The AI Investor (@the_ai_investor) on Surfaced

The AI Investor (@the_ai_investor) on Surfaced

Recent calls

35 calls

@the_ai_investorJun 26, 2026 · 3:31 PM

Did you listen to me? Most micro/small-cap “bottleneck” stocks are already down ~50% or more in just the past month, while retail was still drunk on pumping posts. Put your life savings into random microcaps because a newly popular account posted a one-line “bottleneck” thesis, anyone? I owned one of them but since the end of last year, $AAOI, and already got out at 3x to buy $MU for the record, but many other stocks didn't make sense, as an example in my post below. AXT is now $67 stock, down from $140 when I posted about this.

@the_ai_investorJun 24, 2026 · 8:09 PM

$MU $31 eps guide 🔥 If they keep beating it could be $35+

@the_ai_investorMay 29, 2026 · 10:00 PM

What a week it has been for $MU. Up 30% from $748 to $971 in just a few days. Portfolio performance: +105.95% YTD, vs 20.25% of QQQ Inflated a bit by option premiums, I will write about the option trades later this weekend. https://t.co/dismZRL6pL

@the_ai_investorMay 28, 2026 · 5:54 AM

Funny how people just assume hardware has to be cyclical and software has to be durable. But back to first principles, there is no law of nature saying that. If hardware becomes the scarce input for the most important workload in the world, its economics can become more durable than people expect.And if software gets commoditized, its durability can disappear faster than people expect. $NVDA $MU

@the_ai_investorMay 26, 2026 · 7:41 PM

My new Portfolio Updates as $MU is up 21% today and has just passed the $1T milestone. AI Buildout Risks, NVDA, MU, FLKR, options Read it here: https://t.co/GrtXNCdN0z

@the_ai_investorMay 14, 2026 · 1:20 AM

This was my post at the bottom of the Iran war crash. Well I didnt sell, but I also didnt use leverage. $MU is more than 2x in just 1.5 months. https://t.co/aiQMk84dWi

@the_ai_investorMay 13, 2026 · 6:20 PM

$MU - did you listen to me? FY2027 EPS estimate is $102.58 at $800 a share, it's still about 8x forward multiple. https://t.co/cEXATWfoam

@the_ai_investorMay 12, 2026 · 1:11 AM

$MU PT raised to $1,000 at Deutsche Bank. After recent investor meetings with Micron IR executives, Deutsche says AI is fundamentally reshaping the memory industry and reducing many of its historical cyclical dynamics.

@the_ai_investorMay 10, 2026 · 10:26 PM

"the market overreacted to MU’s capex. In a normal market, it would be quite typical for the stock to go up 20% after the last earnings." The market never forgets to give buying opportunities. We just need to be ready for them. This is what I wrote near the bottom of the recent MU crash after earnings. If the market had reacted normally, my $MU position would have been much smaller. https://t.co/JE9YvMnqfP

@the_ai_investorMay 8, 2026 · 2:01 PM

$MU Memory DeepSeek moment was a really great opportunity Too bad I didnt use leverage after so much of hardword analyzing the situation 🫣

@the_ai_investorMay 5, 2026 · 5:00 AM

$MU - Another key point is that current estimates are based on past DRAM prices. We all know prices are going up significantly; we just don’t know when they will stop. This means actual earnings could be much higher than current estimates. With a re-rating, it could get crazy.

@the_ai_investorMay 4, 2026 · 2:12 AM

$MU was trading at $366 when the market was gripped by fear around the Iran war, the memory “DeepSeek moment” with Google TurboQuant, and the DRAM cycle. The stock was trading at less than 4x next year’s EPS estimate. This was my DRAM demand and supply model for analyzing the memory cycle and determining whether the fear was justified. https://t.co/Q0Dvy6ki7E

@the_ai_investorApr 28, 2026 · 9:20 PM

Seagate earnings are out, stock up 17% AH to $676 $SNDK anf $MU also up AH following the news. https://t.co/8vk65RVqi5

@the_ai_investorApr 27, 2026 · 3:01 PM

Imagine selling $MU at 3x next year EPS multiple because it's too low! Better to buy higher PE stock!

@the_ai_investorApr 22, 2026 · 5:30 PM

My most recent big bet was $MU, as my members knew. The bears were loud: - Trump - Iran war - Helium supply - HBM delay, not qualified - DRAM price peaking - Lowest P/E (yes, that was part of the bear case) - It's cyclical So I had to model memory demand/supply to see where it's going and published it here: https://t.co/N5GzHYS4jj

@the_ai_investorApr 20, 2026 · 3:56 AM

Remember the $MU massive guidance for this quarter was probably based on old DRAM price ? "Trendforce just revised April DRAM contract price forecasts even higher. They bumped DDR5/DDR4 up by +18% and +23% respectively vs. the March estimates. The contract prices to be announced at the end of April are expected to hit $37.5 for both DDR5 and DDR4 — that's +27%/+21% MoM gains."

@the_ai_investorApr 17, 2026 · 1:35 AM

$MU has gone up from $377 to $457 since Apr 7 when Michael Dell said this. A 625x increase in memory usage for AI accelerators. I’ve owned $MU since the end of last year, though I was still later than many other investors, and I’ve shared several analyses of memory demand since then with my readers. https://t.co/Q0Dvy6ki7E

@the_ai_investorApr 16, 2026 · 2:20 AM

U.S. Senator from Ohio Bernie Moreno is pushing Commerce to make sure U.S. automakers get memory chips first. In his April 14, 2026 letter to Howard Lutnick, he urged coordination with Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix, with export restrictions on the table until domestic needs are met. The concern is obvious: Micron ($MU) is the only major U.S. memory chip designer/manufacturer, memory prices are expected to jump 70–100% in 2026, and the industry is warning that auto plant shutdowns could return like in 2020.

@the_ai_investorApr 14, 2026 · 12:48 AM

Micron EPS estimate: NTM: 90.52, PE multiple: 4.7 (at today price $426) TM after that: $101, PE multiple: 4.22 I don’t simply take $MU forward P/E for granted; instead, I built a bottom up model to see where DRAM demand and supply are headed. https://t.co/uqry0pqbj7

@the_ai_investorApr 10, 2026 · 3:13 PM

I guess as FPE is going up it will go to infinity as $MU is cyclical. Lynx Equity raised Micron’s price target to $825, a Street-high: "Beyond Micron management’s statement that its 2026 HBM capacity is already sold out, the company’s HBM, DDR5, and LPDDR5 production capacity has now been fully reserved through 2027. With 2027 allocation now complete, Micron is currently in discussions with key customers regarding 2028 supply volumes and pricing terms."

@the_ai_investorApr 7, 2026 · 9:26 PM

$MU - UBS model DRAM shortages may persist through 2028 https://t.co/BIxiOEsnHz

@the_ai_investorApr 6, 2026 · 6:08 AM

KeyBank: $MU memory expected to rise 30 to 50 percent Q/Q in 2Q $NVDA: slight delay in Rubin HBM4 interposer qualification, target production reduced from 2M to 1.5M GPUs

@the_ai_investorApr 2, 2026 · 4:05 PM

Citi raises its price target on Samsung Electronics to KRW 300,000. The current price is abt KRW 178000 🤯 Meanwhile, they lowered PT of $MU. Do they work together as a team ? - expects Samsung Electronics to post a market-high KRW 51 trillion in operating profit for Q1 2026. ($33.62 billion) - raises its 2026 global DRAM/NAND ASP forecast to +190% / +172% YoY.

@the_ai_investorApr 1, 2026 · 3:59 PM

$MU, let's go, just about 4-5x from now until it reaches PE of 20 then demand will be sustainable!

@the_ai_investorMar 31, 2026 · 9:04 PM

Citi lowered $MU PT from $510 to $425

@the_ai_investorMar 24, 2026 · 6:01 PM

$MU is not trading at 5x forward P/E, everyone. You all read that wrong. It’s about 4x now. About 10x cheaper than $WMT. No one will need DRAM or HBM anymore.

@the_ai_investorMar 23, 2026 · 2:31 AM

I have owned $MU since about the end of last year, below is the updated core Micron thesis and my trades. https://t.co/12s6A8GtaF

@the_ai_investorMar 20, 2026 · 10:27 PM

Bookmark to see what happen 1 year from now based on my analysis on $MU stock after Q2 earnings.

@the_ai_investorMar 18, 2026 · 8:26 PM

Micron reported Adj. EPS: $12.20 (Est. $8.9) And guided Q3 Adj. EPS: $19.15 ± $0.40 (Est. $11.7) I thought it's a joke! $19 in one Q 🤯 AI demand is going thru the roof. $NVDA $MU

@the_ai_investorFeb 12, 2026 · 7:24 AM

$MU - the gift ket on giving Too bad I didn’t pay the high price to realize MU’s HBM4 market share was going to zero, so I just bought and held.

@the_ai_investorFeb 1, 2026 · 2:17 AM

In the past few years, investors have learned a hard lesson about being on the wrong side of the cycle with hardware stocks and overestimating the durability of software stocks. Hardware stocks like $NVDA $MU $SNDK kept going up while most software stocks like especially SaaS crashed or stayed flat. What’s the real problem? It’s about the future cash flow of the business. There is no such thing as one dollar being more important than another dollar and therefore deserving a higher multiple. The real question is when they stop making money or when growth slows, not the perception that hardware is cyclical and software is durable.

@the_ai_investorJan 31, 2026 · 11:41 PM

Jensen Huang: “We need HBM memory for performance. We need LPDDR for low-power memory. Supply has been growing 100% every year, but demand is going faster than that. We are going to have a very good year.” $NVDA $MU https://t.co/6oGZwrCeAU

@the_ai_investorJan 28, 2026 · 8:19 AM

$MU 😂 Relentless https://t.co/8kkY1WGBca

@the_ai_investorJan 12, 2026 · 5:56 AM

$MU - looks like memory shortage will last MUCH longer than we expected "In order to dramatically increase the number of bits we need more clean room space. And that takes a lot of time. So we broke ground in Idaho in our ID1 facility three years ago. And that's gonna come online in mid-2027. We pulled that, it was end of 2027. We pulled it into mid-2027. But you're not really gonna see real output, meaningful output by the time we get all the qualification done and customers are accepting it and you get the tools, everything up and running until 2028. Memory manufacturers are scrambling in to build newer production lines, yet constraints of the process eventually forces them to push the timelines ahead by several quarters, which means that for the average consumer, the DRAM shortages could persist for quite some time now, or at least until the AI demand starts to fade away."

@the_ai_investorJan 9, 2026 · 8:42 PM

JPM expects ongoing supply-demand tightness to continue supporting pricing strength, with average DRAM pricing up roughly 60% YoY in CY26. Also expects DRAM and HBM demand to outpace supply beyond 2026. $MU