver Crash” or “KOSPI crash bubble” Now they’re all flip flopping opinions, saying they were bullish memory all along. Even despite fear posting from $RPI to $SIVE, my thesis ends up right. Main reason I got 245K+ followers is because I’m consistently right about my opinions while taking a firm directional stance. My $EWY longs are now up ~3x.

@aleabitoredditApr 18, 2026 · 6:29 PM

@ArkhamInvests I'm still personally long 2028 leaps on $EWY for memory exposure. Those are up over triple digits, since I expect Samsung/Sk Hynix to be printing. $DRAM was another good vehicle for exposure.

@thevalueistApr 8, 2026 · 5:07 AM

Expect $EWY to continue to rebound if there is a peaceful resolution to the Iran war. https://t.co/P71SwLwQTO

@tradexwhispererApr 7, 2026 · 4:20 AM

Samsung Sees Explosive 755% Profit Growth as Q1 Tops Full-Year 2025 Earnings amid Memory Boom $DRAM $MU $EWY https://t.co/6oeSx4zad8

@tradexwhispererApr 6, 2026 · 4:27 PM

$MU $DRAM $EWY Samsung and SK Hynix have already locked in nearly two years’ worth of AI memory supply, most of their HBM and high-end server DDR5 capacity is reserved through long-term contracts with Big Tech. Microsoft and Google are actively pushing for long-term supply agreements (LTAs). SK Hynix is in final negotiations with Microsoft for a 3-year server DDR5 contract rumored to be worth tens of trillions of KRW (~tens of billions of USD), including minimum price guarantees and potential advance payments. Similar discussions with Google cover HBM and general server DRAM. DRAM spot prices are expected to surge 58-63% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2026 (per TrendForce’s March 2026 report), fueled by North American Big Tech cloud investments and long-term contract negotiations. Memory prices have already more than doubled from early 2025 levels by late 2025, with DRAM inventory levels dropping to critically low 2 - 4 weeks. This trend is expected to stabilize profitability and fab utilization for Samsung and SK Hynix while reducing procurement uncertainty for hyperscalers. New capacity expansions are underway, but meaningful relief for general memory is not expected until 2027–2028.

@tradexwhispererApr 4, 2026 · 6:09 PM

$DRAM $EWY Samsung Photonics Samsung Electronics' foundry division has officially entered the silicon photonics market. This technology integrates optical components onto semiconductor chips to transmit data using light instead of electricity, helping solve data transfer bottlenecks and high power consumption in AI data. Samsung unveiled its silicon photonics foundry platform and mass production roadmap at the Optical Fiber Communication Conference (OFC) 2026 in Los Angeles on March 17, 2026. This marked the first formal announcement from its foundry business. The company has completed development of a Process Design Kit (PDK) and is ready for immediate manufacturing on 300mm wafers once customers provide designs. Initial focus is on photonic integrated circuits (PICs) for data center optical modules and optical engines for co-packaged optics (CPO). Technical Achievements Samsung's modulator reached 224 Gbps per lane (measured by imec), targeting next-gen optical modules at ~200G per lane. This enables 800 Gbps (4 lanes) or 1.6 Tbps (8 lanes). Core technologies validated include modulators, waveguides, couplers, and photodiodes. Silicon photonics currently connects racks and switches in data centers but is expected to expand to chip-to-chip communication, replacing copper interconnects. Roadmap 2026: PIC platform for pluggable optical modules. 2027: Optical engines using thermo-compression (TC) bonding, mounted directly on switch chips. 2028: Hybrid copper (HC) bonding for finer integration. 2029: Turnkey CPO services, fully integrating optical modules into switch chip packages. Further next-gen CPO developments planned through 2030.

@tradexwhispererApr 3, 2026 · 2:07 AM

$DRAM $EWY $MU SK Hynix is heading for a massive earnings shock in Q1 2026. Hana Securities now forecasts $24.4 billion in operating profit for the quarter alone, a huge upward revision of ~$6.6B from their previous $17.9B estimate just two months ago. This comes on the back of DRAM contract prices surging 110-115% QoQ (DDR5 16Gb now ~$30, 5x higher than six months ago), exploding NAND prices, and overwhelming demand for HBM driven by AI infrastructure. Q1 revenue is projected at ~$35.4B (+203% YoY), with full-year 2026 operating profit now raised sharply to $153.4B (from $104B) and sales to $207.3B. Q2 is expected to be even stronger at ~$38B in op. profit as B2C customers show weaker resistance to price hikes. Brokerages are racing to raise targets: Hana and Daol at $1,059 per share, NH at $959. Currently, ₩877,000 KRW ($581) per share. AI memory is printing serious money for Hynix.

@aleabitoredditMar 30, 2026 · 2:32 AM

@TexasMike48 No, I'm largely bullish on memory since I think demand is structural. Price hikes are not, but gross margins will be high for $MU to SK Hynix moving forward. However, Macro/War overshadows $EWY and other names. So individual performance won't matter as much if there's a global energy criss.

@tradexwhispererMar 29, 2026 · 6:22 AM

$MU $SNDK $EWY SK Hynix CEO Kwak Noh-jung is expected to meet Microsoft EVP Scott Guthrie in Seoul (at Microsoft's AI Tour on March 26, 2026) to discuss HBM and DRAM supply for Microsoft's expanding AI data centers. The meeting reflects surging demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) driven by custom AI chips Rising HBM Demand: Demand is increasing rapidly due to the boom in customized AI semiconductors (not just Nvidia GPUs, but also proprietary AI chips from Microsoft, Google, AWS, OpenAI, etc.). Big Investment: SK Hynix plans to invest KRW 11.95 trillion (~US$8.2 billion) in EUV equipment from ASML over the next two years (through December 2027). This represents nearly 10% of the company's total assets and could roughly double its existing EUV capacity.

@yasutaketinMar 25, 2026 · 8:08 AM

【Apple決算コールから見るメモリ価格高騰問題】 $AAPL $MU $EWY ・Appleは決算コールでメモリ（DRAM / NAND）価格上昇について言及している・メモリ価格は上昇しており、今後の四半期では粗利に影響が出る可能性があると説明「今後もメモリ価格はさらに上がると見ている」・Appleは長期契約や価格交渉などでコスト上昇の影響を抑えようとしている・一部製品ではメモリ価格上昇が販売価格に反映され始めている（Macなど）・Apple製品の主要コストは　SoC 　ディスプレイ　メモリ　の3つが大きい・メモリ価格上昇はiPhoneやMacの製造コストに直接影響する・現在メモリ需給が逼迫している理由は　AIデータセンター　スマホ　PC 　自動車　エッジAI 　などが同じDRAM/NANDを取り合っているため・AI革命ではGPUだけでなく　DRAM 　HBM 　NAND 　がボトルネックになりやすい・Appleが決算でメモリ価格に言及していること自体が　メモリ市場の逼迫を示すシグナルの一つと言える。

@tradexwhispererMar 25, 2026 · 5:59 AM

$MU $SNDK $EWY Every few months a paper drops claiming AI needs less memory. This is that paper. There is no such thing as a free lunch. Compressing KV cache in controlled benchmarks is not the same as scaling it universally to every user, task, and platform in the world. Accuracy collapse is real at scale. As expected from a research paper, the downsides never make the headlines. Remember Titans Architecture? Google said it would make memory usage more efficient. Didn't move the needle. If anything, it drove more HBM demand. Jevons Paradox. What did Deepseek do? What's memory demand today? You be the judge. HBM is still the primary fuel for AI training. That does not change. The paper targets long-context inference which relies on a full memory stack: HBM for speed, server DRAM and NAND for capacity and storage. When inference runs, memory spills from HBM into conventional DRAM and NAND. HBM stays fully utilized. At best, this research reduces the spill in a controlled workload, IMO.

@aleabitoredditMar 24, 2026 · 7:06 PM

@HeLiuLeo So $EWY as a proxy has gotten a tad worse due to current devaluation from Oil/War tensions. So individually holding SK Hynix might be better as of now. However, I still think Samsung/SK Hynix outperformance will carry $EWY index regardless so I’m personally holding

@tradexwhispererMar 23, 2026 · 6:51 AM

$TSM $MU $EWY Helium Supply & Pricing Taiwan is better insulated. South Korea is more exposed. Helium is a minor input cost. Qatar supplies over a third of global helium. Attacks on QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan LNG plant have stalled production, with full recovery expected to take 3–5 years. trendforce Spot helium prices have surged up to 40% in a week. If the squeeze continues, prices could hit $2,000/MCF vs. ~$500 pre-conflict Helium is critical for wafer heat dissipation during etching and for photolithography processes. South Korea is more exposed: South Korea sourced 64.7% of its helium from Qatar in 2025. Samsung and SK hynix are diversifying to U.S. suppliers and exploring Russian deals, while maintaining roughly six months of stock. Taiwan is better insulated: Only ~30% of Taiwan's helium comes from Qatar. TSMC holds over two months of stock and sources from multiple suppliers. Samsung's in-house Helium Reuse System (HeRS) could cut total helium consumption by ~18.6% annually if deployed across all lines. -U.S. is the second largest source -Russia has reserves but sanctions/geopolitics make that complicated -Algeria and Australia produce smaller volumes -US holds the largest reserves at 20.6B m³, more than double Qatar's 10.1B m³. Algeria and Russia follow

@yasutaketinMar 23, 2026 · 4:25 AM

$MU は安いとは思う。割安なら常に上がるってわけでもないけど、今はメモリー・SSD銘柄は良いとは思う。 $SNDK $EWY も。 https://t.co/gqcOvE2qhz

@tradexwhispererMar 21, 2026 · 4:30 AM

$EWY Samsung is betting big time on its foundry capabilities. It might be a high risk, high reward strategy. Samsung Reportedly Allocates 50%+ of Pyeongtaek Foundry Capacity to HBM4 Base Logic Die Capacity shift: >50% of Pyeongtaek foundry dedicated to HBM4 base die (using 4nm process for better performance/power efficiency). OpenAI deal: Part of Samsung’s total 2026 HBM4 output (>5.5 billion gigabits) allocated to OpenAI; up to ~800 million gigabits of 12-layer HBM4 mentioned in related reports. Timeline: HBM4 base die production ramping in 2026; shipments to OpenAI begin second half of 2026. Strategic move: Strong HBM4 demand (from NVIDIA, AMD, now OpenAI) driving the internal allocation; foundry utilization at Pyeongtaek now >90%. Samsung shifting from traditional DRAM focus to vertically integrate high-value AI memory production.

@tradexwhispererMar 20, 2026 · 8:18 PM

$MU $EWY The memory cycle is being structurally dismantled Samsung is reportedly in talks with Google and Microsoft on long-term supply deals that could include $10B+ in prepayments. Unlike the toothless deals of 2019, these are designed to be binding. Micron already signed its first five-year SCA. The entire industry is moving in one direction. This is the transformation bears refuse to see.

@tradexwhispererMar 19, 2026 · 10:13 PM

$MU $EWY Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix all posted strong quarters but Micron is the clear standout. A 74.4% gross margin puts it in a league of its own against Samsung's 47.2% and SK Hynix's 58%. 🤷‍♂️ https://t.co/P0Dlpwt58d

@thevalueistMar 19, 2026 · 3:36 PM

Thank you! People need to understand that HBM4 and future generations are not simply interchangeable bubble gum sticks like DRAM of 5 years ago. They are much more like highly customized logic components, designed specifically for the particular iteration of the GPU package to which they are attached. $MU $000660 $005930 $EWY

@yasutaketinMar 18, 2026 · 11:05 PM

$MU フツーに買いだと思うよ😅 アフターで-4%だけど。わいは $EWY の方買ってるけど。

@thevalueistMar 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM

Will add $EWY if there is a sell-off from here due to elevated oil/gas. https://t.co/mz8YCbAZhO

@tradexwhispererMar 17, 2026 · 3:58 AM

$MU $EWY "South Korea's SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won said on Monday the global chip wafer shortage is likely to persist until 2030, as demand driven by artificial intelligence continues to outpace supply." AI is not a 2-year car lease. It's a perpetual mortgage. https://t.co/Zua77BQCoq

@aleabitoredditMar 16, 2026 · 9:06 PM

Just a reminder: While the entire community was doomposting about memory names. From $EWY (SK Hynix, Samsung), $MU and $SNDK. during the initial Iran conflict. Sayin “Kospi and memory names would drop 30-40% because of Helium or LNG.” I was one of the only few analysts that remained bullish the entire time. As I actually did the research to back up my claims about little material disruption of LNG, Crude, and Helium. The Iran conflict is still ongoing, and there’s a lot of unknowns still regarding potential oil spikes: But fear and sensational headlines drive short term prices. Operating income drives long term prices. Just know that directionally, memory is critical to the AI buildout. United Stares wont let their buildout stall, and lose China, in AI - the most transformative technology in history. Over a Middle East conflict.

@michaelsikandMar 16, 2026 · 7:51 PM

Jensen: "Inference doesn't change the fact that we need a whole lot of memory" The memory bear thesis that inference reduces the need for HBM just EVAPORATED. $EWY $MU $SNDK https://t.co/EFLKBPNNDC

@kawzinvestsMar 16, 2026 · 4:49 PM

The chairman of SK Group flew to GTC this week. It is the first time he has ever attended. SK Hynix holds roughly two-thirds of Nvidia's HBM4 order allocation for 2026 and is the only vendor currently optimizing to the 11Gb/s memory speed threshold Nvidia is demanding for Vera Rubin qualification. $MU $SNDK $EWY

@tradexwhispererMar 15, 2026 · 11:20 PM

$MU $EWY META just dropped a 4 chip MTIA roadmap with HBM demand exploding from 216GB to 512GB per chip and bandwidth up 4.5x by 2027. Their VP literally said they're "worried about HBM supply." Micron already sold out through 2026. Another hyperscaler locked in. 🔥 https://t.co/VR3Ye0m7yg

@yasutaketinMar 15, 2026 · 10:38 AM

米国メモリー銘柄が業績期待で上がってきているなら、原油高の悪影響が一服すれば、大きく下げてる SKハイニクス・サムスン電子 $EWY には上値余地が大きそうだな、とか推測することはできるね。

@aleabitoredditMar 13, 2026 · 10:16 PM

@Patrick84121851 IV $EWY trade was successful. Volatility of the Korean Index went from 32% IV -> 46-48%. Now it's more of a directional long on memory from SK Hynix/Sasmung. NAND prices hiked up 100%+ Q1 and Samsung reportedly jacked up 100%+ again Q2. DRAM prices also hiked way past expectations. Helium/Oil/LNG fears are overblown currently so I'm staying long on Korean memory sector. Operational income should blow away any macro fears.

@tradexwhispererMar 13, 2026 · 2:51 AM

$MU $EWY 12GB LPDDR5X prices DOUBLE -Samsung reportedly won the order to supply the 12GB LPDDR5X DRAM modules specifically for Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone. -Samsung negotiated a sharply higher price than in previous memory contracts with Apple — the price for these 12GB LPDDR5X modules has roughly doubled (from around $30 early 2025 to about $70 recently), driven by: -Shipments from Samsung are expected to begin in Q2 2026, aligning with Apple's production ramp-up for a likely fall/second-half 2026 launch of the device. -This fits into broader supply chain momentum for the foldable iPhone, where Samsung is already heavily involved (e.g., exclusive or leading supplier for foldable OLED displays via Samsung Display). -While Samsung leads this DRAM deal (and may have a larger share due to pricing dynamics), other suppliers like SK hynix and Micron are believed to have secured some orders too, though entering the supply chain later. -The higher memory specs (12GB) match expectations for the premium foldable model, supporting advanced features like on-device AI (Apple Intelligence) and multitasking.

@tradexwhispererMar 12, 2026 · 3:56 AM

$MU $SNDK $EWY Modular laptop manufacturer Framework raises RAM prices for the third time in three months. Micron earnings in 7 days 🍿 https://t.co/wqENX2yrZr

@kaizen_investorMar 10, 2026 · 3:47 PM

@acceler8future It is a great buy imo. $EWY has a lot of exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung.

@yasutaketinMar 10, 2026 · 8:47 AM

" $EWY 韓国ETFのIV（インプライド・ボラティリティ）は、深刻な価格の乖離が起き始めているように見える。韓国株価指数とSKハイニックス、サムスンのボラティリティは、まさに異常だ。とは言え、メモリ銘柄に関しては3つのことが言える。 ①原油コストと副産物としてのLNGは、実質的な影響がほとんどないか、あっても限定的である可能性が高い。 - 価格の高騰はSKハイニックスとサムスンの利益率をわずかに削るが、DRAMやNANDの値上げがそれをすべて補う。 - 輸送ルートやSKハイニックスの声明を鑑みると、ヘリウムやLNGへの支障は少ないことがわかった。 ②懸念の大部分は誇張されているようで、市場は原油価格が $200 以上に達し、世界的な不況に陥るという最悪の事態を織り込んでいる。 ③強制決済が影響を増幅させている。これらの銘柄の営業利益は、おそらく損なわれていない。しかし、市場が将来的な原油の影響をリスク回避しているため、短期的な再評価が行われるのは理にかなっている。それでも、ファンダメンタルズは恐怖に勝るため、戦争によるボラティリティが収まれば、メモリ銘柄は魅力的なロングになると信じている。また、このようなボラティリティの高い時期には証拠金取引を利用すべきではないという、良い教訓でもある。"

@yasutaketinMar 9, 2026 · 7:32 PM

寄り後に買った韓国ETF $EWY がもう7.2%上がってる https://t.co/NO5eIadxD0

@aleabitoredditMar 9, 2026 · 1:21 AM

$EWY IV is starting to look seriously mispriced. The volatility on the South Korean index and SK Hynix / Samsung is just insane. That being said, three things regarding memory names: 1. Crude Oil costs and LNG as a byproduct are likely to have little to moderate material effect. - Price hikes are a small haircut to SK Hynix/Samsung margins, but DRAM/NAND hikes makes up for all of that - Found low disruption to Helium/LNG given shipping routes / SK Hynix statements. 2. Majority of the fears seem overblown and markets are pricing in the worst case fears of Oil to $200 + global recession. 3. Liquidations causing exaggerated effects. The operating income of these stocks are likely in tact. But short term repricing does make sense as markets are derisking of future oil spillovers. However, I do believe memory names serve as compelling longs once the War volatility is over given fundamentals > fear. Also a good lesson not to use margin during volatile periods like these.

@yasutaketinMar 8, 2026 · 4:24 PM

NVIDIA「Vera Rubin」HBM4供給体制の要点 $EWY $MU * 主要供給元の選定: NVIDIAの次世代AIアクセラレータ「Vera Rubin」向けHBM4供給元として、サムスン電子とSKハイニックスが暫定選定。 * マイクロンの除外: 現在HBM3Eを供給中のマイクロンは、フラッグシップのVera Rubin用HBM4リストから排除。推論用ミッドレンジ（Rubin CPX等）への供給に留まる見通し。 * 技術的優位性: 韓国勢2社がNVIDIAの要求する高スペック（動作速度10〜11Gb/s超）をクリア。特にサムスンは適格性テストを事実上合格し、限定的な出荷を開始。 * 製品仕様: Vera Rubinは16個のHBM4スタックを搭載し、合計容量576GBを実現。競合AMD（432GB）を上回る。 * 生産スケジュール: HBM4の製造工程に6ヶ月以上要するため、両社は今月から本格生産に着手。製品は2026年後半のリリースが予想される。 * 市場背景と戦略: * サムスンはHBM4の最大供給元を目指すが、収益性の高いコモディティDRAM価格の上昇も交渉の変数。 * NVIDIAはSKハイニックスへの開発奨励を通じ、サムスンの交渉力増大を牽制。

@aleabitoredditMar 8, 2026 · 12:46 AM

The helium panic makes for a compelling headline for $EWY, KOSPI, Taiwan, and Japan. Similar to the LNG panic before finding out the Korean giants were fine. However, the underlying mechanics show the memory players in SK Hynix and Samsung in specific are highly insulated from potential Helium disruption. SK Hynix put out a statement to Reuters: "Long secured diverse supply chains and sufficient inventory" of helium. "Therefore there is almost no chance that the company will be affected." Samsung have not put out statements yet, but from their Q4 earnings call they stated: "We are proud to be the first in the industry to develop and deploy a helium reuse system for semiconductor manufacturing" This "enables us to recover and purify helium for redeployment, cutting annual consumption by approximately 4.7 tons and achieving a reuse rate of around 19%" Samsung confirmed that this system is already active on production lines and likely protects their supply chain. When investors panic from headlines around structural exposure due to Kim Young-bae's claims about 90% reliance on Middle Eastern imports shutting down HBM production. The Volza trade data contradicts it, but the discrepancy could be gaseous vs. liquid helium categorization, transshipment, or Kim rounding up for political effect. Regardless, it looks like the two large Korean giants have largely secured their Helium supply chain from conflicts in the Middle East. The core point of the selloff markets are missing: United States will not let their AI buildout stall from Middle East Conflicts. SK Hynix and Samsung are in the center of it all. US/Korea Technology Prosperity Deal to protect advanced technology supply chains as well. And especially so, when companies like SK Hynix put out definitive statements: Stating there's no chance the company is affected from helium. Markets are pricing in the worst case scenarios for Helium/LNG disruption but looking at the statements suggest it's a buying opportunity.

@yasutaketinMar 7, 2026 · 8:58 PM

$TSLA $EWY テスラは、次世代AI6チップの生産を2倍（またはそれ以上）に倍増することを検討していると報じられています。このチップはサムスンの2nmプロセスで製造されます。 -テスラの調達幹部は今週、サムスン電子を訪問し、ファウンドリ能力の拡大について協議する予定です。 -元の契約（昨年締結）では、月間約16,000枚のウェハーが12月31日までの2033年末まで、約170億ドル（22.8兆ウォン）相当で予定されていました。 -テスラは現在、追加で月間約24,000枚のウェハーを要求しており、契約が確定すれば総生産量を月間約40,000枚に増やす可能性があります。 -この拡張により、サムスンのテキサス州テイラー工場での早期稼働が確保され、生産が拡大中（年末までに労働力を約1,500人に拡大、目標1,800人）となります。 -AI6チップは、テスラの自動運転システム（車両向け）、オプティマスヒューマノイドロボット、および社内AIデータセンター（サーバーボード上のクラスタ）向けに設計されています。これは、テスラの中断されたDojo AIスーパーコンピュータの役割を置き換える位置づけです。

@tradexwhispererMar 7, 2026 · 8:25 PM

$TSLA $EWY Tesla is reportedly considering doubling (or more than doubling) production of its next-generation AI6 chip, manufactured on Samsung's 2nm process. -Senior Tesla procurement executives are scheduled to visit Samsung Electronics this week to discuss expanding foundry capacity. -The original agreement (signed last year) called for about 16,000 wafers per month, valued at roughly $17 billion (22.8 trillion won) through December 31, 2033. -Tesla is now requesting an additional ~24,000 wafers per month, potentially increasing total output to around 40,000 wafers per month if the deal is finalized. -This expansion would help secure early utilization at Samsung’s Taylor, Texas fab, where production is ramping up (workforce expanding to ~1,500 by year-end, targeting 1,800). -The AI6 chip is designed for Tesla's autonomous driving systems (in vehicles), Optimus humanoid robot, and in-house AI data centers (clusters on server boards). It is positioned to replace the role of Tesla’s paused Dojo AI supercomputer.

@yasutaketinMar 5, 2026 · 11:12 AM

$EWY "韓国は2日連続でサーキットブレーカーに見舞われている… 昨日の7%の下落に続き、今日も再び8%の下落。さて、なぜこのような事態が起きているのか、そして米国の市場にとって何を意味するのか、私の考えは以下の通りだ。 * 韓国人について理解すべき一つのことは、彼らはレバレッジが大好きだということだ。韓国人は次の大きなチャンスを探す意欲が非常に強く、多くの韓国人がそれが量子技術だと考えているため、 IONQ 専用の登録者10万人以上のYouTubeチャンネルを毎日視聴している。韓国には巨大なギャンブル文化がある。仮想通貨投資家は、10倍から250倍のレバレッジを提供する無期限先物の巨大な消費者だ。この国では、人々が先物をライブトレードし、観客がそれを視聴するトレード大会も開催されている。つまり、もし自国の指数であるKOSPIが年初来で40%以上上昇していたとしたら、レバレッジはさらに膨らんでいたはずで、残念ながらそれは下落の勢いも醜いものになり得ることを意味する。 * メモリ関連銘柄はおそらく一服している。正直に言って、Samsung、SK Hynix、 Micron 、Sandiskなどに根本的な問題があるとは思えない。価格を引き上げた後でも、数年先まで予約が埋まっている。しかし、メモリはサイクル産業として特徴付けられており、「メモリ供給不足」というシナリオに反するニュースの脅威や懸念があれば、その勢いは止まってしまう可能性がある。マージンコール（追証）がこれらの銘柄の売りをさらに加速させているのだろう。重要なのは、SamsungとSK Hynixが指数全体の50%を占めていることであり、メモリが下がれば指数も下がる。メモリは大丈夫だと思うが、今年だけで40%から70%上昇した後に利益確定売りが出るのは不思議なことではない。 * 韓国はイランからのLNG輸入に非常に大きく依存している。今日の売りの主な理由は、アジアの液化天然ガスが2023年以来の最高水準まで急騰したことにあるようだ。アジアのスポット価格は100万BTUあたり25.40ドルに達し、先週の2倍以上になった。また、韓国に膨大な量の石油・ガスを供給しているカタールの生産停止が続く限り、さらなる圧力が予想される。もし広範なLNG市場の混乱が続けば、マージンコールが連鎖し、多くの人々がレバレッジをかけているメモリの強制売却を引き起こし、それが指数の下落をさらにエスカレートさせる可能性がある。しかし、政策が変わったりトランプが介入したりすれば、これは大きな問題にはならず、韓国市場の回復が見られるかもしれない。さて、もしこれが続けば、米国に悪影響を及ぼす。直接的に比例した影響はないだろうが、もし韓国人がマージンコールを埋めるために NVDA や TSLA を売り始めれば、テック株にとって良くない。全体として、S&Pは今年横ばいであるため、KOSPIのようなモメンタムに基づいたリスクはないが、私にとってこれはより大きな物語を浮き彫りにしている。つまり、石油がすべてだ。もし価格を低く抑えられず、各国が確実に石油を確保できなければ、グローバル市場への混乱が簡単に消えることはないだろう。"

@yasutaketinMar 4, 2026 · 3:47 PM

今日は $EWY 韓国ETFを買ってみた回復期待

@aleabitoredditMar 4, 2026 · 6:55 AM

Feels like everyone is doom-posting KOSPI saying: > “Look at the chart, it can’t keep going up like this!” > Memory is a black hole for demand ( $SNDK taking 3Y preorders ) > $EWY is basically just two stocks, Samsung and SK Hynix, not a representation of the Korean economy > Like saying Taiwan Index is a bubble because the index that tracks $TSM and Mediatek goes up. > Memory demand/AI doesn’t just disappear because of a War in Iran, but it does get more expensive. > Increased energy from crude/LNG get passed down to hyperscalers, not eaten up in opex. It’s looks to be fear selling and deleveraging (3x ETFs and 10x likely got wiped out today) rather than materially operational (slight bearish headwind, but not enough for -30%). SK Hynix futures is now trading in the high $300B MC-low $400B range. If MS and updated analyst projections are even slightly right, SK Hynix’s operating profits for example would be ~$300B. They’ll be sitting on too much money by 2028 as a cushion if memory prices drops. (and not even considering demand becomes structural). Looks to be another DeepSeek-Nvidia type fear selling situation, especially as nand/dram prices get hiked again recently. More of a question of timing the bottom. It’s times like these logic matter more than irrational headline selling.

@tradexwhispererMar 4, 2026 · 5:02 AM

The dominant HBM supplier to NVIDIA with 62% global market share, sold-out capacity through 2026, and 58% operating margins is trading at ~5x forward earnings SK Hynix is the most mispriced AI play in the market. $EWY

@aleabitoredditMar 3, 2026 · 10:57 AM

Thoughts on the $EWY / KOSPI crash and whether it's a buying opportunity for Samsung/Sk Hynix: This looks like a clear buying opportunity. Especially as investors misunderstand that 2026 is not 2022 (Ukraine-Russia) conflicts. AI has fundamentally changed the demand for memory, compared to the 2022 downturn in consumer electronics, where Samsung/Sk Hynix also footed opex costs. The main catalyst for one of the largest single-day drops in Korean history was Iran drone striking QatarEnergy's Ras Laffan complex. Qatar is roughly ~20% of the global LNG supply. Results: -> Dutch TTF (Euro Natural Gas): +46% -> Asian Spot LNG: + 39% -> U.S. Natural Gas: +4.16% (fine) The LNG spike was the catalyst for the drop as South Korea is materially exposed as it relies on imported LNG. Fearing this inflationary energy shock, investors aggressively dumped South Korean tech equities, combined with deleveraging of 10x Samsung/Sk Hynix. Sending -> Samsung Electronics down by 9.79%. -> SK Hynix shares sank by 11.12%. and the $EWY (KR futures) down 14.49% today. Everyone is fearing the 2022 incident with Russia-Ukraine war increasing LNG prices, causing industrial electricity tariffs in South Korea climbed by roughly 70% after KEPCO stopped abosring losses. In 2022 alone, Samsung's domestic facilities consumed approximately 28,000 GWh of electricity. The tariff hikes added an estimated KRW 2 trillion (over $1.4 billion USD) to Samsung's annual operating expenses and over KRW 1 trillion for SK Hynix. This unprecedented spike in operational expenses (OPEX) hit at the exact worst possible time. In late 2022, the semiconductor industry entered a brutal cyclical downturn. Post-pandemic demand for PCs and smartphones plummeted, leading to a massive oversupply of DRAM and NAND flash. However, 2026 is completely different: Compared to 2022 that faced increasing energy costs during a downturn: AI demand for memory is completely unprecedented. On the 27th, there were reports of DRAM hikes again from Samsung/Sk Hynix. Demand for NAND prices from $SNDK have been so high for capacity allocation that they've been taking 3 year pre-orders in advance. There is no end to demand in sight, and no relief way until 2028. Comparing this to 2022, where consumer segments for laptops and smartphones were already facing a downturn, memory makers could not pass on the costs (and tanked opex bill). That caused a major correction last time. Because the global AI chip shortage is so acute in 2026, they will seamlessly pass their inflated utility bills down the supply chain. Because supply is severely constrained, Samsung and SK Hynix dictate the market terms. Big Tech hyperscalers (Microsoft, Meta, Google, Amazon) are locked in an AI arms race. They are highly price-insensitive right now and prioritize securing volume over haggling. As a result, this looks like a clear buying opportunity, especially as projections range from: Morgan Stanley | Macquarie on Samsung 2026: ~$182.0B USD vs. ~$210.8B USD 2027: ~$235.1B USD vs. ~$333.7B USD Morgan Stanley | Macquarie on SK Hynix: 2026: ~$132.9B USD vs. ~$190.5B USD 2027: ~$167.0B USD vs. ~$312.8B USD The selloff looks like an immediate de-risking from fears over 2022 Ukraine-Russia-conflicts, combined with extreme leverage from 10x instruments. But unlike 2022, where laptops and consumer demand were already facing a downturn and LNG spikes caused Samsung/SK Hynix to foot the bill: This time it's passed onto hyperscaler costs because demand is too high. People always compare KOSPI to silver, but the difference is one has whopping operational income, where in a bull-case scenario, 2 years of income alone would exceed their market cap of companies like SK Hynix. The drop on Samsung/Sk Hynix looks like a clear buying opportunity as their operational income will likely blow past any short term volatility.

@aleabitoredditMar 2, 2026 · 3:06 PM

Not sure if it's just me? But I've been tracking Samsung/SK Hynix correlation to DRAM/NAND price hikes reports. Every time there's news about reported massive hikes on DRAM on NAND, they both + $EWY seem to drop. Then afterwards, it pulls off a rally? For example, last month Trendforce reported 70% DRAM and 100%+ NAND hikes and Samsung/Sk Hynix both dropped following the news. 1 month later it increased 27.8%. This time both have dropped again after DRAM price hikes from sedaily and digitimes. But maybe the war in Iran is more of a confounding factor. Seems very counterintuitive going down on positive news. But eventually fundamentals take over? Especially if by next year, SK Hynix's operating income for 2026-2027 ends up surpassing its marketcap? eg. ~$190.5 billion USD+ ~$312.8 billion USD operating income projections ($503B operating income vs. Sk Hynix~$514B MC) from Macquarie on the 24th-25th in Feb.

@tradexwhispererMar 2, 2026 · 6:02 AM

Memory Shortage Is Becoming More and More Structural / Permanent Samsung Electronics is accelerating expansion at its massive Pyeongtaek campus (largest semiconductor site globally, ~2.89 million ㎡) to meet surging demand for general-purpose DRAM (driven by AI investments) and to strengthen its HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) competitiveness. Pyeongtaek positioned as 'HBM forward base': The campus leverages strong memory + foundry synergy and is now the core production hub for next-generation HBM, especially HBM4. • Pyeongtaek = HBM powerhouse: Full capacity on memory lines for HBM4, upcoming HBM4E & HBM5. Foundry lines humming at near-max on advanced nodes• Expansion mode: P4 getting upgrades, P5 construction speeding up → +10k workers soon, full ops targeted for 2028 • Helped Samsung snatch back DRAM #1 spot from SK hynix in just a year + posted record 20T won quarterly profit in Q4 2025 thanks to HBM3E & general DRAM • Supplying HBM4 to NVIDIA & other big AI players now. Analysts calling for massive upside: 2025 op profit ~245T won forecast, HBM revenue >3× YoY Broader implication: Continued AI-driven memory shortages and price rises expected through 2026, with Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron boosting mid-to-long-term supply of advanced HBM via integrated memory-foundry advantages. $MU $EWY

@tig88411109Feb 28, 2026 · 5:53 PM

不是岁月静好。只要你周围有中国的“老朋友” 世界最高迪拜塔差点被伊朗无人机打到。韩国股市 $EWY 因折价疯涨风险，还有 $TSM 台积电。你旁边是伊朗、朝鲜和中国这种国家。巨大的地缘政治风险不可控。这就是 $INTC Intel巨大价值。对冲全球AI的供应链风险。真打起来比封锁霍尔木兹海峡大多了。 https://t.co/CRFLfx7wBG

@tradexwhispererFeb 28, 2026 · 5:26 AM

$MU Here's my 2nd best question(s) from the AMA "Is it difficult for China to catch up [HBM]? Are they [Memory Trio] intentionally throttling back to maximize margins?" Extremely difficult. Here's why. It's a moving target and the target moves faster than they can run. By the time China masters reliable HBM3 at scale, SK Hynix, Micron and Samsung will already be shipping HBM4E and deep into HBM5/E R&D. They're not chasing a finish line. They're chasing a train that never stops. It's exponentially harder to compete when the Trio's HBM3E/HBM4 has the full backing of the entire AI economy: massive research funding, development ecosystems, global mass-production scale and also compatibility. And they're running with one leg tied behind their back. China is still barred from purchasing US capital equipment, the very tools needed to fabricate advanced memory at scale. You can't build a competitive HBM stack without the lithography, etch, and deposition equipment that ASML, Applied Materials and Lam Research make. That door is closed. As for "intentionally throttling back to protect margins" that's conspiracy thinking that ignores how physical manufacturing works. This isn't software. You can't push a firmware update and double output next Tuesday. → Fab construction: 3 to 5 years → New node introduction: 2 to 3 years minimum → Full utilization ramp: decades → One wafer cycle: 3 to 4 months start to finish Supply cannot respond to demand in real time. It never could. That's what makes the 2026 shortage structural, not cyclical. Bullish. $MU $SNDK $EWY

@tradexwhispererFeb 27, 2026 · 4:09 AM

I heard Samsung just hit $1 Trillion. At a Forward PE of just 9x 🤯 And inevitably, Micron and SK Hynix will be the next Trillions. $MU $EWY The Memory Oligopoly Trio https://t.co/V3AYR21R1r

@aleabitoredditFeb 27, 2026 · 12:51 AM

$KOSPI and $EWY, South Korea’s index is something people shouldn’t try to TA or compare to stuff like Silver. SK index is in price discovery mode as it’s carried by two stocks: Whose operating profit projections from Morgan Stanley and Macquarie are: Samsung 2026: ~$182.0B - ~$210.8B USD 2027: ~$235.1B - ~$333.7B USD SK Hynix: 2026: ~$132.9B - ~$190.5B USD 2027: ~$167.0B - ~$312.8B USD If SK Hynix is valued at $500B and their projected operating income for FY 2026 and 2027 is $510B. It just looks silly. (From Macquarie's bull case projections on the right) I’d probably go off Morgan Stanley projections instead (which is a lot more grounded) but the point still stands that these companies are just so profitable. Wouldn’t be surprised if Samsung were trading at $2.5T in the future (from $1T now). It does have that same feeling as $TSM 2 years ago, where it looks like a no-brainer long.

@tradexwhispererFeb 26, 2026 · 7:45 PM

$MU $EWY $AAPL Your next iPhone could store your personal data on Chinese-made memory chips. Apple is evaluating YMTC and CXMT for iPhone 18 / MacBooks, not because they're better, but to pressure Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron on price. Every photo. Every password. Every message https://t.co/U1g4krD6Kb

@aleabitoredditFeb 26, 2026 · 6:56 AM

I genuinely believe market makers are mispricing $EWY 2028 IV as it’s effectively a call option on Samsung/SK Hynix. Not every day do you have an “non- volatile” index at 45% IV move 7% a day. For comparison, it’s a lot more volatile than $MRVL trading at 55% IV (just comparing the two graphs) Market makers like Jane Street are possibly pricing in mean reversion (back to the boring 5-10 year stagnant periods) that will never happen due to the memory supercycle. Or ETF rebalancing, which just inadvertently causes more concentration into SK Hynix and Samsung through pass-through structures. Most OTM strikes 2 years out are now ITM in just a 2 month timeframe. And there’s a lot of unrealized future volatility as 10x leverage SK Hynix/Samsung take off or 2x leveraged ETFs. If IV stays low, you can just let the calls blow past the strikes with low premiums.

@tradexwhispererFeb 25, 2026 · 7:13 AM

$MU $EWY HBM TAM Projections 2023: $4 Billion 2033: $130 Billion Tectonic Shift Incoming https://t.co/9uyEddu6Tb

@aleabitoredditFeb 25, 2026 · 5:27 AM

My mind is blown on Samsung and Sk Hynix projections - $EWY? Macquarie projects Samsung Electronics to make: FY2026: ~$210.8 billion USD (+73% increase from prior KRW 172.1 trillion) FY2027: ~$333.7 billion USD (+82% from KRW 260.1 trillion) Sk Hynix: FY2026: ~$190.5 billion USD (+58% from KRW 272.2 trillion) FY2027: ~$312.8 billion USD (+77% from KRW 447 trillion) (Numbers heavily depend on conversion rates). If these projections are true: The operating profit from SK Hynix from 2026+2027 are close to eclipsing it's current marketcap. Macquarie's report slashed their projected forward P/E ratios to an absurd 3.7x by 2027 for Samsung and 2.2x for SK Hynix for 2027. It feels unreal but these are genuine projections from Macquarie's desk.

@yasutaketinFeb 24, 2026 · 10:30 PM

メモリー天井説キタ " $SNDK $EWY $MU | モルガン・スタンレーはメモリ株の課題を強調、供給制限と消費者需要の弱さを背景にSSDモジュールメーカーの逆風を指摘「AI主導のストレージ需要が業界のアップサイクルを延長させている一方で、NAND供給の制限、FIFOによる利益率の正常化、そしてNAND価格高騰の中での消費者向けSSD需要の減退を考慮すると、モジュールベンダーの上値は限られていると見ています…」「…ダウンストリームのモジュールメーカーやコントローラーベンダーにとっての原料NANDの可用性は構造的に制限されています…」「…NAND価格の高騰は…最終需要の勢いに重石となり始めています…」「…持続的なNAND価格の高騰は、主要な最終市場全体で消費をますます圧迫しています…OEM顧客は…調達に対してより慎重になっています…」「…消費者向けのNAND需要は構造的な軟調さの兆しを見せており、出荷の伸びを制限しています…この需要の減速は、数量主導の収益成長に対する主要なリスクであると考えています…」「…低コストのNAND在庫が徐々に枯渇するにつれ…売上総利益率を圧迫します…」「…現在の利益率拡大サイクルは…2026年第2四半期頃にピークに達すると予想しています…この時点を過ぎると、売上総利益率は低下傾向を辿る可能性が高く、バリュエーションの低下を招く恐れがあります…」「…要約すると…原料NANDの可用性の制限、価格高騰による消費者需要の減退、そして依然として不十分なeSSD収益の規模が相まって、厳しい事業環境を示唆しています…」アナリスト：ジョセフ・ムーア"

@tradexwhispererFeb 24, 2026 · 8:23 PM

Good luck shorting this tectonic shift $MU $SNDK $EWY https://t.co/cFZCKA1O6g

@kawzinvestsFeb 24, 2026 · 11:15 AM

People keep calling the memory trade "late cycle." The Bank of Korea just told parliament this semiconductor boom is stronger than any previous cycle and will persist through at least 2026. They're raising GDP forecasts because of it. Consumer confidence is surging because of it. The Kospi doubled because of it. 134% chip export growth in February. HBM sold out through 2026. Samsung about to become the most profitable company on earth. And $MU still trades at 11x forward earnings. It's called the memory supercycle for a reason. $MU $EWY $SNDK

@aleabitoredditFeb 23, 2026 · 1:00 PM

Feels like a lot of people misunderstood the DD in this post: Main point: $EWY IV will likely stay elevated. Currently realized is probably in the high 60’s, low 70’s. Long term likely settles ~55% because: Pass through concentration in SK Hynix and Samsung is enormous despite any re-weighting. As SK Hynix increases, other top weightings like SK Square (90% of its MC comes from SK Hynix equity since it’s a 20% shareholder) will increase. Same with Samsung. It looks like 50% max for them both, but pass through structures balloons that value a lot. Despite new weights, $EWY will increasingly become a call option on SK Hynix / Samsung as their MCs go up from pass-through structure. 2028 OTM leaps are mispriced at low 40’s IV as a call on volatile memory names. And will likely benefit from Vega expansion at current levels.

@kawzinvestsFeb 23, 2026 · 4:55 AM

China's DRAM expansion doesn't fix the shortage. It barely dents it. The global shortfall is 10-20%. CXMT adds maybe 3-5%. Most gets absorbed by domestic factories before it ever reaches global markets. And China's own AI cloud buildout hasn't even started yet. The shortage could last through 2030. $EWY $MU $SNDK

@tradexwhispererFeb 22, 2026 · 11:37 PM

$MU $EWY Operating at full capacity. Yet the demand far outstrips the supply and the imbalance is getting larger every day. “In 10 years, we will have one robot per person, and these robots will require a huge amount of semiconductors” -Donga News https://t.co/mBVT4Wgi07

@kawzinvestsFeb 22, 2026 · 9:58 PM

DRAM prices up 500% since September and memory stocks still trade at single-digit forward earnings. Micron's revenue is expected to more than double this fiscal year. SK Hynix doubled in 2024 and is on pace to double again. This is not a cycle. It's a structural repricing. $EWY $MU $SNDK

@ckcapitalxxFeb 22, 2026 · 8:03 PM

Long $EWY

@aleabitoredditFeb 22, 2026 · 12:28 PM

2028 IV for $EWY will likely go much higher (~44% right now). Realized should be priced around ~65-68%+. So, 2028 OTM leap call value may double again from volatility Vega Expansion alone. Most people don’t this but top holdings include: 1. SK Square (#5 concentration). 90% of their NAV is SK Hynix. 2. Samsung Life Insurance, NAV as one of the largest shareholders of Samsung Electronics. 3. Samsung C&T (large part of $EWY) owns ~5% of Samsung as its NAV. 4. Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance: 1.49% stake in Samsung Electronics (given how big Samsung Electronics is, it makes up a large part of NAV) 5. Samsung C&T -> owns Samsung Life (which indirectly owns Samsung Electronics) 6. Samsung Electro-Mechanics / Samsung SDS -> Largely tethered to Samsung Electronics Capex cycles. 7. Samsung Electronics Preferred Shares - Non-voting preferred shares are treated as separate entities, but increases in weighting. Pass through concentration of SK Hynix and Samsung weightings is significantly higher than algorithms and markets think. And you see that realized, as Indexes with broad diversification don’t go up and down 6% a day depending on Samsung/Sk Hynix performance. Or 42% in 2 months... or 145% in 12 months... If the ETF rebalances quarterly, you get more weighting into more volatile names like SK Hynix and the weighting of smaller owners that own Samsung and SK Hynix as NAV go up more than others. This is compounded with unrealized volatility that MMs have not priced in yet from: - 10x Leverage Samsung / Sk Hynix perps now. - 2x leveraged Samsung / Sk Hynix ETFs approvals and release soon. Dynamically hedging both of these will increase volatility on Samsung + SK Hynix and by second order effect -> $EWY. So, it's not a joke when you say its SK Index is basically Samsung and Sk Hynix. And that 44% IV pricing comes from the flat 10 year Korean index. When the new volatility from the memory supercycle is structural. TLDR: - Long OTM calls is effectively calls on Sk Hynix/Samsung at 44% IV. - Individually they likely sit around 73-88%. - When you account for other names, realized IV may sit in the mid 60's. - Vega expansion on 2028 OTM calls if they go from 44% to 65%+ would increase option values from volatility expansion alone. - There are genuine inefficiencies with the markets sometimes and this looks like one of them. This is a volatility expansion trade coupled with the added benefit of long SK Hynix/Samsung during the memory, robotics, foundry supercycles for the next two years.

@ckcapitalxxFeb 21, 2026 · 10:28 PM

The Korean Discount Is The Most Overlooked Trade In The Market Right Now While everyone's chasing overpriced US tech, the smartest institutional money is rotating into Korean equities, and $EWY is the cleanest way to play it. Here's what you need to understand: Samsung and SK Hynix are trading at forward P/E of just 8.7x vs. the global tech average of 19x. You're buying world-class AI supply chain companies at literally half the price of their Western peers. Samsung and SK Hynix supply HBM memory to $NVDA. SK Hynix is the #1 HBM3E supplier in the world. These companies are at the center of the AI buildout and trading at a discount that makes zero sense. The Korea Discount Is Being Dismantled: The Korean government's Value Up program is forcing companies to improve shareholder returns, buy back shares, and close the gap between book value and market cap. The National Pension Service, the world's third largest pension fund with $1.1T in AUM, just raised their domestic equity target allocation to 14.9% in January 2026, creating a fresh $5B+ buy order for KOSPI stocks. They also suspended mechanical rebalancing for the first time in years, removing the ceiling on how high this rally can go. KOSPI already hit record highs of 5,800+ on February 20th. Don't fight the $1.1T whale. This is the Japan rally playbook. When Japan launched its version of this in 2023, the Nikkei ran 40%+ in a year. Korea is at the beginning of that exact same cycle. Why $EWY: Samsung: 26% weighting, the world's largest memory chip manufacturer. SK Hynix: 20% weighting, $NVDA's primary HBM supplier. You're getting 78% earnings growth projected this year from the underlying companies while paying 8.7x earnings. If Korean multiples re rate even halfway to global averages (from 8.7x to 14x), $EWY re rates 60%+ before earnings growth is even factored in. If you missed the Japan rally, this is your second chance. $EWY

@tradexwhispererFeb 21, 2026 · 7:26 PM

$MU $EWY $TSM Global Semiconductor Playground Is Getting Bigger and BIGGER. 2026 TAM: $975 Billion 2027 TAM: Likely over $1 Trillion. Don’t fight the trend. Ride it. https://t.co/fgrzqDIMb8

@yasutaketinFeb 21, 2026 · 5:03 PM

$MU $EWYメモリボトルネックが深刻化🤯 「SKハイニックスのDRAMとNANDの在庫はわずか4週間分しかない。価格はさらに上昇するだろう。」「業界全体のクリーンルームのスペース不足は供給制約を悪化させ、価格上昇に有利な環境を作り出している」

@aleabitoredditFeb 21, 2026 · 6:29 AM

@HimotheeBuckets Makes sense though, 2028 leaps were extremely mispriced, not short dated options. Would probably be a 200% gain alone off IV expansion off 2028 OTM $EWY options. It’s caught up a decent amount but would probably double again once 2x leveraged ETFs and 10x leveraged SK Hynix and Samsung perps gain popularity.

@kawzinvestsFeb 21, 2026 · 12:12 AM

LONG $EWY 😉

@aleabitoredditFeb 20, 2026 · 3:54 PM

71% IV $MU (1 week) volatility. vs. 40% IV $EWY (same day) volatility. Just putting it out there… 2028 OTM leaps benefit from once a generation IV volatility mispricing. This is a structural shift from AI memory supercycle. Especially when MMs are looking at historical 10 year flat periods for Korea.

@thevalueistFeb 20, 2026 · 1:31 PM

I’ve been hearing more chatter about $EWY in the past week than I did the entire 2025. Holdings in the tweet below. Tepper placed a large bet on EWY and he bulled up on $MU so I take he’s caught the memory bug. https://t.co/q27cbbdzNI

@aleabitoredditFeb 18, 2026 · 5:12 PM

Market makers probably hate me. $EWY IV went from 32% -> 42% in 5 days on 2 year leaps. Would be a free ~30%+ profit off IV/vega expansion alone. There’s rare cases of arbitrage opportunities off derivatives. Algorithms don’t always price things in correctly. https://t.co/YI3g6Vv1i5

@michaelsikandFeb 17, 2026 · 10:18 PM

Already been five figs into $EWY calls.

@kawzinvestsFeb 17, 2026 · 4:46 PM

@darwin0137 Yeah I have some leaps on $EWY probably the best way to get leveraged exposure to Samsung and SK Hynix

@aleabitoredditFeb 13, 2026 · 12:43 PM

@TalentActivity Yeah DCA $EWY shares seem like a great idea to get exposure to Samsung/Sk Hynix and the memory supercycle. This post was just discussing 2028 leaps and vega expansion from underpriced volatility, options are not the best way to go for everyone.

@yasutaketinFeb 6, 2026 · 11:49 PM

SKハイニクスとサムスン電子を米国株として買いたいなら、 $EWY 韓国ETFを買えばいいんじゃない？ https://t.co/QP15c9vkr6

@aleabitoredditFeb 3, 2026 · 2:06 AM

Korean memory stocks likely have a lot of repricing to do. Forward P/E for 2026 (Morgan Stanley): SK Hynix ~4.3x Samsung Electronics ~5.1x For exposure: $EWY or $FLKR | $HY9H. Even after going up 15-30% every month, they're cheaper than ever. https://t.co/lzUH0jWxk1

@aleabitoredditJan 29, 2026 · 1:15 AM

@WaterFish2000 $EWY is for SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics exposure. This post was for other beneficiaries that are specifically not them.

@aleabitoredditJan 13, 2026 · 12:52 AM

Just a heads up: If you don’t have access to Korean stocks and don’t want to miss the memory/foundry mega cycle: Use $EWY for options or $FLKR for shares (lower .19% exp ratio) You can get high exposure to SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics - both of which I’m mega bullish on https://t.co/zm1aEXpDnW

@yasutaketinJan 4, 2026 · 3:05 PM

メモリやNAND市場が好調なら、韓国株ETF $EWY もアリだとは思っている。サムスン株が過去最高値、顧客から復調の評価とのCEO見解で https://t.co/eoHtvvXf2I