– Utilities Select Sector SPDR
Power grid, electricity demand
Important AI infrastructure theme as power demand rises
My high-growth favorites (2026–2030):
Semis (
Just putting out there...
Would have been +15.02% in 2W equal-weighted return.
On 30 different stocks... mostly medium-large cap.
1. $INTC +29.62%
2. $MRVL +40.95%
3. $TSM +4.72%
4. $COHR +18.9%
5. $RKLB +26.76%
6. $DRAM +12.29%
7. $AVGO +18.32%
8. $AMZN +9.17%
9. $ARM +36.6%
10. $TSEM -1.25%
11. $IBIT +7.68%
12. $NBIS +15.22%
13. $GOOGL +6.41%
14. $AMKR +32.25%
15. $HOOD +19.14%
16. $CRCL +17.58%
17. $META +4.9%
18. $LITE -5.28%
19. $LPTH +20.23%
20. $FN +11.54%
21. $JBL +15.45%
22. $MP +17.48%
23. $HIMS +42.53%
24. $SMTC +18.83%
25. $POWL +9.26%
26. $VPG +17.44%
27. $MOG.A -3.96%
28. $MSFT +11.44%
29. $CVX -1.47%
30. $XLU -2.29%
Obviously short timeframe, but I expect many of these to keep going up more.
And probably would have been higher if you time the drop on specific names, rather than going long all at once.
Not too shabby?
Here's a bunch of random 30 US-available random stocks I like today and why:
1. $INTC - America's hope for foundry, national security
2. $MRVL - scales rev from future maia asics and add ons like cpo, they do everything lost count
3. $TSM - backbone of semis/ai
4. $COHR - They do everything vertically integrated + captures optical cycle
5. $RKLB - the final frontier of space will be around 5 years from now and 20 years from now.
6. $DRAM - memory exposure for samsung/sk hynix
7. $AVGO - hyperscalers dont like nvidia gpu tax
8. $AMZN - nobody can compete against the overnight shipping of toilet paper. robotics will lower opex over time
9. $ARM - AGI CPUs scale revenue quite a bit over the next decade
10. $TSEM - you're going to need a foundry for light based stuff
11. $IBIT - bitcoin, we all know by now
12. $NBIS - i think it's the next AWS. Also they do self-driving cars with uber, own scaling DB companies, data labeling. It's almost like a mini Google.
13. $GOOGL - youtube is not going away, gemini is great. they're vertically integrated with TPUs and fund buildout with operating income so i like it.
14. $AMKR - super facilities coming online in late 2027-2028. benefits from made in america
15. $HOOD - i dont like short term, but long term i'm a fan of Robinhood since they captured retail + have more products like banking, etc that they're scaling up. product innovation is wild.
16. $CRCL - I happen to really like stablecoins and see them as the future for both payments/holding (depends on clarity act)
17. $META - people aren't going to stop using instagram or whatsapp, or others anytime soon.
18. $LITE - $GOOGL TPU exposure decently high part of BOM. As long as Google's AI program keeps running I think $LITE will do well.
19. $LPTH - Germanium and China export controls will always be an issue so US made engineered alternatives will always be important
20. $FN - Someone needs to assemble optical stuff
21. $JBL - same as above, but added with ip from Intel's SiPh acqusition so might end up like innolight?
22. $MP - American rare earths program is extremely important, similar to $INTC national security risks
23. $HIMS - Okay here me out they just acquired a ton of companies, and at $19 they have global DTC channel. short sellers really hate this company, but I think it's actually promising as a contrarian long
24. $SMTC - LRO/LPO transition
25. $POWL - US alternative to hammond for switchgear DC type bottleneck
26. $VPG - Humanoids will be a thing down the road maybe 2027-2028, this makes the sensors.
27. $MOG.A - Feels like i see them everywhere in robotics, to spacex supply chains
28. $MSFT - At $375, one day we'll look back and see this as a buying opportunity.
29. $CVX - oil might crash after war but these oil companies are going to be extremely important, especially when Venezulea is a goldmine.
30. $XLU - i think rate cuts might be back online, we need power/grid for AI so these names will always be improtant from $CEG to $NEE
Just throwing out other thoughts aside from $AAOI and $AEHR.
@alejandrobatiz It’s currency devaluation after crude/energy spikes messing up the trade.
The War in Iran also messed up my $XLU long since there’s no rate cuts being priced in anymore.
Again too much uncertainty with Iran. Idk, you get a massive reversal with $EWY that you don’t with SK Hynix if Trump stops escalations.
But at this point it’s a coin flip on what the administration does.
@ofek1m War in Iran threw a knife into the original $XLU thesis since a large part of it hinged on rate cuts (which were widely expected to be ~3 for 2026).
Alongside blowing up parts of the energy trade.
I don't know what happens next, but I'm personally holding. Could always wait for a better energy but regardless:
I do expect America to modernize the grid and have hyperscaler capex flowing down into power.
JPM is projecting 0 rate cuts in 2026 (Mar 19th).
Derivatives show~37% 0 rate cuts.
Here's the traditional winners and losers:
1. Banks / Stablecoins: $CRCL, $JPM, $BAC, $WFC
- Interest from treasury, CCs, mortgage
2. High Cash vs. MC: Berkshire < $BRK.B >, $ETOR, $VLN, and others
- Companies that sit on large piles of cash relative to MC, where interest rates make material difference to operational income.
- This is beneficial to a lot of brokerages, but also very nuanced eg. $HOOD.
3. Insurance: $PGR, $MET, $ALL
- Higher yields on bond portfolios
4. Value/Cyclical Stocks: $XOM, $CAT, $DE
- Strong cash flow today + underlying commodities boost as well.
Losers:
1. Telecommunications & Heavy Industrials: $T, $VZ, $ATUS
- Companies that carry massive debt loads to build out optic cables, 5G, etc.
2. Utilities: $NEE, $DUK, $SO, $XLU
- Utilities carry heavy debt to maintain power grids and partly bond proxies
3. Real Estate + REITs: $AMT, $O, $BXP
- Higher rates drive down the valuation of the physical properties themselves and harder borrowing for buying homes. Then government bonds > dividend yields.
4. Unprofitable / Speculative Tech: $ARKK
Nuanced:
Historically Mag7 like $NVDA, $AAPL, $MSFT, $AMZN were neutral-winner as they were typically sitting on loads of cash.
But for the first time, some are going into debt for the AI buildout and are scaling like startups again (eg. $META 33%+ Y/Y revenue growth):
-> Cash-rich companies like $AAPL are likely to be fine, $MSFT + $GOOGL (largely funded by operational income)
-> While $META, $ORCL, and others may face more challenges (projected to take on debt long term)
However, despite short term volatility from projections + War in Iran:
One TACO could flip all the projections.
So, I would not bet on high interest rates or rate hikes or this trade.
And I don't think markets will either long term.
$XLU I'm primarily fundamentally driven and thematic (with the occasional gut call) — I don't rely on charting or technicals to build conviction. But after watching price action across countless names, one pattern has earned my respect through sheer consistency: the William O'Neill Cup-and-Handle breakout.
When a stock I already like on the fundamentals begins forming that classic consolidation base — the rounded cup, the shallow handle pullback, and then the push through the pivot on rising volume — the hit rate on the subsequent move is remarkably high. It's not magic. It's market structure. The pattern essentially maps the full lifecycle of institutional accumulation: early buyers stepping in, weak hands getting shaken out during the handle, and then a supply/demand imbalance triggering the breakout.
What makes it particularly useful from a portfolio management standpoint is that it gives you a clearly defined risk point. If the handle fails, you're out — the loss is contained and mechanical. That kind of asymmetry is rare in a market that usually punishes ambiguity.
I'm not suggesting anyone abandon fundamental analysis for chart patterns. But if you have a strong thesis on a name and the Cup-and-Handle is confirming it — pay attention. In my experience, the convergence of fundamental conviction and this specific technical setup is one of the highest-probability entry signals in the market.
This is another @aleabitoreddit banger. $XLU will continue to grind higher, and you will potentially still get IV expansion from here. I am in 1/21/28 c60 for those who are interested. https://t.co/ABkPBFZ6QE
