> Short-term portfolio: +200% YTD.
> Long-term portfolio: +75% YTD.
+1K new followers since yesterday.
We just hit 25K followers. Amazing!
This 2-minute post will save you from the herd and make you generational wealth:
The market doesn’t crash; it rebalances.
It systematically strips capital from the emotional and transfers it to the analytical.
If you’re scared of "bubbles," you’re looking at the wrong metrics.
Here is why the bears are wrong.
1/6 - Hard Money Reality
Stop measuring your success in debased fiat. Measure in Gold. At a 0.009 ratio, the S&P 500 isn't "bubbly", it’s arguably at a generational entry point.
We are 75x below the 1966 valuation peak.
This isn't a top; it’s a coiled spring.
2/6 - The 50-Year Truth
Look at the 50-year trend. It’s a straight line up, disguised by periodic panic.
Every "catastrophic" dip on this chart was a gift to the patient.
While the crowd sells into fear, the alpha-player accumulates.
Time in the market > Timing the market.
3/6 - Bubble vs. Boom (The Alpha Metric)
Stop calling every vertical chart a "bubble."
Bubble (Cisco): Price decoupled from reality. Pure speculation.
Boom ($NVDA): Price is simply tagging along with explosive earnings growth.
Fundamentals dictate the trend.
If earnings support the price, it’s not a bubble, it’s a compounding machine.
4/6 - The Takeaway
The FUD is noise. The math is signal.
We aren't in a bubble; we are in a valuation disconnect.
When the nominal price looks high but the hard-money ratio hits multi-decade lows, you stop asking if it’s time to sell and start asking how much more you can buy.
5/6 - Final Note
Yes, we will see dips. Trying to ‘time market’ compared to ‘buy and hold’ underperforms.
Missing the best 10-50 days in a period often turns strong returns into flat or negative ones.
Real investors attempting timing lag the index by 1-6% annually due to missed rallies, transaction costs, and behavioral errors.
Perfect foresight is required for outperformance; imperfect timing reliably destroys compounding.
Buy-and-hold captures the long-term equity premium shown in the 50-year chart.
6/6 - A Word of Gratitude
We’ve now reached 25,000 in this community in six months. The scale exceeds what I imagined in the beginning. I’m truly grateful for every person who supported and sustained the community through that period.
The collective presence created this result.
Thanks for being here and showing your support. I’ll never take that for granted.
-BP
Please note, as always: this is not financial advice.
$IREN $NBIS $CIFR $ASTS $RKLB $AAOI $OUST $SIVE $NOK $PNG.V $ONDS
⚡️JUST IN:
Riley Securities raises their PT from $83 to $88 on $IREN with a ‘Buy’-rating.
-BP
This is not financial advice. https://t.co/zM9YPUjEuN
I wrote a letter to my future self today. Sealed it.
Wrote: “Open during the next bad week” on the envelope.
Here’s what it says.
“You hold $IREN, $NBIS, $CIFR, $ONDS, $RKLB, $AAOI, $PNG.V, $OUST.
$IREN has 4.5GW of secured power and a $3.4B NVIDIA contract.
$NBIS had a 684% Q1 revenue print and $1.92B ARR.
$RKLB has a record $2.2B backlog and Anduril hypersonics.
$ONDS full-year 2026 guidance raised to $390M.
$CIFR signed its third hyperscaler.
$OUST is qualified on NVIDIA DRIVE.
$AAOI 1.6T AI data center transceivers. Expansion underway.
$PNG.V Subsea battery + Covelya acquisition for scaled underwater robotics.
You read the filings. The market hadn’t caught up. You held.
You are not LOSING. You are EARLY.”
I’m building a structure. Manifesting Italy. Not fun-dump-trading tickers.
-BP
Not financial advice.
I’ve gotten several request to do a post on how my portfolio setup is.
New here? All content and analysis are free. 100% transparency on the path to $2M.
So here’s a breakdown:
1. Short-term Portfolio. 173% YTD. 173% Max Period. (Started the ST-port this year.)
I run my ST portfolio with 2-4 stocks. 4 is absolute maximum. Rn, 2.
Goal is to double ASAP, take profit, deploy profit into a third position and expand the account.
These position is basically short term <1 year. Ideally 1-6 months. But if the thesis develops correctly, position moved to LT if there is future potential.
Portfolio consist of growth and beta stocks.
Holdings: $ASTS $SIVE
If I sell and rotate it’s because I doubled, risk is too high, thesis broke or better opportunities present itself.
As of now, I’m up 25% on $ASTS and 156% on $SIVE. I expect to keep these positions. Trim at some point to start up a third position.
2. Long-term Portfolio. 65% YTD. 170% Max Period.
I run my LT portfolio with 8-10 stocks. 10 is maximum. Rn, 8.
Goal is to take profit from some runners, when I’m satisfied and start up the last two position.
Long term portfolio is for positions I want to hold > +1 year.
Portfolio consist of growth and beta stocks.
Holdings: $IREN $NBIS $CIFR $RKLB $OUST $AAOI $ONDS $PNG.V
If I sell and rotate it’s either because risk is too high, thesis broke or better opportunities present itself.
Hope this somehow can answer some of the questions I’ve received.
Otherwise feel free to ask in the comment section.
-BP
Please note: this is not financial advice.
Translation of the $IREN post from Dan:
> Buckle up we are coming.
> $NVIDIA really like us.
> We will win this race.
> We are going global.
> 3 layers secured.
> Don’t miss out.
-BP
Not financial advice.
Can $NBIS $IREN $ASTS $AAOI even go further up?
Positive news. Lets see how market react.
-BP
Just got off the phone with my grandmother. She’s 87.
Explained the $IREN thesis to her and AI.
Even she could connect the dots.
If you can’t….. well… I’m so sorry.
-BP
Please note: This is not financial advice.
🇪🇺 🇺🇸 Mornings’ EU. While US sleeps, then let me remind you of this:
I was at a investor meetup in the city last month. Twenty people in a room. Drinks. Pitches.
Every name discussed was a Mag 7. Every chart shown was a household name.
I sat. I listened. I drank my coffee.
When someone asked what I was working on, I said I’d been studying neoclouds, photonics, and space.
The room went quiet for a second. Then someone changed the subject back to the same names.
I left at 9.
In the car home I thought: the room I want to be in is not the room everybody is trying to get into.
The room I want to be in has three people in it. They are reading the same filings I am.
The crowd is the noise. The crowd is the late signal.
X feels crowded sometimes, but when you go out in the real world you realize how many people haven’t even still dived into $AAOI $IREN $NBIS $RKLB $PL $ASTS
I’d rather sit alone with the right thesis than crowded around the wrong one.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice.
@pepemoonboy @JasonL_Capital Agree here @pepemoonboy I also own both. Same % allocation in port. Or $IREN is 12% now and $NBIS 18% after its run. $IREN will easily become the biggest in my port here.
I just shipped the new Blackbox Market Health.
Since yesterday I’ve been building a Market Health that tries to give a more complete picture than traditional breadth indicators.
It now shows verdicts across 4 timeframes:
> 1D, 5D, 14D, 1M.
Using a composite of 9 factors, with full visibility into what’s driving each score.
Every verdict card shows the exact contribution of each factor (Price Action, VIX, Breadth, Fear & Greed, Macro, etc.) with colored bars.
Clear “How the Market Verdict Works” section explaining the methodology and different data sources per timeframe.
Historical 14D Score chart overlaid on SPY with bull/bear zones and performance context
Unlike classic market breadth tools (McClellan Oscillator, A/D Line, % above moving averages), which mainly measure participation, this system layers in:
> Momentum + volatility regime
> Full sentiment breakdown
> Macro fundamentals (weight on longer timeframes)
> Cross-asset signals (Bonds, Yields, DXY)
It’s designed to answer “What is the overall quality and context of the market right now?” rather than just “Is breadth good?”
I even had @grok review the full updated setup.
Rating: 9/10
Grok’s take: The visible factor contributions + historical score chart makes it one of the stronger market health composites they’ve analyzed.
"It’s very close to institutional-grade explainability."
Still iterating. Open to feedback.
-BP
Please note: This is not financial advice.
$IREN $NBIS $ASTS $RKLB $CIFR $AAOI $ONDS
@StockStormX 1. 2. 3. $IREN ONLINE 😎
Here’s probably why Leopold has $IREN in his portfolio and not $NBIS:
Substation transformer lead times in 2026: more than 160 weeks.
That’s OVER THREE YEARS to power a single new AI data center.
Wood Mackenzie data, reported May 11. Demand for substation transformers has risen 116% since 2019.
Demand for generator step-up units up 274% in the same window.
The supply chain hasn’t expanded to match. Not even close.
Nearly half of all planned US data center builds for 2026 are projected to be delayed or cancelled outright.
Read that again.
The constraint on the AI rally was never going to be chips. It’s the steel, copper, and high-voltage equipment that connects a chip to the grid.
The shortage isn’t fixing in 18 months. The shortage is multi-year structural.
The names that ALREADY have power locked in trade at a different multiple than the ones still queuing for interconnection.
IREN: 5 GW secured power (Q3 FY26 earnings, May 7).
NBIS: >3.5 GW contracted power, targeting >4 GW YE2026 (Q1 2026 earnings, May 13).
The market hasn’t fully priced this yet.
It will.
-BP
Save this.
Not financial advice.
a friend told me he sold everything today because he was “too stressed watching the market every day.”
i asked what he will do with the cash.
he said he was going to put it back in “when things calmed down.”
here’s what he doesn’t know:
the feeling of “things calming down” is the feeling of prices being higher.
he’s going to buy back in at higher prices than he sold because that’s when it will feel safe.
the stress is not a sign that you own the wrong things.
it’s a sign that you’re checking the price more than the thesis.
the thesis doesn’t update daily. the price does. you’re measuring the wrong thing.
sit tight. sit calm. relax. breath. we are still early. my dad haven’t even heard of $ASTS.
there’s so much room for growth here.
zoom out.
onwards, and upwards friends.
-BP
$IREN $NBIS $AAOI $OUST $RKLB $ONDS
🚨Leopolds 13F is out now:
It’s obvious that data centers, AI and energy is still the theme here.
With AI Datacenters as the core theme:
He added to $IREN $KEEL $CLSK $APLD $CRWV
Stay patience. Know what you hold.
-BP
Not financial advice.
A bit of FUD on $PENG today from @aleabitoreddit.
The FUD-campaign from @aleabitoreddit on $IREN haven’t been a success so far.
Food for thought.
-BP
Not financial advice.
My wife asked me if I had any pictures of hot girls on my Phone last night.
Admittedly yes I confessed…
And showed her the new pictures of the Queen $IREN. https://t.co/5nBiMA2ULs
6/6. If you want to understand how this man thinks the playbook isn’t what he owns.
It’s WHERE THE BOTTLENECK MOVED.
I hold $IREN and $CIFR. Both appear in his book. That’s not a coincidence.
Which stock do you think Leopold Aschenbrenner is adding to next?
If you enjoyed this; share it, follow me, turn on notifications 🔔
I post my portfolio positions, deep dives, research and analysis.
100% free of charge. No subscription. Full transparency.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice. Please research before investing.
4/6. What I think he trimmed:
$BE — up 191% YTD. He’s disciplined about not holding consensus positions. partial trim is probable.
$SNDK — up 816% 1Y. Some profit-taking after that run is just basic portfolio hygiene.
$INTC calls — If these were exercised into direct shares during the Q1 rally, the position structure shifts. watch for reclassification from “call” to “SH” in the filing.
What I think he held firm:
$LITE — Nvidia locked this supply chain. you don’t sell a structural position after a procurement commitment that size.
$IREN $CORZ $CIFR — AI compute campuses. the thesis is still early. he’s not done here.
$ONDS is up 31% today. Here’s my next bet trading at a discount right now:
Most people on X missed $ONDS today.
Not because they didn’t know about it.
Because they SOLD it.
I watched people unload 50% of their position the night before earnings.
Fear of a bad print. Fear of volatility. Fear of being wrong.
And I get it. Protecting capital is wise.
If you genuinely fear the outcome, reducing risk is the right call.
But here’s what I also saw:
The investors who held through horrible $RKLB $NBIS $ONDS $IREN $CIFR chop without flinching?
They all had one thing in common.
They knew exactly what they owned.
They didn’t need the price to tell them if they were right.
They already knew from the filing. From the contract list. From the thesis they built months ago.
That’s the edge nobody talks about.
Not the scanner. Not the chart pattern.
The ability to stay calm when everyone else is making emotional decisions.
That calmness is not personality. It is PREPARATION.
The best investors I’ve met on here have sat through the hardest chops of the past year without panic selling.
Not because they’re fearless.
Because they did the work before the red day came.
Which brings me to my next bet.
I’m long $PENG.
GPU race dominates headlines. Post-purchase deployment does not.
$PENG owns the last mile: full-stack AI infrastructure for enterprises lacking internal teams.
> OriginAI: pre-validated GPU clusters + ICE ClusterWare orchestration, built on 3.3B+ GPU runtime hours.
> 30+ years memory expertise via CXL MemoryAI KV cache server.
> Up to 11TB expandable memory for inference, breaking GPU memory wall.
> End-to-end: hardware, software, memory, deployment, management/turnkey production scaling.
> 8–9 analysts: Strong Buy/Buy > 76%
> FY26 revenue guidance raised to 12% growth.
> Trades 16x forward PE (sector 23x).
> Hyperscaler build-out priced in. Deployment layer underneath is not.
-BP
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
🚨THE BEARS HAVE BEEN WRONG ABOUT THE SAME THING FOR THREE YEARS.
And they’re about to be wrong again.
Morgan Stanley just raised their S&P 500 target to 8,300.
Year-end 2026 target: 8,000.
Twelve-month target: 8,300.
Over 12% upside from current levels around 7,400.
But here’s the line that matters most:
“Our bullish index view is an earnings story, not a multiple expansion one.”
Read that again.
EARNINGS.
> 83.2% of S&P 500 companies beat Q1 estimates.
> Morgan Stanley projects $339 EPS for 2026. That’s 23% growth, followed by $380 in 2027 and $429 in 2028.
A compounding earnings machine. Not a bubble.
Now let me show you what the bears keep getting wrong.
There’s a clip making the rounds right now.
A guy pulls up two charts side by side.
> Left chart: The dot-com era. Price ripping higher. Earnings flatlined. Pure narrative. Pure multiple expansion. Pure speculation.
> Right chart: Right now, 2023-2026. Earnings are LEADING price. AI and semiconductors are driving actual profits. Price is still CATCHING UP to the gray line.
His point? We’re not in a bubble. We’re in the middle of an earnings cycle that hasn’t fully repriced yet.
He’s right.
$MU, $SNDK, SK Hynix and Samsung, 75% of the $DRAM market are proof.
These are companies printing money faster than analysts can revise targets upward.
> The memory supercycle isn’t priced in.
> The AI infrastructure buildout isn’t priced in.
The earnings are real and the multiples are still compressing INTO the growth.
The dot-com bubble was speculation in search of earnings.
This is earnings in search of a price that can catch up.
There’s a massive difference.
So where does the money go?
$SPY and $QQQ as a passive bet + into the infrastructure that’s CAUSING the earnings surge.
Here’s where I’m positioned:
→ $IREN
→ $NBIS
→ $CIFR
→ $AAOI
→ $SIVE
→ $RKLB
→ $OUST
→ $PENG
→ $ONDS
→ $KRKNF
Every single one of these names sits inside the structural AI buildout that’s driving the future earnings Morgan Stanley just upgraded their entire index outlook for.
HERE’S THE MACRO SETUP
Morgan Stanley explicitly ties their revised outlook to AI adoption enhancing operating leverage across the S&P 500 and a rolling earnings recovery that continues to progress.
This isn’t a macro call. This is a capital allocation call.
The earnings cycle is real.
The infrastructure buildout is real.
The defense spending acceleration is real.
$QQQ and $SPY tell you the tide is coming in.
The names above tell you which boats rise the most.
The dot-com bubble was price without earnings.
This is earnings without price.
The gray line hasn’t been touched yet.
We’re mid-cycle. Act accordingly.
Still long. Still adding. Still building.
-BP
Please remember: This is not financial advice. Do your own research. I hold positions in many of the names mentioned.
$NVDA x US x China agreement.
My thesis is; this is probably in exchange for Iran peace.
If I expect market to fly, and my strategy will be to take some profit, before a dip.
Lets go $IREN $NBIS $AAOI $OUST $PENG $CIFR $RKLB
-BP
Not financial advice.
🤯WOW!
I actually think this might be my best day across both my portfolios.
Long-term: 10%
$NBIS $AAOI $OUST $CIFR $RKLB $IREN $PNG.V $ONDS
Short-term: 20%
$PENG $SIVE
Here’s the screenshot. You know what that means 😂
Sorry.
-BP
Not financial advice, https://t.co/vmXlC7QAFR
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
If you followed me this year, your short-term portfolio is up 125%.
Your long-term book is up 55%.
I don’t use options, calls, leap, short e.g.
The $SPX has spent most of 2026 trying to figure out what it is. We have not.
WHY I SHOW UP EVERY DAY
1st January I had 1,207 followers. Today we are approaching 23,000.
No subscription. No paid community. No X payout. No product. Just showing up every day and doing the work.
I made a pact with my daughter to show up every single day. To show her what consistency actually builds. Not in theory. In real time, with a number she can watch move.
I have a good job. I don’t need to monetize this. What I need is to show her what happens when you commit to something and don’t quit.
By EOY, I want her to see 50K on that number.
I’m still far from it. I also know how FAST that can change when the content connects and the market moves. So I keep going.
@Sandeman52 is someone I think about here. He built something real without noise.
That’s the benchmark. I’m here for the stocks, the connection, and the game.
Everything else is secondary.
LONG-TERM PORTFOLIO
Eight positions. All structural. Sold $AMPX today with 30% profit. Added to my positions in $KRKNF, $OUST and $ONDS
$RKLB: +83% | 18.51% of port.
$NBIS +142% | 17.09% of port.
$IREN +55% | 13.61% of port.
$AAOI +113% | 12.11% of port.
$OUST +39% | 11.60% of port.
$CIFR +42% | 10.41% of port.
$KRKNF -17% | 9.14% of port.
$ONDS -1% | 7.52% of port.
SHORT-TERM PORTFOLIO:
$PENG +10% | 66.1% of port.
$SIVE +98% | 33.9% of port.
HOW I SEE THE REST OF 2026
Three forces are running the tape:
1. The AI tsunami is still in the first inning.
Only 1% of companies consider themselves mature AI users. Over 92% plan to increase AI investment. McKinsey estimates cumulative US data center spending alone will reach $5 trillion by 2030. That capital is already committed. The infrastructure phase is being priced. The productivity phase hasn’t arrived yet. The application phase is after that.
I don’t see a dot-com bubble. The dot-com companies burned cash on speculation. The companies in this cycle have real revenue, real backlog, and real physical constraints that large capital cannot route around.
2. Political trade has replaced free trade.
This is the structural shift most retail investors are still underweighting.
Real technology, real projects, real contracts. Political decision in Washington and repriced overnight. That is the new operating environment.
Capital allocation now has a new first-order variable: political geography. Which government wants this to succeed? The US-UAE AI Acceleration Partnership, $1.4 trillion committed, sovereign wealth choosing the US as the headquarters of the next industrial era, is the clearest current signal.
Political trade creates volatility in names exposed to the wrong jurisdiction. It creates structural advantage for names embedded in the right one.
3. The economy is shifting from consumption-driven to production-driven.
The post-WWII consumer economy ran for 80 years on demand expansion. What is building now is a production expansion cycle, driven by onshoring, defense spending, AI infrastructure, and energy security.
The companies that build, enable, or supply that production cycle are not being valued for what they are today. They are being valued for what the production economy needs them to be in 2028 and beyond.
That is what this portfolio is built on.
MY POSITIONING FROM HERE
I expect more volatile than consensus expects. Full of buying opportunities for anything with hard assets and contracted revenue. Adding on dips. Not selling on headlines.
The three forces above are not quarterly variables. They are decade-long structural shifts. Volatility between now and December is the mechanism that creates the next entry points or DCA opportunities.
YTD +55% long-term. +125% short-term.
And the cycle has barely started.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice. I hold positions in all tickers mentioned.
@philipp317 Yeah. And $CIFR. Im well diversified into this sector. We are still in the innings. And some will also fail on deadlines and projects.
But my top 3 is $NBIS $IREN $CIFR. I also like $WULF a lot. But I’m not in it.
Prediction: $IREN will announce a HUGE deal soon. Jump 30% and continue towards +$100 soon.
Save this.
-BP
Reminder: This is not financial advice. https://t.co/qzxmGoQm1I
Let me remind you of this today:
There’s no bubble.
Stop whining and being a 🐱.
We are going higher when retail 🐱 is out.
$IREN is a $200 stock.
$NBIS is a $400 stock.
$CIFR is a $100 stock.
$AAOI is a $600 stock.
$RKLB is a $500 stock.
$OUST is a $100 stock.
$PENG is a $150 stock.
Stop worrying. Breath. Relax.
Imagine where we are in 2030.
Long term mindset. Don’t let them shake you out.
That’s how strong markets, stay strong.
-BP
Reminder: This is not financial advice.
Higher, higher, HIGHER! 😎
Let’s go bulls!
Sadle up $IREN $NBIS $AAOI $PENG $OUST $RKLB.
-BP
Not financial advice.
Wall Street haven’t figured $PENG role out yet.. when they do, it will explode.
Here’s everything you need to know and why $NVDA $AAOI $MU $SNDK will need to rely on them, at one point:
$PENG provides the *end-to-end architecture* required to make components work as a unified system.
They design, build, and manage "AI Factories" such as massive data centers optimized for AI training.
Their portfolio covers:
> Computing
> Memory
> Managed Services
They solve the "Memory Wall" (the bottleneck between the processor and data) by owning memory technology and system integration expertise.
And acts as the integrator layer, the "glue" that assembles raw components into a functioning supercomputer.
Penguin’s uniqueness lies at the intersection of Memory and HPC (High-Performance Computing). Most integrators focus only on the compute (GPUs), but Penguin understands that the "Memory Wall" (the speed gap between the processor and the data storage) is the BIGGEST bottleneck in AI. They are one of the few players that own the memory technology (through their SMART Modular brand) and the system-level integration expertise.
To give you an understanding of their position:
Tier 1: Component Providers (The Raw Materials)
$NVDA provides the Blackwell GPUs that serve as the engines of the factory.
$MU provides High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), while $MRAM provides persistent memory for reliability.
$SNDK provides high-speed SSDs, and $P provides the all-flash arrays required to feed massive datasets to GPUs without lag.
$AAOI provides the "nervous system" through 800G and 1.6T optical transceivers that move data between GPUs.
$POET and $SIVE provide photonics to replace copper wires with light-speed links.
$LPK provides precision manufacturing for the circuit boards these components inhabit.
Tier 2: The Architect & Integrator (The Brain)
This is the center. Penguin takes the chips $NVDA, memory $MU, storage $P, and networking $AAOI and "weaves" them together.
They perform the "racking, stacking, and testing".
Tier 3: Infrastructure Operators
$NBIS & $IREN. These are the customers. They build the physical power, shells, and the AI cloud.
They rely on Penguin for the technical deployment and managed services to keep fleets running 24/7.
If the AI revolution is a gold mine, $NVDA and $MU are the pickaxes, $P and $AAOI are the conveyors and bins, $IREN and $NBIS are the ‘owners’, and $PENG Solutions is the engineering firm that builds and manages the entire operation.
-BP
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
How it feels being a $IREN shareholder… https://t.co/EoIChIFQru
I did the calculation last week.
Not the sexy version. The boring version.
What does patience actually cost? What does it return?
The typical retail investor makes 3-4 moves per quarter driven by news and price action. Each one has a spread.
Each one has timing risk. Most are emotional.
The patient investor makes one move; entry and holds the thesis.
Here's what patience looks like in the portfolio right now:
$IREN
Entered $19-30 range. Now well above. NVIDIA $3.4B contract signed. $3.1B ARR under contract.
$RKLB
Entered $65-70 range. Now ~$177. Just posted record $200M quarterly revenue.
$NBIS
Entered $80-85 range. Now ~$148. Up 110% YTD. $44B+ backlog.
$AAOI
Entered $88-92 range. Now ~$149. Revenue guided >$1.1B for 2026.
$AMPX
Entered $12-13 range. Even after a 29% drop this week, still far from entry.
$OUST
Entered at $20 range. Even after recent drop and updated analyst PT. Well above.
None of these returns came from trading.
They came from building a thesis, buying in the entry zone, and not moving.
The calculation is simple:
Patience is the edge most retail investors have access to and almost none of them use.
It is not a personality trait. It is a learnable discipline.
-BP
Not financial advice. Do your own due diligence.
Most investors LIKE to think they have rules.
Very few actually have.
What most investors have is a 'mental note.' But very few have rules, that they actually follow when market and emotions meet.
Last night I vibe-coded this for myself...
Today I got a step closer when I added the investing journal. Another thing most investor like to think they have, but don't.
Anyhow. Here's the results and the demo I use for $RKLB $IREN $NBIS during testing.
Extremly simple. Very usefull.
What I like the most is the 'Connection Board' or research board to connect the dots.
You can add link for articles, research e.g. (Picture 4)
What needs to be done to be fully functional:
1. I want it to be able to run a analyzing based on my thesis. So when done my thesis and research > AI double checks it.
2. I want to pull latest 4 earnings (most important numbers) + analyst consensus.
3. Add a macro + news section, maybe.
Anyhow. Amazing what you can vibe-code nowadays.
If anyone has any tips or ideas, please DM me. I'm having troubles with 1, 2 and 3. LMAO.
-BP
My wife's dad from UK is here during the weekend.
He asked me at dinner tonight what I invest in.
I listed them. All nine.
$IREN. $NBIS. $CIFR. $ONDS. $RKLB. $AAOI. $AMPX. $PNG.V. $OUST.
He waited for a name he recognised. Never came.
"None of the big ones?" he said.
I said no.
He looked at me the way people look at someone who ordered something unusual off the menu.
I didn't explain. I used to explain. I stopped.
Because by the time you can explain it at a dinner table, the ENTRY window is usually closed.
$IREN is signing $3.4B AI cloud contracts with NVIDIA.
$RKLB just posted record revenue and backlog.
$NBIS is up 110% year-to-date with $50B+ contracted.
$AAOI is capacity-constrained through mid-2027.
Nobody at that dinner table was talking about any of this.
That is not a criticism of them.
That is the whole point.
-BP
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
I’ll only say this once:
The next 1 to 4 years will determine whether you build generational wealth or spend the rest of your life watching other people live the life you could have had.
NEW infrastructure is being built *right now.*
AI, Robotics, Automations. Its all HERE.
This is not a drill. This is not hype.
This is THE window of a lifetime.
The physical backbone of the next economy; power, compute, orbit, optical networking is being funded, contracted, and locked in right now.
The capital is moving.
The deals are being signed.
The positions are being taken.
The only question is whether your name is on any of them.
You want to know what this moment looks like from the other side?
It looks like 2010 and you didn’t buy $AMZN.
It looks like 2013 and you didn’t buy $TSLA.
It looks like 1995 and you watched the internet happen to other people.
THIS is that moment. Right now. Today.
And it will not wait for you to get comfortable.
So here’s what you need to do.
Wake up. Handle your 9-5.
Run. Lift. Eat clean.
Be present for your kids. Be there for your wife.
Every hour left after that?
>You research<
Not scroll. Not watch. Not casually browse.
You study like your family’s financial future depends on it.
Because it does.
Be obsessive.
Think deeply about it.
Or follow people who think deeply about it.
Study what the world needs to build next, and which companies sit at those bottlenecks.
But don’t sleepwalk through the most important investing window of your generation.
$IREN $NBIS $CIFR $AAOI $RKLB
These are positions in the infrastructure of the next 20 years.
The kind you hold while everyone around you panics.
The kind you look back on in 10 years and can’t believe you had the chance to buy.
Most people will miss this.
Not because the information wasn’t available.
Not because it was too complicated.
Because they didn’t take it seriously enough.
Don’t be that person.
The window is open.
It won’t be open forever.
-BP
Reminder: this is not financial advice.
@YoYInvestor Great neutral post mate 👊 From a $NBIS and $IREN investor.
Don’t say I didn’t warn you.
A lot of great profiles on X, shared the potential in $IREN.
A lot of $NBIS and $IREN noise were made.
A lot of people missed out on $IREN lately due to FUD.
Don’t make the same mistake again.
That’s the learning here.
-BP
Y’all $IREN bears.
I’ll be laughing myself to sleep this night.
-BP
$RKLB double beat.
$IREN double beat.
Easy.
Today’s dip got to me…
Portfolio got wrecked today!
I freaked out, hit the panic-mode:
$AMPX down -27%. $OUST down -17%
$AAOI down -14%. $IREN down -8%
$NBIS down -6%.
Almost cashed out.
Until I remembered I’m not a p****y.
I’ve done my research. Done the thesis.
YES, not all will succeed in this AI-run.
Some companies WILL die.
Some will LAST.
Some will make us profit. Some won’t.
That’s the game. This shake out is pure macro.
Overheated market.
We are not done.
We are STILL shaping the future of AI.
This is a 10-20 year build out.
Relax. Grow some f…. balls.
YTD: 35%
Going back my beer now. Cheers.
-BP
This is not financial advice.
Colleague at lunch today going on about how he finally bought $NVDA .
Said it like he discovered fire.
I nodded. Asked how it was going. He said he was up a bit, felt good about it. Asked what I own.
I started to explain. Got one sentence into $IREN before his eyes glazed.
Tried $ONDS. He asked if that was a pharma company.
I mentioned $RKLB and he said “oh like Virgin Galactic?”
I stopped explaining. Smiled. Said “yeah, something like that.”
Here’s what I actually own:
$IREN
4.5GW secured power. $9.7B Microsoft deal. The hyperscaler for hyperscalers.
$NBIS
$50B+ contracted backlog. Goldman at $205. NVIDIA invested $2B.
$CIFR
$AMZN + $GOOG colo. AWS capacity starts July.
$ONDS
Only FAA-certified autonomous drone company in the US. 605% revenue growth.
$RKLB
$1.85B backlog. The only real commercial SpaceX alternative.
$AAOI
$200M hyperscaler transceiver order. $1B+ 2026 revenue guidance.
$AMPX
Batteries. 2.5x Q1 revenue growth.
$PNG.V
Anduril supply chain. NATO naval modernization.
$OUST
Digital lidar. Autonomous infrastructure layer.
He would not have known a single one.
That is not a criticism. That is the SIGNAL.
The names nobody recognizes at the lunch table are the names still in the entry window.
-BP
Not financial advice. Do your own research.
My wife asked me why I keep a list of numbers in my phone.
I told her: because the market needs to know where I expect to be. Not the other way around.
Here's the scoreboard.
$OUST: $28 → $42 (Oppenheimer, raised this week)
$RKLB: $82 → $120 (Bank of America Securities)
$CIFR: $17 → $25 avg (11 analysts, all Strong Buy)
$PNG.V: C$7.45 → C$10.91 avg (13 analysts)
$NBIS: $178 → $232 (TipRanks consensus)
$IREN: $58 → $125 (Cantor Fitzgerald)
$ONDS: $9.40 → $25 (HC Wainwright)
These are not my numbers.
These are the firms that read the filings, modeled the revenue, and put their NAME on the call.
I'm just in POSITION while the market catches up.
Screenshot this.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice.
🤯DO WE COOL HUMANS OR DO WE COOL COMPUTE?!?
Ha! We are not bullish enough…
$IREN $NBIS $CIFR $WULF $DGXX $AAOI $SIVE $AMD $NVDA
China is adding a nuclear reactor every two months at this point.
How much power do we need to beat China?
By 2030, 8% of global power will go to powering data centers.
That means we need about 2.000 GW to power these data centers.
Right now the entire U.S. of on grid energy is about 1.200 GW.
If Canada and U.S were responsible for powering 25% of the data center power needed by 2030, we would have to bring online 500 nuclear power plants in the next 4 years.
The last power plant put up in United States took 6 months.
The bottleneck is real.
The race for AGI is real.
Don’t miss it.
-BP
Please note: This is not financial advice.
Nobody told the norm this:
The best investments of the next 5 years won’t appear on CNBC.
They won’t have celebrity endorsements.
They’ll be in SEC filings.
In DoD contract announcements.
In hyperscaler earnings calls.
In boring press releases nobody reads.
On X by following the right people.
$IREN. $ONDS. $AAOI. $RKLB. $NBIS. $CIFR. $AMPX. $PNG.V $OUST
The information is public.
Most people just don’t look.
-BP
Note: This is NOT financial advice.
Dear me in 2029,
I hope you held $IREN when it was in the $40s.
I hope you held $NBIS when it was around $90.
I hope you held $CIFR when it was near $12.
I hope you held $RKLB when it was in the $60s.
I hope you held $AAOI when it was in the $80s.
I hope you held $AMPX when it was under $12.
I hope you held $PNG.V when it was around $7.
I hope you held $OUST when it was around $20.
I hope you held $ONDS when it was near $9.
I hope you held $HIMS when it was at $25.
Everyone around you thought you were crazy.
You weren’t crazy.
You were EARLY.
There’s a difference.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice.
$IREN sentiment is detached from execution, and big profiles are hammering it, while execution remains flawless.
Nobody talks about the track record.
Let me fix that:
2023:
Pivoted to AI. Started with 248 NVIDIA H100s when nobody was paying attention.
2024:
760MW to 2,310MW of grid power secured. Zero debt. $404M cash. Revenue up 144% YoY. Hit every target set.
2025:
50 EH/s achieved. Microsoft contract signed. $9.7B deal. Record Q1 revenue of $240M (+355% YoY). Blackwell GPU orders placed.
2026:
Over $9.2B in secured funding. 4.5GW+ of grid-connected power. $3.4B ARR target by year-end. 345kV substation just energized at Sweetwater 1.
Milestone after milestone.
Short sellers require retail panic.
Management has delivered EXACTLY as stated.
Every. Single. Time.
Noise is loud. Execution is louder.
-BP
Note: This is NOT financial advice.
By 2028, one of these will be the sentence you regret:
“I knew about $IREN and didn’t buy.”
“I heard about $ONDS and said I’d wait.”
“I researched $NBIS and got cold feet.”
“I saw $AAOI and never pulled the trigger.”
“I looked at $RKLB ans thought it was too expensive.”
Regret is expensive.
More expensive than conviction.
-BP
Note: This is NOT financial advice.
In exactly 1 year, I’m going to be the first millionaire among my brothers.
And when they ask how I did it, I’ll tell them the truth.
I bought what the norm wasn’t talking about.
$IREN — AI power infrastructure at $19
$NBIS — European AI compute at $85
$RKLB — the SpaceX alternative at $67
$ONDS — autonomous defense at $9
$AAOI — optical networking at $90
$CIFR — AI infrastructure at $14
$AMPX — next-gen battery tech at $13
$OUST — eyes of AI at $20
$ONDS — eyes of the sky at $8
They’ll say I got lucky.
I’ll say I just paid attention.
While they were watching Netflix, I was studying SEC filings.
While they were complaining about their job, I was building on the side, buying the dip.
The information was public. The opportunity was real.
The only thing required was conviction.
See you in a year in Italy…
-BP
Note: This is NOT financial advice.
What’s your excuse?
Buy a new laptop: $1,000 → “No problem”
Spend $100 on coffee → “No problem”
$NFLX: $20/month → “No problem”
Invest $500/month → “Too expensive”
It’s not about money.
It’s about priorities.
The same people who “can’t afford” to invest in $IREN at $44…
Will pay full price at $100.
The same people who “can’t afford” $RKLB at $80…
Are watching it from the sidelines at $200.
Life is a question of priorities.
Choose wisely.
-BP
Note: This is NOT financial advice.
$AMZN reported EPS: $2.78 vs $1.64 expected. AWS grew 28%, fastest in over three years.Fine.
But here is what the financial media is not saying:
CEO Andy Jassy said AWS revenue would have been HIGHER if capacity had kept pace with demand.
Cloud backlog: $364 billion (up 49% QoQ from prior quarter).
The binding constraint on Amazon’s biggest growth business is not demand. It is compute infrastructure.
$200 billion in capex this year. Still demand exceeds supply.
Read that again.
Two hundred billion dollars in spending.
Still can’t build fast enough to serve customers who are already committed to paying.
This is the single most important data point that came out of earnings season. Not $META capex number. Not $GOOG 63% Cloud growth. This.
When the world’s most operationally disciplined company says it is supply-constrained after spending $200B, that is a statement about where the infrastructure opportunity actually lives.
The AI infrastructure build cycle is not in the stocks of the companies doing the spending. It is in the companies building what those $200B programs actually need.
Power. Data centers. Optical interconnect. Compute density.
The people ignoring the infrastructure layer; $IREN $NBIS $AAOI $SIVE today will be buying it at higher prices in 12 months.
-BP
Note: This is not financial advice.
Here’s a full breakdown on our monthly economy and what we use:
For context we are 2 adults and 3 kids. Tax around 38-50% depending on income. Top 1% national income.
Monthly household economy breakdown (2 adults, 3 kids):
• Housingdebt, interest: $1,872
• Water/electricity: $562
• Insurance: $624
• Cars: $343
• Daycare: $608
• Food: $1,248
• Other household items: $390
Total expenses ≈ $5,647
This leaves $4,836
Roughly 50% of total income goes to expenses. I covers 80% of household costs plus all extra savings for house and kids.
Amounts remain for each to spend or add to savings/investments each month.
Personal breakdown:
• Income after tax $6,396
• (+$1,716 in pension)
• Expenses: $3,432
• Monthly savings/investment: $1,576
• Left: $1,388
What’s left is used to cover; gas, subscriptions like $NFLX, weekly trips, take-away.
As of now I’m building up a cash-position. My goal is 30% of total my portfolio. I’m at 6% as of now.
The cash-position will be used as back-up/DCA into LT/ST-portfolio.
LT-Portfolio:
$IREN
$NBIS
$CIFR
$ONDS
$AMPX
$PNG.V
$RKLB
$HIMS
$OUST
$AAOI
ST-Portoflio:
$SIVE
-BP
Most people underestimate how long the runway is for AI infrastructure buildout. $IREN 4.5 GW pipeline doesn't come online in six months. It comes online over three years. Patience is the position.
