Same Story - One month Bonds $TLT -5% vs Stocks $QQQ -7% Last 20 years, equities risk-off + geopolitical events = bonds rallied / with higher prices. Game changer, since 2022 this has not been the case, a significant - bullish, hard asset, commodity driver.
Hard Assets vs. Paper Certifices Gold > Nasdaq 100 since Q1 2018 *Up against bonds? $GLD +289% vs $TLT -4%. Bloomberg terminal data.
USD is close to 14% off its highs, the lowest level since early 2022. Long-duration US Treasuries are well off their highs ($TLT is 42% off 2020 levels), and Bitcoin is in a -38% drawdown???
2025, an Epic Year $GDX +132% $SIL +132% $REMX +83% $PLTM +76% $NUKZ +72% $COPX +60% $PALL +59% $SOXX +33% $SLX +26% $MAGS +18% $IBIT +14% $TLT +4% Bloomberg data l
2025 as of Aug 30th Gold Miners $GDX 86% Silver Miners $SIL 83% Platinum $PLTM 50% Rare Earth Metals $REMX 62% Nuclear $NUKZ 44% Copper Miners $COPX 31% Steel $SLX 22% Palladium $PALL 21% Bitcoin $IBIT 16% Mag7 $MAGS 10% Semiconductors $SOXX 7% US Treasuries $TLT 2% Bloomberg data.
Hard Assets in 2025 Gold Miners $GDX 127% Silver Miners $SIL 126% Rare Earth Metals $REMX 74% Platinum $PLTM 71% Nuclear $NUKZ 60% Copper Miners $COPX 60% Palladium $PALL 37% Semiconductors $SOXX 29% Steel $SLX 27% Bitcoin $IBIT 25% Mag7 $MAGS 20% US Treasuries $TLT 5% Bloomberg data.
2025 Gold Miners $GDX 86% Silver Miners $SIL 83% Platinum $PLTM 50% Rare Earth Metals $REMX 62% Nuclear $NUKZ 44% Copper Miners $COPX 31% Steel $SLX 22% Palladium $PALL 21% Bitcoin $IBIT 16% Mag7 $MAGS 10% Semiconductors $SOXX 7% US Treasuries $TLT 2% Bloomberg data.
Connect the Dots Global Crypto 2025: $4T 2022: $800B Gold 2025: $22T 2022: $12T US Long Duration Government Bonds $TLT ETF Price per Share 2025: $85 2019: $165 Via @BearTrapsReport
What are bonds telling us globally? Paper certificates. $EMLC vs $TLT - An interesting comparison of bond funds here. Local currency bonds globally are crushing long-term U.S. Treasuries. 1 Year +11% vs -3% 3 Years +27% vs. -15% 5 Years +7% vs -40% Bloomberg data https://t.co/YvtgXMZkOr
Every time the 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF $TLT has been down near these prices, buyers have shown up and bought it. Check it out 👇 https://t.co/swA3BrLOu8 https://t.co/BpnvKbc2Lt
