Finally got around to reviewing $PBI... more interesting than I thought...
1) An "everything" special sit - activist, mgmt change, GoodCo/BadCo, divestiture, early innings capital allocation inflection, and dash of public LBO
2) Exited money-losing segment in 2024 paving way for cash generation + capital allocation
3) Repaid ~$1.9bn debt (gross) from 2017-1H25
4) Activist investor stepped in as CEO in May 2025 with plans to ramp capital allocation... shareholder friendly comp package (low base + options at $12-16/sh)
5) GoodCo/BadCo setup - BadCo is larger & more profitable, declining 2-3% w/ stable earnings; GoodCo growing 3-4% (see table)
6) FCF (ex-divestiture) ramping from $150m to $200m and now $330m+
7) Early innings capital allocation inflection - buybacks started April 2025, already at 6% of market cap and auth = ~13% of cap
8) Valuation very reasonable = $2.1bn mcap / $3.7bn EV = ~6.5x EBITDA, <8x FCF, <3x leverage
9) Other value levers - captive bank subsidiary (see Harley deal), cost cutting, acquisitions (~hiatus since '22)
Stock is up a bunch recently, but picture is much clearer with divested segment gone... arguably still very early
Hmm...