Who mentions $UUP most on Surfaced?

@alphaticaio (Alphatica) mentions $UUP most — 9 mentions in the past 12 months.

When was $UUP first mentioned on Surfaced?

The earliest tracked mention of $UUP in the Surfaced archive was on Mar 31, 2026.

How many voices track $UUP?

1 FinTwit voice has mentioned $UUP 9 times in the past 12 months.

What kind of voices mention $UUP most?

$UUP is mentioned most by Long Research voices on Surfaced.

$UUP — FinTwit mentions on Surfaced

Recent mentions

9 mentions

@alphaticaioMay 19, 2026 · 5:14 PM

CTA Positioning Proxy: May 19 The regime hit +0.420 (LONG, approaching MAX LONG threshold). SPY $737. The DBMF CTA ETF finally confirmed what the trend data has been saying for weeks. After running -0.80 to -0.94 correlation to SPY for 12+ consecutive days through mid-April, the 5-day correlation snapped to +0.97. CTAs went from max short to max long. The covering event we tracked in real-time is complete. Mar 30: regime -0.021, SPY $633, DBMF corr -0.09 Apr 3: regime +0.123, SPY $657, DBMF corr -0.94 (max short) Apr 9: regime +0.223, SPY $679, DBMF corr -0.87 May 19: regime +0.420, SPY $737, DBMF corr +0.97 (max long) SPY +16.3% from the Day 1 low. Four of six tracked assets in STRONG UPTREND above all four DMAs: SPY, QQQ, USO, UUP. What shifted since our last update: Gold broke down. GLD went from STRONG UPTREND to DOWNTREND, below 3 of 4 DMAs. The gold trade that was pulling the regime higher through April reversed. First flip level: GLD $426 (20d DMA), +3.0% from here. Dollar flipped bullish. UUP went from -0.435 (DOWNTREND) in April to STRONG UPTREND above all 4 DMAs. Full reversal of the weak-dollar trade. TLT remains the sole drag. Below all 4 DMAs at $83.08 in STRONG DOWNTREND. The flip levels are stacked: $86.22 (50d, first CTA covering), $87.24 (100d, trend flip), $88.10 (200d, full long signal). If TLT reclaims the 50d, the regime pushes through +0.50 into MAX LONG. NVDA reports tomorrow. The regime context going in: CTAs are fully long equities for the first time since this series began. A strong beat reinforces the trend. A miss or weak guide into a market where systematic funds are max long creates asymmetric downside risk, the same mechanical selling that powered the March drawdown, but in reverse. The positioning is clear. The question is whether the catalyst confirms or challenges it. Not Investment Advice $SPY $QQQ $TLT $GLD $USO $UUP

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@alphaticaioMay 11, 2026 · 4:15 PM

ROTATION SCANNER | May 11, 2026 | 12:10 PM ET Silver explodes +6.3%. Oil surges +3.5%. New record spread: 7.8%. Leader: $SLV (Silver) +6.3% Laggard: $XLP (Consumer Staples) -1.4% Spread: 7.8% All-time record. The previous high was 7.0% from last Wednesday. Today shattered it. The Iran deal rejection is repricing everything. SECTORS $XLE (Energy) +2.0%. Iran deal dead, Hormuz stays shut. $XLK (Tech) +1.5% $XLV (Healthcare) flat $XLF (Financials) -0.3% $XLP (Staples) -1.4%. Session laggard. Defensives selling. Energy and tech leading. Defensives lagging. The market is not hiding. It's buying the names that benefit from geopolitical escalation and selling the safe corners. FACTORS $MTUM (Momentum) +1.8% $VLUE (Value) +1.3% $QUAL (Quality) +0.2% $USMV (Min Vol) flat Momentum and value both surging while min vol is flat. This is the third time this month we've seen both leading together. When they do, the market is rewarding conviction on both ends of the spectrum. Not fear. Conviction with a commodity hedge. THEMATIC $SOXX (Semis) +2.3% $XBI (Biotech) +0.8% $ITA (Defense) +0.6%. Iran rejection = defense bid. $ARKK (Innovation) flat $IGV (Software) -0.8%. Sixth time in seven sessions as a laggard. $IGV keeps selling. Software has been in the red in 6 of the last 7 rotation scanner readings. The market has made its choice: hardware over software. Semis over SaaS. That pattern has been consistent for two weeks. $ITA (Defense) turning green after the Iran rejection. When the peace trade was alive last week, defense sold. Now it's back. MACRO $SLV (Silver) +6.3%. Largest single-ETF move in scanner history. $USO (Oil) +3.5%. Strait of Hormuz remains shut. $GLD (Gold) +0.1% $TLT (Bonds) -0.4% $UUP (Dollar) flat Silver surging while gold is flat. That's industrial demand, not safe haven. Silver is used in semiconductors, solar panels, and electronics. The AI capex buildout is driving physical silver demand. Gold would be surging if this were pure flight-to-safety. It's not. Oil +3.5% as Trump calls the Iran response "TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE." The peace premium that took oil from $105 to $91 last week just reversed. Bonds selling. No flight to safety there either. 7.8% spread. Record. The rotation is the most extreme it's been since we launched the scanner. The market is not confused. It knows exactly what it wants: silver, oil, semis, energy, tech, momentum, and value. Everything else is being sold.

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@alphaticaioMay 8, 2026 · 4:17 PM

ROTATION SCANNER | May 8, 2026 | 12:12 PM ET Semis rip +3.9%. Value surges +3.3%. Tech leadership returns. Leader: $SOXX (Semiconductors) +3.9% Laggard: $XLV (Healthcare) -0.6% Spread: 4.6% This morning the internals showed the deepest cumulative TICK reading of the series at -17,549. Full alignment to the downside. The rotation scanner says: the selling is selective, not broad. SECTORS $XLK (Tech) +2.5%. Leading by a wide margin. $XLE (Energy) +0.3% $XLI (Industrials) -0.1% $XLF (Financials) -0.4% $XLV (Healthcare) -0.6%. Session laggard. Tech is the only sector with a strong bid. Everything else is flat to negative. The internals are red because most stocks are declining. But the tech-heavy names are ripping and pulling the Nasdaq higher. FACTORS $VLUE (Value) +3.3%. Second straight day of massive value buying. $MTUM (Momentum) +2.1%. Yesterday's -1.8% laggard is back. $QUAL (Quality) +0.5% $USMV (Min Vol) flat. Defensives not participating. $VLUE at +3.3% is a new record for any single factor move. Yesterday value faded. Today it surges. $MTUM at +2.1% flipped from yesterday's -1.8%. The factor rotation is violent. When value and momentum both lead while min vol is flat, the market is buying conviction on both ends and ignoring the defensives. THEMATIC $SOXX (Semis) +3.9%. Session leader. $ITA (Defense) +0.6% $XBI (Biotech) +0.4% $ARKK (Innovation) +0.2% $IGV (Software) -0.6%. Yesterday's +3.9% leader is today's laggard. $IGV and $SOXX traded places. Yesterday $IGV led at +3.9% while $SOXX lagged at -2.5%. Today $SOXX leads at +3.9% while $IGV lags at -0.6%. The exact same magnitude, opposite direction. The hardware/software rotation continues on a daily cycle. $MU +11% on new SSD shipments. $DDOG +31% on earnings. The thematic picture: semiconductor hardware is being accumulated. Software split between $DDOG winners and the rest of the sector selling. MACRO $SLV (Silver) +1.2% $TLT (Bonds) +0.5% $GLD (Gold) +0.2% $USO (Oil) -0.1%. Flat despite the Iran strikes. $UUP (Dollar) -0.3% Silver and bonds bid. Oil flat despite overnight strikes. The market is not repricing oil higher on the military action. That's notable. Either the market doesn't believe the strikes will escalate, or the Iran deal framework is still expected to hold despite the violations. The internals say sell. The rotation scanner says: the selling is everywhere except semis, value, and momentum. Same divergence. Different names. The tape will tell us tonight.

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@alphaticaioMay 6, 2026 · 4:37 PM

ROTATION SCANNER | May 6, 2026 Innovation leads. Oil crashes. The possible Iran deal is repricing everything. Leader: $ARKK (Innovation) +1.5% Laggard: $USO (Oil) -1.4% Spread: 2.9% Yesterday $ARKK was session laggard at -2.1%. Today it's the leader at +1.5%. A 3.6% swing in 24 hours. The rotation broadened beyond semis. SECTORS $XLI (Industrials) +0.6% $XLK (Tech) +0.4% $XLF (Financials) flat $XLV (Healthcare) -0.1% $XLE (Energy) -0.5%. Third red session in a row. Energy continues to sell as the Iran deal nears. Oil dropped from $105 to $101 in three sessions. The geopolitical premium that drove $XLE all of April is unwinding. FACTORS $QUAL (Quality) +0.6%. Clean balance sheets leading. $MTUM (Momentum) -0.1% $VLUE (Value) -0.2%. Yesterday's +2.4% leader is fading. $USMV (Min Vol) -0.4%. Defensives selling. The factor rotation from yesterday: $VLUE led at +2.4%, $QUAL was flat. Today $QUAL leads at +0.6%, $VLUE fades. The market shifted from "buy cheap" to "buy quality" in one session. When $QUAL leads and $USMV sells, the market is rewarding fundamentals over safety. That's confidence. THEMATIC $ARKK (Innovation) +1.5%. Session leader. $XBI (Biotech) +0.9% $ITA (Defense) +0.9% $SOXX (Semis) +0.6%. Cooling after yesterday's +3.0%. $IGV (Software) -0.9%. Still the consistent laggard. The thematic shelf is almost entirely green. Innovation, biotech, defense, and semis all positive. Only software is selling. $IGV has been in the red for 4 of the last 5 scanner readings. The market has decided: hardware over software. MACRO $SLV (Silver) +0.3% $TLT (Bonds) +0.1% $UUP (Dollar) +0.1% $GLD (Gold) flat $USO (Oil) -1.4%. Session laggard. The macro shelf is quiet except oil. No panic. No flight to safety. Just oil repricing as the news of the Strait of Hormuz potentially reopening. The spread compressed from 5.2% yesterday to 2.9% today. When the spread narrows after a record-wide day, the extreme rotation is normalizing. The market is finding its post-earnings equilibrium.

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@alphaticaioMay 4, 2026 · 7:10 PM

ROTATION SCANNER | May 4, 2026 | 3:00 PM ET Oil surges. Semis break. Biotech leads. Every factor red. Leader: USO (Oil) +2.8% Laggard: TAN (Solar) -1.4% Spread: 4.1% The Iran missile reports reshuffled the entire rotation in one session. SECTORS $XLE (Energy) +1.1%. Only green sector. $XLV (Healthcare) flat $XLF (Financials) -0.3% $XLK (Technology) -0.5% $XLI (Industrials) -0.7% FACTORS. All Four Red. $USMV (Min Vol) -0.1% $VLUE (Value) -0.2% $QUAL (Quality) -0.4% $MTUM (Momentum) -0.4% No factor is working. Not momentum, not value, not quality, not defensives. When all four factors are red, there's no style that protects you. This has only happened twice in the last month. THEMATIC $XBI (Biotech) +2.2%. Session standout. $IGV (Software) +1.3% $ARKK (Innovation) +1.2% $ITA (Defense) -0.4% $SOXX (Semis) -1.2%. The 22-for-23 streak just got a second loss. $TAN (Solar) -1.4%. Session laggard. The thematic shelf is where the story is. Biotech, software, and innovation are all green while semis and solar sell. The market is buying non-hardware tech and healthcare innovation. The semiconductor trade is cooling. Two losses in three sessions after 22 straight wins. MACRO $USO (Oil) +2.8%. Iran missile reports driving crude. $UUP (Dollar) +0.2% $SLV (Silver) -0.5% $TLT (Bonds) -0.6% $GLD (Gold) -0.8% Gold selling while oil surges. That's not flight-to-safety. That's supply disruption pricing. The market is worried about oil supply, not about risk broadly. If this were a real panic, gold and bonds would be bid. They're not. The 4.1% spread is the widest we've recorded this week. When the spread widens, the rotation is accelerating. $PLTR reports tonight. $AMD tomorrow. The rotation continues. $SPY $QQQ

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@alphaticaioApr 14, 2026 · 4:33 PM

CTA Positioning Update: April 14 Strongest raw regime score we've measured: +0.260 (LONG). SPY $693. Confidence: 76%. The trend data is the most bullish it's been in this entire tracking series. Seven of nine assets are in uptrends. SPY and QQQ both at +0.600. SPY above all five DMAs by widening margins. HYG flipped bullish for the first time credit is no longer a drag. But the volatility overlay is flashing amber on two fronts, and that's why confidence is 76%, not 95%. First: SKEW spiked to 157 from 144 in two sessions. Options traders are aggressively buying tail protection into the rally. SKEW at 157 while the regime reads LONG is a divergence, the options market is hedging something the trend data isn't pricing. Second: implied correlation fell to 15.4 (3M) and 12.4 (1M), both series lows. The market is deeply dispersed. Stocks are moving independently, not as a macro bloc. CTA trend signals are noisier in this environment because the multi-asset composite is less representative of systematic positioning. What's confirming: -VIX at 19.1, down 21% in 5 days -VIX term structure in contango (1.12), CTAs getting paid to hold -VVIX at 103, 20-day low, gamma environment is the calmest in weeks The dollar story is accelerating. UUP at -0.435 is the most bearish individual score outside TLT. FXE (euro) hit STRONG UPTREND at +0.571. Weak dollar + strong gold + strong commodities + equities rallying = risk-on, inflation-hedge regime. The DBMF CTA replication ETF has been running -0.80 to -0.94 correlation to SPY for 12 consecutive days. Either this is the longest pre-covering coil we've tracked, or DBMF's replication methodology has a structural lag. We're monitoring for the correlation to snap back toward zero — that would signal actual covering has begun. The 15-day scorecard: Mar 30: -0.021 (NEUTRAL) · SPY $633 Apr 3: +0.123 (NEUTRAL) · SPY $657 Apr 9: +0.223 (LONG) · SPY $679 Apr 14: +0.260 (LONG) · SPY $693 ← highest raw score What to watch: 1. SKEW below 145 = tail hedging fading, confidence rises 2. Implied correlation rising = macro-driven, cleaner signals 3. TLT stabilizing = last drag removed, regime approaches MAX LONG 4. DBMF correlation toward zero = CTA covering confirmed Not Investment Advice $SPY $QQQ $TLT $HYG $GLD $USO $DBC $UUP $FXE

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@alphaticaioApr 9, 2026 · 4:52 PM

The CTA Positioning just flipped to LONG for the first time since March 10. Nine days ago (Mar 30), the regime read -0.021 with SPY at $633. We identified SPY $642 as the first CTA covering trigger. It reclaimed on Day 2. We then tracked the 20d DMA falling toward price. It converged on Day 5. SPY has now reclaimed all five moving averages — 20d, 60d, 125d, 250d, and 500d. Today's regime: +0.223 (LONG) Bullish: — VIX term structure in contango (VIX3M/VIX = 1.08), CTAs comfortable holding positions — VVIX at 111 (normal) full confidence in trend signals, no damping needed — VIX dropped 16.7% over 5 days Amber flags: — Implied correlation at 19.1 and falling — the market is dispersed. CTA signals are noisier when stocks aren't moving together as a bloc. — SKEW at 150.4: options market pricing tail risk despite the equity rally. Someone is hedging hard. — DBMF 5-day correlation to SPY at -0.87 — CTAs are STILL short equities. Covering hasn't started. The regime says LONG but the CTA replication ETF says they haven't turned yet. 8 of 10 tracked assets are in uptrends: DBC +0.791, USO +0.719, IWM +0.617, GLD +0.568, SPY +0.474, QQQ +0.451, FXE +0.425, HYG +0.125 Only two are bearish: TLT -0.295 (bonds still the primary drag, 20% weight) UUP -0.261 (dollar weakening) The dollar weakening and bonds selling off while equities, commodities, and gold all rally, that's a classic risk-on, inflation-hedge regime. CTAs are positioned for it in commodities and gold, but still short equities and bonds. What to watch: — DBMF correlation snapping back toward zero = CTA covering has started — SKEW falling below 140 = tail hedging fading, higher confidence — Implied correlation rising = macro-driven trends returning, cleaner signals Not Investment Advice $SPY $QQQ $TLT $HYG $GLD $USO $DBC $UUP $IWM $FXE

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@alphaticaioApr 1, 2026 · 6:13 PM

Three days ago we said SPY $642 was the CTA covering trigger. Here's what happened. Day 1 (Mar 30): Regime -0.021, SPY $633. We identified the 250-day moving average at $642 as the first level where systematic trend followers begin covering equity shorts. It was 1.4% away. Day 2 (Mar 31): $34bn pension month-end rebalance (8th largest since Y2K per Goldman). SPY pushed through $642. Regime jumped to +0.096. The 250d DMA was reclaimed. Day 3 (Apr 1): Regime +0.107, SPY $658. Now 0.4% below the 20-day DMA at $660. The 3-day asset score changes tell the story: SPY: -0.235: +0.209 (DOWNTREND → UPTREND) QQQ: -0.267: +0.194 (DOWNTREND → UPTREND) IWM: +0.006: +0.360 (small caps leading) HYG: -0.363: -0.141 (credit stabilizing) GLD: +0.354: +0.558 (gold strengthening into the equity rally) TLT: -0.350: -0.374 (bonds SELLING OFF — classic risk-on rotation) The DBMF CTA ETF has a -0.47 correlation to SPY over 5 days. That confirms CTAs were short equities and are NOW getting squeezed. Bonds are the biggest single drag on the regime. TLT carries 20% weight and is the largest negative contributor at -0.075. TLT and HYG together account for 40% of the proxy because of inverse-vol weighting. Until bonds stabilize, the regime stays pinned in NEUTRAL even as equities recover. SPY still below 3 of 5 moving averages. The secular trend horizons (250d and 500d) are both reclaimed, but the fast and mid-term signals remain broken. Next trigger levels: SPY $660 (20d DMA): 0.4% away, fast trend reclaim SPY $678-680 (60d/125d cluster): 3.1-3.3% away, full CTA buying wave Not Investment Advice $SPY $QQQ $TLT $HYG $GLD $USO $DBC $UUP $IWM $FXE @alphaticaio

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@alphaticaioMar 31, 2026 · 6:34 PM

Yesterday we said SPY $642 was the CTA covering trigger. Today pension rebalancing pushed it through. Our CTA positioning proxy: Yesterday: -0.021 (17.5th percentile) Today: +0.096 What moved: — SPY reclaimed the 250-day moving average — HYG credit stress eased (20% of total weight) — Small caps led the bounce (IWM +0.232) — DBMF 5-day correlation hit -0.49 — confirms CTAs were short equities and are getting squeezed What hasn't: — TLT still the largest drag (-0.293, 20% weight) — SPY still below 20d, 60d, and 125d DMAs — Fast and mid-term equity trends remain broken The secular trend (500d DMA at $603) was never in danger. It's the shorter horizons that need to heal. Next CTA levels: $SPY $662 — 20d DMA reclaim $SPY $678-680 — 60d/125d cluster, full buying wave $SPY $QQQ $TLT $HYG $GLD $USO $DBC $UUP

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