THE NEOCLOUD SUPERCYCLE IS ACCELERATING The smartest money in AI just made its move — and the signal is impossible to ignore. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness fund — which grew from $225M to $13.7B AUM in under 2 years — just disclosed a 5.6% stake (12.4M Class A shares) in $NBIS. This is the guy who called every major AI bottleneck years early. He doesn’t park $2B+ in a position casually. $NBIS — Nebius Group → Q1 revenue: $399M — up 684% YoY, 75% QoQ → AI cloud ARR surged to $1.9B, up 54% QoQ → Adjusted EBITDA margin: 45% in AI cloud segment → $27B, 5-year Meta deal locked in → $9.3B cash on hand after raising $6B+ YTD → Targeting 4 GW+ contracted power by year-end → Full year guidance: $3B–$3.4B revenue, $7B–$9B ARR → Selling out capacity every quarter — demand exceeds supply Aschenbrenner just validated what the fundamentals already screamed. $IREN — The Vertically Integrated Beast → $3.4B NVIDIA AI cloud contract secured → $9.7B Microsoft deal for GB300 GPUs (5-year) → $2.1B NVIDIA equity investment (30M share warrants) → Blackwell deployment at Childress, TX → ARR target raised to $4.4B → 4.5 GW total power footprint across TX, Canada, Oklahoma → $3B convertible note raise shows capital market conviction IREN isn’t a miner anymore. It’s a full-stack AI factory operator with NVIDIA and Microsoft as anchors. The NeoCloud Basket → $CRWV — CoreWeave: $99.4B backlog, 1GW+ active, pure-play benchmark → $NBIS — Nebius: hyperscaler-grade AI cloud, Aschenbrenner’s biggest bet → $IREN — Vertically integrated, power-rich, Nvidia & Microsoft backed → $APLD — Applied Digital: emerging data center player in the mix 🧠 Why This Theme Has Legs → Hyperscalers (MSFT, Meta, Google) are outsourcing GPU capacity to neoclouds at scale → Power-connected land is the new scarce resource — and neoclouds own it → Nvidia is now an equity investor in both $NBIS and $IREN — alignment is complete → The $100B+ AI capex wave flows through neoclouds before it reaches anyone else Other play - $SLNH $KEEL $BTBT $HIVE $WYFI $BTDR $CIFR The NeoCloud isn’t a trade. It’s the infrastructure layer of the AI supercycle. Not financial advice.




